Harvard, C/O 2017, Applicants Thread (2013-2014) Forum

[applelover]

There's a lot of stress on this thread.

It's our only outlet lol. No one else understands IRL

People IRL: "You're smart, you'll get into Yale"

....."And maybe if you're lucky you could even swing Harvard!"

Lmao

[Mort_the_Tort]

I think we need to stick to the plan everyone !

Calm down !

As Shakespeare said, what's past is prologue.

There will most likely be a flurry of JS2's Friday (no earlier than tomorrow) right before HLS breaks -- just like last year.

Stay the course !!



(it worries me that we're actually a very small group of the applicant pool, but i think we're big enough to have a few hits if JS2's indeed were coming out today)

[andapieceoftoast]

I think we need to stick to the plan everyone !

Calm down !

As Shakespeare said, what's past is prologue.

There will most likely be a flurry of JS2's Friday (no earlier than tomorrow) right before HLS breaks -- just like last year.

Stay the course !!



(it worries me that we're actually a very small group of the applicant pool, but i think we're big enough to have a few hits if JS2's indeed were coming out today)

I like your style and I like your avatar. Cheers!

[wtrc]

It isn't that bad as 150/6000 IMO. People on here are probably far more likely than the average applicant to get a JS1 and JS2...

[lawschool22]

It isn't that bad as 150/6000 IMO. People on here are probably far more likely than the average applicant to get a JS1 and JS2...

Yeah we have 96 people in the spreadsheet w/ a JS1, so more like 96/1200 is represented here, i.e. 8% of the JS1 pool. And TLS is probably even further over represented as far as who gets JS2s. Still though, koala's point stands. We are only 8% of the total JS1s, so its possible that people get them without someone ITT getting one.

Edit: Above analysis is false as it assumes that all JS1's have been given out. Obviously that's not the case!

[edwardt1988]

It isn't that bad as 150/6000 IMO. People on here are probably far more likely than the average applicant to get a JS1 and JS2...

Yeah we have 96 people in the spreadsheet w/ a JS1, so more like 96/1200 is represented here, i.e. 8% of the JS1 pool. And TLS is probably even further over represented as far as who gets JS2s. Still though, koala's point stands. We are only 8% of the total JS1s, so its possible that people get them without someone ITT getting one.

Actually, the odds of it are really small.

If we assume that they sent out like 30 acceptances, the odds that that nobody from TLS gets one is only like 8%. And that keeps decreasing drastically if more people were in the batch

[wtrc]

It isn't that bad as 150/6000 IMO. People on here are probably far more likely than the average applicant to get a JS1 and JS2...

Yeah we have 96 people in the spreadsheet w/ a JS1, so more like 96/1200 is represented here, i.e. 8% of the JS1 pool. And TLS is probably even further over represented as far as who gets JS2s. Still though, koala's point stands. We are only 8% of the total JS1s, so its possible that people get them without someone ITT getting one.

But I still think it's more.... I bet they've only given out half of the JS1's, maybe less- it's still early. So we actually could be at nearly 20% or higher? Am I missing something?

[everett2014]

Also, nobody on LSN has updated their profile. Perhaps OPs friend is just posting the news a few weeks late?

[lawschool22]

It isn't that bad as 150/6000 IMO. People on here are probably far more likely than the average applicant to get a JS1 and JS2...

Yeah we have 96 people in the spreadsheet w/ a JS1, so more like 96/1200 is represented here, i.e. 8% of the JS1 pool. And TLS is probably even further over represented as far as who gets JS2s. Still though, koala's point stands. We are only 8% of the total JS1s, so its possible that people get them without someone ITT getting one.

But I still think it's more.... I bet they've only given out half of the JS1's, maybe less- it's still early. So we actually could be at nearly 20% or higher? Am I missing something?

Actually that's a very good point. You're right, if they've given out less than half or even a third of JS1's we are much more represented, between 15-25% at least. Not to mention there are probably people on TLS who haven't filled out the spreadsheet.

[Kimikho]

Yeah, plus judging by post history (again, I do apologize for stalking your posts, heythatslife!), they live in Korea, where it's nearly 3 AM. Normal people are asleep by 3 AM.

