Yale c/o 2020 Applicants (2016-2017) Forum

[HonestlyThough]

LSN:

Last year (15-16 cycle), there was nothing but dings and rejects after April 8.
Before that there were only admits reported for a few weeks.
As has been noticed, last year was an abnormally small pool on LSN.

In the 14-15 cycle:
One rogue acceptance dated 4/15, otherwise only rejects and waitlists starting 4/13.
Wave of nothing but admits from 4/7-4/13
Before that? Nothing but rejects.

Conclusion: this cycle is already bizarre AF and is mixing reject and admit waves, which doesn't fit with previous protocol.

other conclusion: reason suggests remaining admits will come out between today and next friday. (SO helpful, I know)

[seeprybyrun]

I would hope so. I mean, if they haven't, that means Y already knows they're going to reject that person and didn't include them in the ding wave. Which is possible but super shitty

Nobody who has reported going complete in March has reported a decision---ding or otherwise---from Yale. I think Yale is waiting to release those decisions once all FR is finished (presumably to mask which were presumptive admits and/or dinged by Asha).

Consequently, I think about 80% of those who went complete in March (none of whom have heard back yet) are already dinged, with another ~5-10% awaiting dings from FR, and the rest being WLs and admits.

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

[Monday]

.

[pretzeltime]

I would hope so. I mean, if they haven't, that means Y already knows they're going to reject that person and didn't include them in the ding wave. Which is possible but super shitty

Nobody who has reported going complete in March has reported a decision---ding or otherwise---from Yale. I think Yale is waiting to release those decisions once all FR is finished (presumably to mask which were presumptive admits and/or dinged by Asha).

Consequently, I think about 80% of those who haven't heard back are already dinged, with another ~5-10% awaiting dings from FR, and the rest being WLs and admits.

okay tbh i was kind of just thinking about ppl who went complete in february and forgot that March completers existed. so, yeah, what you said ^^

[pretzeltime]

Speaking of last year, this thread has 20 more pages than C/O 2019 applicants' thread. And we still have 3 more months.



We did it. We won.

"won" is an interesting way to put it

[HonestlyThough]

I would hope so. I mean, if they haven't, that means Y already knows they're going to reject that person and didn't include them in the ding wave. Which is possible but super shitty

Nobody who has reported going complete in March has reported a decision---ding or otherwise---from Yale. I think Yale is waiting to release those decisions once all FR is finished (presumably to mask which were presumptive admits and/or dinged by Asha).

Consequently, I think about 80% of those who went complete in March (none of whom have heard back yet) are already dinged, with another ~5-10% awaiting dings from FR, and the rest being WLs and admits.

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

cool. so maybe like 1 in 10 of us has a shot ((((((

[bs2020]

Does anyone know how many people they usually put on their waitlist?

[seeprybyrun]

Speaking of last year, this thread has 20 more pages than C/O 2019 applicants' thread. And we still have 3 more months.



We did it. We won.

I think the momentum from the HLS thread carried over here.

[seeprybyrun]

Does anyone know how many people they usually put on their waitlist?

Yes, but I doubt she's going to tell us

[Pozzo]

Did someone say LSN data?


I did a rough and tumble analysis here:



With all the caveats in the world since this cycle looks a lot different than the past two, I give you something for the optimist and the pessimist:

Pessimist - it looks like the window for acceptance is closing.

Optimist - unless there has been a precipitous drop in LSN user quality, there are a good number of acceptances still out there.

[KateMcKitten]

Speaking of last year, this thread has 20 more pages than C/O 2019 applicants' thread. And we still have 3 more months.



We did it. We won.

I think some people from yesterday would argue that our shitposting is *not* winning...but I agree that we are winners!

[HonestlyThough]

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

^^^this. you lucky dogs. the rest of us laties are just in the dark

[OneHandedEconomist]

Given the new t13 employment figures, I'm tempted to say fuck Yale and go somewhere else for free.

[HonestlyThough]

Did someone say LSN data?


I did a rough and tumble analysis here:



With all the caveats in the world since this cycle looks a lot different than the past two, I give you something for the optimist and the pessimist:

Pessimist - it looks like the window for acceptance is closing.

Optimist - unless there has been a precipitous drop in LSN user quality, there are a good number of acceptances still out there.

well damn. I've been very one-upped

[pretzeltime]

[quote="seeprybyrun"

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

^^^this. you lucky dogs. the rest of us laties are just in the dark[/quote]

I kinda think those peeps are looking at WL at best, maybe like oooooone admit, sooooooo we're not much better off I promise

like if they wanted me they would've already taken me

[Monday]

.

[KateMcKitten]

Did someone say LSN data?


