montskibum wrote:...
This committee probably won't begin looking at the second round of applications until LATE MARCH. So, try not to worry about it too much 'cause there is still a lot going on behind the scenes at the UW to try to generate the best law student class (based on more than just numbers).
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Good night and good luck.
First, I wanted to say thank you, and let you know it was a great post, montskibum.
Second, I wanted to provide another witness of what you're saying (and possibly let all of TLS in on the depth of how neurotic I am about this whole process).
I played around with some of the numbers from last year's acceptance dates on LSN to see what I was going to be looking at in terms of waiting. I chose only last year, even though it would leave me with a small sample, because I thought that would be most likely to be most representative of what would happen this year.
I found that of the people who reported dates they received their decision, it broke down like this:
Roughly 9 percent got them in January, 28 percent in Feb., 41 percent in March, and 18 percent in April. Those who did get them in March tended (roughly 2/3 of them) to get them in the last two weeks of the month. (The numbers don't add up to 100 because I left out the later months, which seemed to have a minority comprised of unusual circumstances.)
So, from this we can draw two conclusions: 1) montskibum is right, statistically speaking, that a large number of us will be waiting until the end of March and, 2) the depth of my obsession with law school admissions voodoo magic is astonishing...
I recognize my methodology is horribly flawed just because the sample size is tiny, and has self-selection bias issues, but it's worth sharing, right? Thanks for humoring me.
Maybe they're counting on all the people not 100% committed to matriculating on having withdrawn, boosting some USNWR stat or somesuch.
