The Official October Waiter's Oasis Forum

McJimJam · Post by **McJimJam** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:04 am

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gamerish · Post by **gamerish** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:05 am

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ugg · Post by **ugg** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:05 am

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mist4bison · Post by **mist4bison** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:06 am

cub1014 wrote:Just to be the counter to make you feel a little more optimistic splitter, mist and gamerish have been the main two predictors of the low curve throughout the thread. LOL

Lol, this is true. I believe I threw out a -8 curve before anyone else suggested one, like on page 3.

I didn't struggle at all with LG, so I think that's where it comes from. Granted, like ugg said, there could very well have been tricks that people didn't notice.

RZ5646 · Post by **RZ5646** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:06 am

Holy fuck we're still talking about game 3

nlee10 · Post by **nlee10** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:06 am

mist4bison wrote:
splitterfromhell wrote: What makes you say that?
Because the test wasn't really hard, at least not for a test in the 70s. I'm in agreement with gamer. I am thinking a -8/9 curve. To be fair, that was from my experience and I didn't really struggle with game 3 at all, so maybe it is a more generous curve.

Yeah I thought it was relatively easier for a 70's test. But let's hope we're wrong and somehow come out with an average to generous one.

ugg · Post by **ugg** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:07 am

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nlee10 · Post by **nlee10** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:09 am

Hope not.

cub1014 · Post by **cub1014** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:09 am

Honestly I had enough time to get an answer for every question of game 3 by plugging and chugging. So to me, it actually wasn't so bad, just a major time sink.

mist4bison · Post by **mist4bison** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:09 am

theugg wrote:Maybe this test was so tricky that everyone mistakenly thought it was easy.

This is what I've been thinkign!!! I went on a long hike Sunday and ran through like 50 scenarios with the SO of how it could have been tricky without me noticing. I could definitely see it. I'm only a high 160s/ occasionally low 170s scorer, so I feel like me feeling like I came out with a mid-170s score has to mean it was tricky, you know?

gamerish · Post by **gamerish** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:11 am

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nlee10 · Post by **nlee10** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:12 am

mist4bison wrote:
theugg wrote:Maybe this test was so tricky that everyone mistakenly thought it was easy.
This is what I've been thinkign!!! I went on a long hike Sunday and ran through like 50 scenarios with the SO of how it could have been tricky without me noticing. I could definitely see it. I'm only a high 160s/ occasionally low 170s scorer, so I feel like me feeling like I came out with a mid-170s score has to mean it was tricky, you know?

I feel like IF it is tricky, it will definitely be some of those LR questions and maybe that last RC passage.

ETA: let's shitpoast.

McJimJam · Post by **McJimJam** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:13 am

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cub1014 · Post by **cub1014** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:13 am

mist4bison wrote:
theugg wrote:Maybe this test was so tricky that everyone mistakenly thought it was easy.
This is what I've been thinkign!!! I went on a long hike Sunday and ran through like 50 scenarios with the SO of how it could have been tricky without me noticing. I could definitely see it. I'm only a high 160s/ occasionally low 170s scorer, so I feel like me feeling like I came out with a mid-170s score has to mean it was tricky, you know?

That's my average as well. Unfortunately on my last take I underscored (166) all my PTs and I'm hoping it doesn't happen again.

gamerish · Post by **gamerish** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:14 am

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mist4bison · Post by **mist4bison** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:15 am

McJimJam wrote:
mist4bison wrote:
theugg wrote:Maybe this test was so tricky that everyone mistakenly thought it was easy.
This is what I've been thinkign!!! I went on a long hike Sunday and ran through like 50 scenarios with the SO of how it could have been tricky without me noticing. I could definitely see it. I'm only a high 160s/ occasionally low 170s scorer, so I feel like me feeling like I came out with a mid-170s score has to mean it was tricky, you know?
Same. Maybe we are just amazing under pressure and just didn't know until now.

Let's hope!!

ugg · Post by **ugg** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:30 am

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cub1014 · Post by **cub1014** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:31 am

Question for you guys, should everybody be able to write a diversity statement or no?

osgiliath · Post by **osgiliath** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:31 am

Were there 6 questions in LG 3? What about LG 4?

SirArthurDayne · Post by **SirArthurDayne** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:33 am

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EnderWiggin · Post by **EnderWiggin** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:34 am

For context on how accurate/inaccurate curve predictions have been in recent waiters threads for disclosed tests:

June 15 Actual: -10
15% (combined) guessed it would be -9 or less
27% guessed it would be -10
18% guessed it would be -11
29% guessed it would be -12
11% (combined) guessed it would be -13+
27% guessed it correctly. 15% guessed it would be harsher and 58% guessed it would be more generous.

Dec 14 Actual: -12
9% (combined) guessed it would be -10 or less
12% guessed it would be -11
20% guessed it would be -12
22% guessed it would be -13
9% (combined) guessed it would be -14+
23% chose "I'm a lurker"
20% guessed it correctly. 21% guessed it would be harsher and 31% guessed it would be more generous.

Sept 14 Actual: -12
12% (combined) guessed it would be -9 or less
24% guessed it would be -10
31% guessed it would be -11
20% guessed it would be -12
11% (combined) guessed it would be -13+
20% guessed it correctly. 67% guessed it would be harsher and 11% guessed it would be more generous

June 14 Actual: -13
15% guessed it would be -10 or less
9% guessed it would be -11
23% guessed it would be -12
23% guessed it would be -13
17% guessed it would be -14
14% (combined) guessed it would be -15+
23% guessed it correctly. 47% guessed it would be harsher and 31% guessed it would be more generous.

nlee10 · Post by **nlee10** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:34 am

theugg wrote:What date do you guys predict release? The 26th?

26th sounds about right. I don't really foresee a Sunday release for some reason.

splitterfromhell · Post by **splitterfromhell** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:35 am

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cub1014 · Post by **cub1014** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:35 am

SirArthurDayne wrote:
osgiliath wrote:Were there 6 questions in LG 3? What about LG 4?
I thought both had 5.

Guys you are really starting to worry me with the low curve discussion.

Just follow the words of your land's top house: Unbowed, Unbent, Unbroken. Don't worry about the curve so much.

mist4bison · Post by **mist4bison** » Thu Oct 08, 2015 11:37 am