Post
by anonymous12345 » Sat Dec 17, 2011 1:58 pm
First time poster here, but like many of you, really in love with Cornell. Still waiting to hear back, but here’s my take on what’s going on. Perhaps I’m giving the school too much credit, but I really think it’s a solid play on their part.
From the wave of “strong numbers” admits earlier this week and yesterday morning, I take it they’re making an early push to protect their medians. Then , defer all the rest (I haven’t heard of any rejections thus far, am I wrong on this?). Think about it, what incentive do they have to reject anyone? You have limited seats, but essentially unlimited deferrals. Why make the tough decisions early on when you don’t know what the rest of the pool looks like? Especially given the rumors that apps might be down this year, it looks like their way of protecting the medians early, and then playing it safe with the rest until the pool is known.
I suppose they’ll wait to hear back and see what their yield is like with the EA admits, and then make the tough calls in Feb. when they have more of a sense of remaining spot #’s, and relative pool strength. And the other smart play by deferring all but rejecting none is that (theoretically), you weed out the weakly-committed from your remaining pool come February. Theoretically, the applicants who take it in stride and are willing to go along for the ride are more likely to accept an offer late in the game, thus improving the anticipated yield. This way, the medians are protected (assuming the EA yield is strong) early on, and then the school can wait until the (rumored smaller) pool is known in order to choose among them the best of the best – and better yet, from a pool that, once deferred, is perhaps more likely to accept.
What do you think, am I way off base with this? Or is what I’m saying already incredibly obvious?