Oct 12 Curve Predictions? Forum

glucose101 · Post by **glucose101** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:00 pm

Ideas on the curve for getting a 170?

DaRascal · Post by **DaRascal** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:03 pm

I'd say -13. It just felt like it with that BS on LG.

moonman157 · Post by **moonman157** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:04 pm

Good luck to the person who thought that the curve is going to be -14

oaken · Post by **oaken** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:04 pm

redundant

msquaredb · Post by **msquaredb** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:05 pm

How do I decide what the curve will be? What is the method used?

glucose101 · Post by **glucose101** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:06 pm

You just predict what you think the curve will be based on how difficult you thght the exam was/compared to past exams. There isn't a formula, just a prediction.

grahamkellis · Post by **grahamkellis** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:07 pm

msquaredb wrote:How do I decide what the curve will be? What is the method used?

Same question for me.. Am I essentially answering how many I thought I missed?

glucose101 · Post by **glucose101** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:08 pm

To get a 170. Maybe I've been on TLS too long and assumed everyone knew.

msquaredb · Post by **msquaredb** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:39 pm

glucose101 wrote:To get a 170. Maybe I've been on TLS too long and assumed everyone knew.

What would you say an average curve it? 11?

msquaredb · Post by **msquaredb** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:40 pm

Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?

msquaredb · Post by **msquaredb** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:41 pm

Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?

VasaVasori · Post by **VasaVasori** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:43 pm

Post removed.

msquaredb · Post by **msquaredb** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:51 pm

VasaVasori wrote:
msquaredb wrote:Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?
There isn't a huge track record, but IIRC for every October and December test it has been under-predicted and for the only June test for which there's a record it was over-predicted. I think all the past polls recorded predictions of -12.

I looked up June 2012. If that exam was a -11 this one will certainly be a -12 or -13. I can't see -14 though.

Alorain · Post by **Alorain** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:57 pm

msquaredb wrote:
VasaVasori wrote:
msquaredb wrote:Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?
There isn't a huge track record, but IIRC for every October and December test it has been under-predicted and for the only June test for which there's a record it was over-predicted. I think all the past polls recorded predictions of -12.
I looked up June 2012. If that exam was a -11 this one will certainly be a -12 or -13. I can't see -14 though.

June was a -10.

Eberry · Post by **Eberry** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 5:00 pm

oaken wrote:redundant

+1
I'm a bit offended.

glucose101 · Post by **glucose101** » Sat Oct 06, 2012 6:13 pm

Mods can delete this thread. Didn't see the waiting thread.

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