October 2015 Curve Prediction Forum

T14-->BigLaw · Post by **T14-->BigLaw** » Sat Oct 03, 2015 9:28 pm

I know we are all anxious to get our scores back. Curve predictions, anyone?

Monkey D Luffy · Post by **Monkey D Luffy** » Sat Oct 03, 2015 9:50 pm

Can anyone please explain how the curve works?

Petrichor · Post by **Petrichor** » Sat Oct 03, 2015 9:58 pm

T14-->BigLaw · Post by **T14-->BigLaw** » Sat Oct 03, 2015 10:16 pm

FYI, there has never been a 101 question exam with -10 (-11+)

PatriotP74 · Post by **PatriotP74** » Sat Oct 03, 2015 10:19 pm

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McJimJam · Post by **McJimJam** » Sat Oct 03, 2015 11:16 pm

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ffamran · Post by **ffamran** » Sat Oct 03, 2015 11:34 pm

What do these numbers (-9, -10, -11...) refer to?

McJimJam · Post by **McJimJam** » Sat Oct 03, 2015 11:35 pm

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87mm · Post by **87mm** » Sun Oct 04, 2015 12:16 am

Please let it be a -13 curve. with 168 being ~-16!

gamerish · Post by **gamerish** » Sun Oct 04, 2015 11:08 am

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nlee10 · Post by **nlee10** » Sun Oct 04, 2015 11:09 am

gamerish wrote:Does anyone even remember how many questions there were?

I think it was

LG: 23
LR1: 25
LR2: 26

I don't remember how many questions RC though. 27?

RC was 27 so 101.
Someone mentioned how there has never been a -10 on a 101 Q test so unless LSAC to start breaking trends I think the curve will be a -11.

gamerish · Post by **gamerish** » Sun Oct 04, 2015 11:11 am

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nlee10 · Post by **nlee10** » Sun Oct 04, 2015 11:14 am

gamerish wrote: June 2008
And there was a -8 101 Q in December of 2005

http://www.powerscore.com/lsat/help/cor ... rgeted.cfm

You can blame OP 4th post from top. didn't bother to confirm. Ty tho.

splittermcsplit88 · Post by **splittermcsplit88** » Sun Oct 04, 2015 10:29 pm

How accurately has testtakers' sentiments been matched with the actual curve in the past?

bnssweeney · Post by **bnssweeney** » Sun Oct 04, 2015 11:04 pm

A -8 curve is my nightmare.

YungFisherman · Post by **YungFisherman** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 1:35 am

splittermcsplit88 wrote:How accurately has testtakers' sentiments been matched with the actual curve in the past?

This

Mint-Berry_Crunch · Post by **Mint-Berry_Crunch** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 1:42 am

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mornincounselor · Post by **mornincounselor** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 1:44 am

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mist4bison · Post by **mist4bison** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 11:31 am

mornincounselor wrote:I think we tend to be optimistic. I don't recall users ever underestimating in these polls.

Ha. I'm such a pessimistic person. I'm convinced it's -8/9.

McJimJam · Post by **McJimJam** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 11:34 am

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mist4bison · Post by **mist4bison** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 11:39 am

McJimJam wrote:
mist4bison wrote:
mornincounselor wrote:I think we tend to be optimistic. I don't recall users ever underestimating in these polls.
Ha. I'm such a pessimistic person. I'm convinced it's -8/9.
Haha exactly my thoughts, this poll honestly surprises me. I'd gladly take a -11 curve though.

100% agreed. -11 curve would be fantastic and I really, really hope my pessimistic curve prediction is wrong. haha. But at least you and I won't be as disappointed if we're right!

lymenheimer · Post by **lymenheimer** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 11:48 am

YungFisherman wrote:
splittermcsplit88 wrote:How accurately has testtakers' sentiments been matched with the actual curve in the past?
This

Don't put anything to it. It's just a fun exercise in neuroticism. There's no way to really guess what the curve will be other than picking out of the common curve numbers (9-12). Some people get lucky with their guess, others don't. Doesn't matter how hard the test felt or the common sentiment. The curve will be what the curve will be.

Sincerely,
IGotScrewedByJune'sCurve

P.S. That name taken out of context could be very strange.

cub1014 · Post by **cub1014** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 11:56 am

I feel I have to quote the great Mike Spivey. This might be a little crazy, but I noticed when comparing his blog posts from June and October that for the October version, which was mostly copy pasted he added the additional sentence: "And this one seems to have been particularly difficult based on early feedback." My optimism for the curve is a combination of that sentiment and my humble opinion that game 3 of this test was more difficult than game 4 of June, plus there being 101 questions. So, I strongly believe this test will be a -11, one point better than in June.

cub1014 · Post by **cub1014** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 11:57 am

Plus we're getting fairly close to a normal distribution. The statistics gods may be trying to tell us something... LOL

gamerish · Post by **gamerish** » Mon Oct 05, 2015 12:12 pm

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