I'll repeat what I said yesterday in the Stanford thread when people were questioning the first reported acceptance of the day: it's easy to forget that TLS is a tiny fraction of the overall applicant pool. There are ~150 people on the Harvard spreadsheet, and over 6,000 people will apply to Harvard by the time the cycle ends. We are not a representative sample.

[everett2014]

It isn't that bad as 150/6000 IMO. People on here are probably far more likely than the average applicant to get a JS1 and JS2...

Yeah we have 96 people in the spreadsheet w/ a JS1, so more like 96/1200 is represented here, i.e. 8% of the JS1 pool. And TLS is probably even further over represented as far as who gets JS2s. Still though, koala's point stands. We are only 8% of the total JS1s, so its possible that people get them without someone ITT getting one.

But I still think it's more.... I bet they've only given out half of the JS1's, maybe less- it's still early. So we actually could be at nearly 20% or higher? Am I missing something?

There are also quite a few lurkers on the spreadsheet, so spreadsheet members may not be participating ITT.

SO MUCH OVERANALYZING. Ms. Soban, please just throw us a bone here...

[sasquatchsam]

It isn't that bad as 150/6000 IMO. People on here are probably far more likely than the average applicant to get a JS1 and JS2...

Yeah we have 96 people in the spreadsheet w/ a JS1, so more like 96/1200 is represented here, i.e. 8% of the JS1 pool. And TLS is probably even further over represented as far as who gets JS2s. Still though, koala's point stands. We are only 8% of the total JS1s, so its possible that people get them without someone ITT getting one.

But I still think it's more.... I bet they've only given out half of the JS1's, maybe less- it's still early. So we actually could be at nearly 20% or higher? Am I missing something?

If you look at this google doc https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub ... SlE&gid=30 you can see that the people on LSN typically make up between 15-20% of the acceptances. If you count people without LSN profiles who use TLS that number will go up even more. I think it is pretty safe to assume that around 25% of accepted applicants use TLS or LSN. It seems extremely unlikely if there was any significant wave of acceptances that it wouldn't be reported by multiple individuals on these sites.

[edwardt1988]

It isn't that bad as 150/6000 IMO. People on here are probably far more likely than the average applicant to get a JS1 and JS2...

Yeah we have 96 people in the spreadsheet w/ a JS1, so more like 96/1200 is represented here, i.e. 8% of the JS1 pool. And TLS is probably even further over represented as far as who gets JS2s. Still though, koala's point stands. We are only 8% of the total JS1s, so its possible that people get them without someone ITT getting one.

But I still think it's more.... I bet they've only given out half of the JS1's, maybe less- it's still early. So we actually could be at nearly 20% or higher? Am I missing something?

Actually that's a very good point. You're right, if they've given out less than half or even a third of JS1's we are much more represented, between 15-25% at least. Not to mention there are probably people on TLS who haven't filled out the spreadsheet.

If we are 15%, the odds of 30 acceptances going out without someone from TLS getting one are like .7%.

[djfududeman]

If we are 15%, the odds of 30 acceptances going out without someone from TLS getting one are like .7%.

TITCR... .85^30=.007

[Kimikho]

didn't read all that but.....I have 180 spam emails that means something HAS to happen today, right???

[everett2014]

I just downed a large coffee to try to get some work done, but now I'm just 3x more anxious and have more energy to press refresh -__-

[jingosaur]

I'd give about a 5% chance of a massive wave of JS2s coming today, but I'm still super nervous.

[tls2175]

JS2!

[js101b]

Guys and gals, please let me thank you so much for all of your writing on here.

[Kimikho]

JS2!

[jingosaur]

JS2!

When did you go complete and when was your JS1?

[wtrc]

JS2!

!!!!! Congrats!!! When did you JS1?!

[Kimikho]

PEOPLE WHO SAY THEY GOT A JS2 AND DO NOT GIVE DATES OR STATS OR ANYTHING MAKE ME SAD.

[Nonconsecutive]

Looks like its go time.

[koalacity]

My optimism has been vindicated