The Official June 2015 Waiter's Thread (GREY DEY 7/1) Forum

oldercoldervoice · Post by **oldercoldervoice** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 8:55 pm

buckiguy_sucks wrote:We can discuss whether we think the average days before projected or average days after administration is more likely to be accurate

For this administration, I think average days after administration is more accurate. Our scheduled release day is unusually late, probably because LSAC wanted to put it on the other side of the holiday weekend to be safe. For reference, July 7th will be 29 days after our test; the average length of time before scheduled release date is 25.12, and historically ONLY December administrations have had scheduled release days which were more than 4 weeks after the test. The average for non-December administrations is only 23.27. So I think in this case the "days early" average is quite misleading.

buckiguy_sucks · Post by **buckiguy_sucks** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 8:55 pm

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oldercoldervoice · Post by **oldercoldervoice** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 8:56 pm

Petrichor wrote:
oldercoldervoice wrote:Keep asking more statistics questions so I can get to 100 posts
are the values statistically significant?

You can't run a regression analysis on a single set of variables.

buckiguy_sucks · Post by **buckiguy_sucks** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:00 pm

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oldercoldervoice · Post by **oldercoldervoice** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:02 pm

buckiguy_sucks wrote:
buckiguy_sucks wrote:WHAT IS YOUR P VALUE
(Got a C in Political Statistics aka the easiest kind of statistics)

I need two sets of variables to do a regression analysis (at which point I could tell you things like the P value for the correlation)

buckiguy_sucks · Post by **buckiguy_sucks** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:05 pm

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jumbo2016 · Post by **jumbo2016** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:05 pm

Can we do some sort of analysis on whether its usually been closer to the 21 day mark or to the projected date?

oldercoldervoice · Post by **oldercoldervoice** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:05 pm

buckiguy_sucks wrote:
oldercoldervoice wrote:
buckiguy_sucks wrote:
buckiguy_sucks wrote:WHAT IS YOUR P VALUE
(Got a C in Political Statistics aka the easiest kind of statistics)
I need two sets of variables to do a regression analysis (at which point I could tell you things like the P value for the correlation)
(Posting on TLS at 9pm on a Saturday)

Excuse me

It's 8 pm

basedvulpes · Post by **basedvulpes** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:06 pm

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buckiguy_sucks · Post by **buckiguy_sucks** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:07 pm

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jumbo2016 · Post by **jumbo2016** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:07 pm

buckiguy_sucks wrote:
(Posting on TLS at 9pm on a Saturday)

I'm at my parent's house for the summer for an internship in my home city, have about 4 friends here, am not yet 21 (late birthday. I'm a rising senior), and only just got hired for a second job. I literally have nothing better to do.

basedvulpes · Post by **basedvulpes** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:07 pm

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buckiguy_sucks · Post by **buckiguy_sucks** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:12 pm

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oldercoldervoice · Post by **oldercoldervoice** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:13 pm

jumbo2016 wrote:Can we do some sort of analysis on whether its usually been closer to the 21 day mark or to the projected date?

Of 43 tests for which I have data, 25 were closer to the 21 day mark than they were to their scheduled release date. 10 were equidistant from each mark. Only 8 were closer to their scheduled release date than the 21 day mark, and these were mostly December administrations (where the scheduled release period is much longer than 3 weeks).

oldercoldervoice · Post by **oldercoldervoice** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:14 pm

basedvulpes wrote:Might be time to start live poasting this party

Do it

jumbo2016 · Post by **jumbo2016** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:15 pm

buckiguy_sucks wrote:I am at least 21. Live in a T20 metropolis that's having one of the most popular community festivals of the year, and am still laying in bed drinking tequila and eating cheez-its and posting on TLS so I promise that wasn't a post coming from a place of judgement

I really started to re-evaluate how boring my life has been this summer when I had to pick my parents up from dinner the other night because they were too drunk to drive home. That was a tipping point

oldercoldervoice wrote:Of 43 tests for which I have data, 25 were closer to the 21 day mark than they were to their scheduled release date. 10 were equidistant from each mark. Only 8 were closer to their scheduled release date than the 21 day mark, and these were mostly December administrations (where the scheduled release period is much longer than 3 weeks).

This is very good to know. Thank you. I have hope.

buckiguy_sucks · Post by **buckiguy_sucks** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:15 pm

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Generally · Post by **Generally** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:17 pm

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basedvulpes · Post by **basedvulpes** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:18 pm

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buckiguy_sucks · Post by **buckiguy_sucks** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:18 pm

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basedvulpes · Post by **basedvulpes** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:30 pm

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Oskosh · Post by **Oskosh** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:36 pm

buckiguy_sucks wrote:
Oskosh wrote:10 more days until LSAC's projected release score date.
What's the mean and median of days before projected release

Mathematical concepts mean nothing the LSAC honchos. They aspire to inflict mental anguish that exceeds Dante's 9th circle. Ahhhh

oldercoldervoice · Post by **oldercoldervoice** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:39 pm

basedvulpes wrote:Lots of babies crying

So basically it's a living hell

jumbo2016 · Post by **jumbo2016** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:40 pm

oldercoldervoice wrote:
basedvulpes wrote:Lots of babies crying
So basically it's a living hell

That sounds like the worst thing ever

Generally · Post by **Generally** » Sat Jun 27, 2015 9:42 pm

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