Post
by inSouthAmerica » Thu Apr 08, 2010 7:00 pm
i'd gamble that waitlist probabilities depend on the year.
i'd assume that because a lot of nj-staters probably use rutgers as their in-state "safety" school for much higher reaches, the economy would this year and last, probably cause people to balk at taking much higher debt loads at schools all the way up to fordham and down through american, cardozo, brooklyn, villanova, their peers, and other people's state schools (for evidence of this, the board abounds, ie. see bernie shmegma or even me). i'd gamble that therefore for rutgers both the application pool and the yield for accepted students is higher in this economy than it traditionally is, and that therefore the waitlist isn't all that promising.
on the other hand, i would bet anything that the waitlists at the aforementioned schools (other than other-people's state schools for whom the same logic applies as mine towards rutgers) are more promising than usual, as they will find people more debt-averse and their yields lower than they are traditionally.
this is running on the (probably false) assumption that the admissions people at those other schools, which i'll call the "good education, not so much value schools" don't plan for this. not being an admissions employee/expert, however, i don't know how they would plan for it.
i've re-read this post and it makes sense in my mind, so thats good enough for me.
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