WhatOurBodiesAreFor wrote:If 20% of T14 admits actively post on TLS, that would mean at least 40 people should post on here that they've received the acceptance call off of FR. So far I'm counting ~20.
These are very imprecise and speculative numbers here, but it does seem that there are some more FR acceptances to be had.
I want to believe this but this assumes that the ~200 FR acceptances predominately come from FR1 which other than possible anecdotal trends from previous cycles (I have not researched this) is not addressed in Dean Tom's article. I want to believe you're right but with the large amount of strong candidates that have been sent to FR2 (e.g. Man of the Minute) I can't help but think the remaining FR acceptances are for them.
Another potential outcome for FR1s today (other than WL and Ding) is FR2, I did see an instance of that last cycle.
Despite all this speculation to ease my own anxiety, today is Judgement Day!