Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores Forum

[incompetentia]

It sounds better when it's magic.

Do you believe in magic
In an LSAT score?
When the negative numbers
Give scaled 94?

[Ragged]

Thx Helm for being a placeholder for the top spot so that I don't have to.

[jwaters]

163

[longdaysjourney]

176

[Malcolm8X]

I don't wanna do this, this is such a jinx!!

[rockylo88]

Seems 168 is the new 151...or maybe that means the curve will have what would have been 168 as 151...I hope TLS isn't a representative sample.

(obviously not)

[Malcolm8X]

Regression analysis from my best fit line does predict I get a 161 though, I don't mind saying that. I hope to prove statistics wrong today though!

[ffonsok]

predicting 160
hoping for 163

[rsd16]

I think I'll get a 162. Will post actuals later.

[Godlike]

Count me in at a 178

[lostone]

165

[akikaze]

After exam: 173-174
Now: 170-171 (my confidence has progressively eroded over the past few weeks)

Range of possibilities: 167-177

Best of luck to everyone! I really mean it!

[Clio]

167

[ajmanyjah]

-12

[bartleby]

Range of possibiliy: 158 - 168

[JurisDoctorate]

Man, this stuff is getting crazy. I keep thinking about my worst case scenario.

Worst Case Scenario

Curve: -11
LG: -8
RC: -8
LR1: -5
LR2: -5

75/101 = 160
Likelihood: 15%

I really don't see how I could have done any worse.

However, it's fun to think about the best case

Best Case Scenario

Curve: -14
LG: -2 (having got CRAZY lucky on guesses)
RC: -2 (I had extensive background in two of the passages and didn't feel I struggled with any questions)
LR1: -2 (I was right on all of the ones I was certain of and I got half of the hard ones right through educated guessing)
LR2: -2 (I was right on all of the ones I was certain of and I got half of the hard ones right through educated guessing)

93/101 = 175
Likelihood: 5%

I think I would be absolutely floored if it went outside of that range; I think I'd be lucky if it was in the middle:

Good Scenario

Curve: -14
LG: -5
RC: -5
LR1: -3
LR2: -4

84/101 = 167
Likelihood: 30%

Overall

120-159 = 1%
160-166 = 60%
167-175 = 38%
176-180 = 1%

[nymario]

Nobody seems to have 174 yet so I predict that for myself.

[PinkFloydPerson]

Lol, I knew that; the whole "not a point less" gave me a pretty good chuckle. It wasn't that devoid from reality considering a few people on TLS who are expecting high 170's. No matter how well you prepare, the thought of being able to predict one's score, within like 5 answers, on a 100 question test seems a bit ridiculous.

Good luck on the 162, I'm pulling for you!

TYVM

[thelibear]

161 is my guess. I'd like to be optimistic and think I scored higher, but unfortunately this test didn't feel so great. I was in the high 160's on PTS :\

[Helmholtz]

Got my 180. Thanks, LSAC.

[Blumpbeef]

Got my 180. Thanks, LSAC.

5 minutes to post a screenshot or of your score or you get the Ban Hammer.



Oh, and, congrats.

[Malcolm8X]

Regression analysis from my best fit line does predict I get a 161 though, I don't mind saying that. I hope to prove statistics wrong today though!

Damn. There might be something to this statistics thing after all. It was on the money. I was hoping for at least a 165 though. Ugh, I need to see these damn links.

[Ragged]

174, but I feel my 177 prediction was not an overestimation. The one question I changed from right to wrong and the very first LG question that I somehow missed fucked me up, otherwise I would be right on the money.

[Ragged]

JD, please update the OP with the actual scores vr. expectation. Will be fun, unless you are too upset to do it.