What is the earliest date that... Forum

[shifty_eyed]

Ok guys, so tomorrow Monday pretty much marks the first day that it is concievable we could get our scores back.Friday Tuesday marks a day it is very concievable we could get them back.

Best of luck all .

[Nammertat]

Ok guys, so tomorrow Monday pretty much marks the first day that it is concievable we could get our scores back.Friday Tuesday marks a day it is very concievable we could get them back.

Best of luck all .

Sigh.... pretty much.

Still holding a small piece of hope for Saturday (it's happened before), but ultimately I realize that Monday/Tuesday will be filled with horror joy

[StarLightSpectre]

Here is my thought on this whole thing...

Lots of people have been saying how the trend is to get closer and closer to the actual date, and so one should expect the scores back on July 5th. But I think the extension in the scheduled release date is a response to the fact that they have been getting closer and closer to the release dates.

If you look, historically, at the scheduled release dates, the dates of the tests, and the actual release dates, the number of days after the date of the test that the scores are released is the most consistent - even more so than the number of days before the scheduled release date.

The average number of days between the scheduled release date and the actual release date would place it this Friday. Indeed, the one time LSAC scheduled a longer time to release than they did for this time (31 days was scheduled), if memory serves it only took them 17 days to release the scores. If that were the case here, we would have a release on Thursday.

I'd be surprised with a July 5th release or a release before or on this Thursday.

I'm expecting Friday, Saturday, Monday or Tuesday. Saturday and Monday strike me as the most plausible, considering all the above information.

Curse you. Now I'm going to be checking my LSAC account and looking for the "ICONS ARE GREY" TLS wave starting tomorrow.

[sjwest]

https://chrome.google.com/webstore/deta ... h?hl=en-US

Chrome auto-refresh extension.

[jjrialva]

Probability per day:

June 28 = 16%

June 29 = 14%

June 30 = 28%

July 2 = 29%

July 3 = 12%

July 4 = 1%


I based this percentages on absolutely nothing.