Post
by theonerd » Fri Apr 04, 2014 3:06 pm
Here's my theory:
Even for late submissions, they have already gone through and admitted almost all of their auto-admits. These are the people who have cured cancer, hugged orphans, and all of the truly exceptional minds from the top schools.
They have also admitted a bunch of fantastic URM candidates and truly unique candidates to help make their class diverse and interesting (note: this group often overlaps with the cancer cure, orphan-hugging, brilliant mind crowd).
Then, there's the rest of us. For the rest of us, they fight tooth-and-nail in a conference room to decide who gets in (or WL or Ding).
I have a feeling that they have already thoroughly reviewed anyone who submitted before Jan. 1st. If you are a 2013 submit, then the chance of a straight admission may be very, very low. Your WL chances are good though.
Those who submitted after Mid-January may not have been thoroughly vetted in the tooth-and-nail conference room discussions yet. That will likely happen in the next two weeks after ASW is over. There may be some straight acceptances left (less than 20?--who knows?).
All of this is blind conjecture, of course. I have no inside information.