I did a rough and tumble analysis here:



With all the caveats in the world since this cycle looks a lot different than the past two, I give you something for the optimist and the pessimist:

Pessimist - it looks like the window for acceptance is closing.

Optimist - unless there has been a precipitous drop in LSN user quality, there are a good number of acceptances still out there.

well damn. I've been very one-upped

Dad's taking care of us!

[OneHandedEconomist]

[quote="seeprybyrun"

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

^^^this. you lucky dogs. the rest of us laties are just in the dark

I kinda think those peeps are looking at WL at best, maybe like oooooone admit, sooooooo we're not much better off I promise

like if they wanted me they would've already taken me [/quote]

I sincerely doubt that everyone who submitted in Feb has already been dinged or waitlisted.

[seeprybyrun]

I would hope so. I mean, if they haven't, that means Y already knows they're going to reject that person and didn't include them in the ding wave. Which is possible but super shitty

Nobody who has reported going complete in March has reported a decision---ding or otherwise---from Yale. I think Yale is waiting to release those decisions once all FR is finished (presumably to mask which were presumptive admits and/or dinged by Asha).

Consequently, I think about 80% of those who went complete in March (none of whom have heard back yet) are already dinged, with another ~5-10% awaiting dings from FR, and the rest being WLs and admits.

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

cool. so maybe like 1 in 10 of us has a shot ((((((

I mean, given no further information about the candidate pool, I can only speculate that the usual distro (~9-10% admits) applies to the remaining candidates.

That said, of people who self-reported on LSN in 2014-2015 (which is likely a biased sample, but we're all in that sample anyway, right?) as being complete in March 2015, 25% of them were admitted.

[HonestlyThough]

Given the new t13 employment figures, I'm tempted to say fuck Yale and go somewhere else for free.

link?

[HonestlyThough]

I would hope so. I mean, if they haven't, that means Y already knows they're going to reject that person and didn't include them in the ding wave. Which is possible but super shitty

Nobody who has reported going complete in March has reported a decision---ding or otherwise---from Yale. I think Yale is waiting to release those decisions once all FR is finished (presumably to mask which were presumptive admits and/or dinged by Asha).

Consequently, I think about 80% of those who went complete in March (none of whom have heard back yet) are already dinged, with another ~5-10% awaiting dings from FR, and the rest being WLs and admits.

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

cool. so maybe like 1 in 10 of us has a shot ((((((

I mean, given no further information about the candidate pool, I can only speculate that the usual distro (~9-10% admits) applies to the remaining candidates.

That said, of people who self-reported on LSN in 2014-2015 (which is likely a biased sample, but we're all in that sample anyway, right?) as being complete in March 2015, 25% of them were admitted.

A+ for reassuring data

[pretzeltime]

[quote="seeprybyrun"

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

^^^this. you lucky dogs. the rest of us laties are just in the dark

I kinda think those peeps are looking at WL at best, maybe like oooooone admit, sooooooo we're not much better off I promise

like if they wanted me they would've already taken me

I sincerely doubt that everyone who submitted in Feb has already been dinged or waitlisted.[/quote]

well, no one's been waitlisted. I just meant that people who were complete before march (and maybe only 2016 completes) are probably more on the WL/ding border than the admit/WL border. but I'd like to be wrong!

[KateMcKitten]

I would hope so. I mean, if they haven't, that means Y already knows they're going to reject that person and didn't include them in the ding wave. Which is possible but super shitty

Nobody who has reported going complete in March has reported a decision---ding or otherwise---from Yale. I think Yale is waiting to release those decisions once all FR is finished (presumably to mask which were presumptive admits and/or dinged by Asha).

Consequently, I think about 80% of those who went complete in March (none of whom have heard back yet) are already dinged, with another ~5-10% awaiting dings from FR, and the rest being WLs and admits.

Also, I think that those who went complete before March and have not heard back are in the running for admission (probably are FR-10s and FR-11s).

cool. so maybe like 1 in 10 of us has a shot ((((((

I mean, given no further information about the candidate pool, I can only speculate that the usual distro (~9-10% admits) applies to the remaining candidates.

That said, of people who self-reported on LSN in 2014-2015 (which is likely a biased sample, but we're all in that sample anyway, right?) as being complete in March 2015, 25% of them were admitted.

As a March complete, this talk is getting my hopes *way* too high. Just ding me, daddy Y.

[seeprybyrun]

As a March complete, this talk is getting my hopes *way* too high. Just ding me, daddy Y.

Listen to Pozzo instead of me, then. He's being a lot more cautious about his conclusions than I am

[Whittie]

Given the new t13 employment figures, I'm tempted to say fuck Yale and go somewhere else for free.

Haven't seen these yet. Could you link?