Harvard Law c/o 2020 Applicants (2016-2017) Forum

[VapidP]

Have there been JS2 waves after noon in the past? Or is it time to give up hope and dig a hole and die of anxiety?

Someone mentioned a 4:30pm one or something a while back

[Kinch08]

The troll was lawschool2016nyc so s/he could take credit for the Twitter prediction

Wow, you're awfully quick to cast accusations around. What's that they say? He who attributed it distributed it?

Haha, just saying - s/he was very quick to point out the very unlikely successful prediction. Pretty good prank, actually. I would be impressed!

You seem to have an awful lot of sympathy for trolls. Interesting. Veeeeeeeeeeery interesting.

[pragmaticpoet]

Have there been JS2 waves after noon in the past? Or is it time to give up hope and dig a hole and die of anxiety?

Someone mentioned a 4:30pm one or something a while back

Dope, 4 more hours of frantic hope and eventual disappointment?

LET'S DO IT WHOOOP

[dddddd90]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something (JS1/JS2/WL) by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

[Smc1994]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

I'm curious as to how you arrived at the first premise of your argument.

[votebuilder1]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

I'm curious as to how you arrived at the first premise of your argument.

+1

[dddddd90]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

I'm curious as to how you arrived at the first premise of your argument.

Go to lawschoolnumbers and check the dates on past rejections.

[Sarastro]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

I'm curious as to how you arrived at the first premise of your argument.

Shhh let me have this

[Kinch08]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something (JS1/JS2/WL) by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

But speculation is so much fun! And we've got to get to 180 somehow...

Also, haven't there been a fair number of late-March dings in past cycles? IDK where I read that, I could be wrong.

[ws120]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something (JS1/JS2/WL) by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

"Almost all rejections have occured" is complete speculation... also like the comment "if you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 or it won't." JS1s happen off the waitlist.

[tartan2016]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

I'm curious as to how you arrived at the first premise of your argument.

+1. Last cycle there were around 4 more waves after this? And nobody above 172 was rejected yet. The LSN ones all looked really marginal

[dddddd90]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something (JS1/JS2/WL) by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

But speculation is so much fun! And we've got to get to 180 somehow...

Also, haven't there been a fair number of late-March dings in past cycles? IDK where I read that, I could be wrong.

Not that I noticed, but I only looked at last year's wave. The vast majority of rejections occurred by mid march, with a few speckled in after. I don't see why the response bias for earlier rejections would be higher than for later ones, so I think it might be a real trend.

I encourage everyone to look for themselves and draw their own conclusions. My statement was an "almost all," so I am aware that it's not a universal rule...

[dyebri]

Today is not the day. I have been telling you guys. I'm calling it. They would have given one by now.



Let's not let the troll off that easy

[Kinch08]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something (JS1/JS2/WL) by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

But speculation is so much fun! And we've got to get to 180 somehow...

Also, haven't there been a fair number of late-March dings in past cycles? IDK where I read that, I could be wrong.

Not that I noticed, but I only looked at last year's wave. The vast majority of rejections occurred by mid march, with a few speckled in after. I don't see why the response bias for earlier rejections would be higher than for later ones, so I think it might be a real trend.

I encourage everyone to look for themselves and draw their own conclusions. My statement was an "almost all," so I am aware that it's not a universal rule...

I guess we're just disagreeing over "most" vs. "almost all," so it's not a big deal. I'm pretty sure that there'll be at least a few splitters rejected (for example), but how many "a few" is remains to be seen.

[Smc1994]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

I'm curious as to how you arrived at the first premise of your argument.

+1. Last cycle there were around 4 more waves after this? And nobody above 172 was rejected yet. The LSN ones all looked really marginal

This is my big concern. There is a large cohort of JS1s--at least from a numerical standpoint--that do not translate into js2s. While many of those may, in fact, end up on the waitlist rather than with a ding, I can't help but think that winter is coming.

[pragmaticpoet]

Today is not the day. I have been telling you guys. I'm calling it. They would have given one by now.



Let's not let the troll off that easy

I now think you are right and am sad that you are right.

But at least you're right! Lol

[dddddd90]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something (JS1/JS2/WL) by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

But speculation is so much fun! And we've got to get to 180 somehow...

Also, haven't there been a fair number of late-March dings in past cycles? IDK where I read that, I could be wrong.

Not that I noticed, but I only looked at last year's wave. The vast majority of rejections occurred by mid march, with a few speckled in after. I don't see why the response bias for earlier rejections would be higher than for later ones, so I think it might be a real trend.

I encourage everyone to look for themselves and draw their own conclusions. My statement was an "almost all," so I am aware that it's not a universal rule...

