Current cycles easier? Interesting find. Forum

gentlemanscholar · Post by **gentlemanscholar** » Fri Jul 25, 2014 2:25 pm

I was playing with the cycle years on LSN and the more recent couple cycles appear to be drastically easier.

I ran my numbers for everything since 2006: http://mylsn.info/3ulaxd/

Then I ran my numbers for 2012/2013 and 2013/2014: http://mylsn.info/u22si2/

I was wondering if y'all had any thoughts on this. I have heard talk of cycles trending easier, but I did not think it was this severe. Do you think this could be explained by issues with self reporting data/sample size, or has there really been a significant change?

Mullens · Post by **Mullens** » Fri Jul 25, 2014 2:34 pm

Yes. Google is your friend. I don't think anyone is going to have any novel or significant thoughts on this because it has been heavily covered by various blogs on the internet. You can even find the exact number drops if you actually care.

gentlemanscholar · Post by **gentlemanscholar** » Fri Jul 25, 2014 2:37 pm

Thanks. Usually when I play around with online predictors I use a broad range of years to get a larger sample size, but it seems that may have been working against me.

Current cycles easier? Interesting find. Forum

Current cycles easier? Interesting find.

Re: Current cycles easier? Interesting find.

Re: Current cycles easier? Interesting find.