I guess we're just disagreeing over "most" vs. "almost all," so it's not a big deal. I'm pretty sure that there'll be at least a few splitters rejected (for example), but how many "a few" is remains to be seen.

Yeah, I would say that's true. I'd say maybe like 10% of rejections haven't happened yet.

[Smc1994]

Today is not the day. I have been telling you guys. I'm calling it. They would have given one by now.



Let's not let the troll off that easy

I now think you are right and am sad that you are right.

But at least you're right! Lol

Pyrrhic victory :/ Or, maybe, we are about to burn an innocent man. Perhaps an additional test should be required. I propose we dunk the poster in the river. If his chair floats, he's a witch. If not, then it's a real wave.

[WordsworthIsBae]

Isn't it reasonable to expect that those that had their JS1s earlier in the cycle would hear back within the next few days vs those who had their JS1 late Feb/early March would find out at the end of the month?

[myrik]

Today is not the day. I have been telling you guys. I'm calling it. They would have given one by now.



Let's not let the troll off that easy

I now think you are right and am sad that you are right.

But at least you're right! Lol

Pyrrhic victory :/ Or, maybe, we are about to burn an innocent man. Perhaps an additional test should be required. I propose we dunk the poster in the river. If his chair floats, he's a witch. If not, then it's a real wave.

It's possible they're not a troll and just didn't want adcoms being able to identify them (would be pretty obvious posting right after a JS2)

[dddddd90]

.

[Smc1994]

Prediction based on LSN: Almost all rejections have occurred. If you're still standing, you are probably WL or A. If you haven't gotten a JS1, it'll either come by 3/31 -- or it won't. Almost everyone will know something (JS1/JS2/WL) by 3/31.

Recommendation for your and my and our communal sanity: Moving forward, post results instead of speculation.

But speculation is so much fun! And we've got to get to 180 somehow...

Also, haven't there been a fair number of late-March dings in past cycles? IDK where I read that, I could be wrong.

Not that I noticed, but I only looked at last year's wave. The vast majority of rejections occurred by mid march, with a few speckled in after. I don't see why the response bias for earlier rejections would be higher than for later ones, so I think it might be a real trend.

I encourage everyone to look for themselves and draw their own conclusions. My statement was an "almost all," so I am aware that it's not a universal rule...

I guess we're just disagreeing over "most" vs. "almost all," so it's not a big deal. I'm pretty sure that there'll be at least a few splitters rejected (for example), but how many "a few" is remains to be seen.

Yeah, I would say that's true. I'd say maybe like 10% of rejections haven't happened yet.

The trends from prior years have not necessarily held this year. I think we're extrapolating from incomplete data. I encourage optimism in this process, but let's not speculate without basis. I think our resident data analyst, Pozzo, is on a flight today, and, without him, I think we MUST forsake trend analysis in favor of childlike hope.

[Smc1994]

Today is not the day. I have been telling you guys. I'm calling it. They would have given one by now.



Let's not let the troll off that easy

I now think you are right and am sad that you are right.

But at least you're right! Lol

Pyrrhic victory :/ Or, maybe, we are about to burn an innocent man. Perhaps an additional test should be required. I propose we dunk the poster in the river. If his chair floats, he's a witch. If not, then it's a real wave.

It's possible they're not a troll and just didn't want adcoms being able to identify them (would be pretty obvious posting right after a JS2)

Exactly! So...dunk him?

[CPA-->JD]

Today is not the day. I have been telling you guys. I'm calling it. They would have given one by now.



Let's not let the troll off that easy

I now think you are right and am sad that you are right.

But at least you're right! Lol

Pyrrhic victory :/ Or, maybe, we are about to burn an innocent man. Perhaps an additional test should be required. I propose we dunk the poster in the river. If his chair floats, he's a witch. If not, then it's a real wave.

It's possible they're not a troll and just didn't want adcoms being able to identify them (would be pretty obvious posting right after a JS2)

If it was a brand new account created after a js2 then what is the "hopeful" part of the username? Smells fishy to me...

[myrik]

Today is not the day. I have been telling you guys. I'm calling it. They would have given one by now.



Let's not let the troll off that easy

I now think you are right and am sad that you are right.

But at least you're right! Lol

Pyrrhic victory :/ Or, maybe, we are about to burn an innocent man. Perhaps an additional test should be required. I propose we dunk the poster in the river. If his chair floats, he's a witch. If not, then it's a real wave.

It's possible they're not a troll and just didn't want adcoms being able to identify them (would be pretty obvious posting right after a JS2)

Exactly! So...dunk him?

Haha I like this idea