Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar Forum

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bluesplitter

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by bluesplitter » Fri Apr 29, 2016 11:20 am

I concur with @txbarexamineme, and after consideration of his/her valid arguments, i have no choice but to raise my probability of the grade release being today to a percentage of 33.3% of likelyhood, notwithstanding Justice Willett's contemporaneous twitter activity.
Last edited by bluesplitter on Fri Apr 29, 2016 2:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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sjwest

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by sjwest » Fri Apr 29, 2016 11:36 am

Hey txbarexamineme, can you post your compiled research here? It would give us something to do.

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by gadfish333 » Fri Apr 29, 2016 11:55 am

Efast showing an error message again

tootiredtolaw

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by tootiredtolaw » Fri Apr 29, 2016 11:56 am

So is everyone just kinda twittling their thumbs waiting "patiently" for results?

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by longhornlaw » Fri Apr 29, 2016 11:58 am

tootiredtolaw wrote:So is everyone just kinda twittling their thumbs waiting "patiently" for results?
Aside from getting some day drinking in, yep.

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sjwest

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by sjwest » Fri Apr 29, 2016 11:59 am

At work. Finding it VERY hard to be productive. I had planned on taking Monday off, but now that there's a chance they might come out today, it's looking like today is going to be a wash. Dammit.

I've also got Willett's twitter page up in the background. New tweets change the title bar of the window.

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by tootiredtolaw » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:03 pm

sjwest wrote:At work. Finding it VERY hard to be productive. I had planned on taking Monday off, but now that there's a chance they might come out today, it's looking like today is going to be a wash. Dammit.

I've also got Willett's twitter page up in the background. New tweets change the title bar of the window.
My boss is a saint and gave me today and Monday off because he said his came out early and he wanted me to be able to drink one way or the other lol.

DueProcessDoWheelies

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by DueProcessDoWheelies » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:06 pm

Reasons I hope I pass:

1) I can finally practice
2) I dont have to study for this test a third time
3) I dont have to take this test a third time
4) I dont have to put my entire life on hold again while I study for this
and most importantly
5) I WON'T HAVE TO GO THROUGH THE AGONIZING WAITING PROCESS AGAIN

tealeaf23

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by tealeaf23 » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:09 pm

DueProcessDoWheelies wrote:Reasons I hope I pass:

1) I can finally practice
2) I dont have to study for this test a third time
3) I dont have to take this test a third time
4) I dont have to put my entire life on hold again while I study for this
and most importantly
5) I WON'T HAVE TO GO THROUGH THE AGONIZING WAITING PROCESS AGAIN
I couldn't have said it better myself :D

I'm at work today and it is taking all of my mental energy to stay cool.
Last edited by tealeaf23 on Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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sjwest

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by sjwest » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:10 pm

tootiredtolaw wrote:
sjwest wrote:At work. Finding it VERY hard to be productive. I had planned on taking Monday off, but now that there's a chance they might come out today, it's looking like today is going to be a wash. Dammit.

I've also got Willett's twitter page up in the background. New tweets change the title bar of the window.
My boss is a saint and gave me today and Monday off because he said his came out early and he wanted me to be able to drink one way or the other lol.
Very jealous. I told him I was calling in sick on Monday and he just laughed and said yea okay. I wasn't counting on any possibility of early results. I'll probably tell him today at some point that there are whispers of early release today, and that's why I didn't bill many hours.

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KTnKT

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by KTnKT » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:17 pm

tealeaf23 wrote:
DueProcessDoWheelies wrote:Reasons I hope I pass:

1) I can finally practice
2) I dont have to study for this test a third time
3) I dont have to take this test a third time
4) I dont have to put my entire life on hold again while I study for this
and most importantly
5) I WON'T HAVE TO GO THROUGH THE AGONIZING WAITING PROCESS AGAIN
I couldn't have said it better myself :D

I'm at work today and it is taken all of my mental energy to stay cool.

I'm working too. I've already had both of the inhouse council come up and ask me if the results are out today or Monday... then wish me luck. I'm trying hard to be productive because I have items due. But it is very challenging. And, my boss is a UK attorney, so he doesn't exactly understand the craze. :(

I'm still going with Monday results, but even the 15% odds of it being today is driving me to distraction. I know I can't change the results.. it is just that I know they will change my immediate future pretty drastically when they come out. Either I'll need to start working on round two, or I'll get the sweet relief of no more studying and putting my kids/life on hold.

Just put them out already. :evil:

DueProcessDoWheelies

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by DueProcessDoWheelies » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:19 pm

I'm so fidgety because I keep telling myself results will come today. I could very well be kidding myself. Maybe this is the one year results actually do come out on the day they say they come out.

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bluesplitter

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by bluesplitter » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:21 pm

Agggh....


So been refreshing on efast and for most of the morning i have been getting an error message, then it let me through just a couple of minutes ago and I felt a chill down my spine........

Yet no "documents" section......sigh ...just blue links.


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sjwest

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by sjwest » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:34 pm

Last February they came out the day they said they were going to come out.

I've got the same thing as you, bluesplitter. Log in, no messages link.

longhornlaw

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by longhornlaw » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:51 pm

What are the odds it's just somebody in IT messign with us?

"Alright they stop posting about it.... Flip the switch again to error message."

tealeaf23

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by tealeaf23 » Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:51 pm

longhornlaw wrote:What are the odds it's just somebody in IT messign with us?

"Alright they stop posting about it.... Flip the switch again to error message."
Literally came here to say this. I got the error message again. I am 99% sure it's just a game at this point

tootiredtolaw

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by tootiredtolaw » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:07 pm

Out of curiosity if they don't post today what's the likelihood they will post over the weekend?

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bluesplitter

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by bluesplitter » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:09 pm

I would say less than 1% chance.

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bluesplitter

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by bluesplitter » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:10 pm

#paging Nate Silver

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sjwest

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by sjwest » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:12 pm

Boss came by and i told him results might be released today. Immediately started crying. I didn't realize how stressed I was about this. Told me to go home and watch TV/movie. Something to take my mind off things. I'm going to come in tomorrrow, since pretty damn sure they won't release anything on Saturday.

Ugh fuck this.

txbarexamineme

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by txbarexamineme » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:17 pm

I'm at work now and the advanced searches and compilation took place on my mac at home.
That said, I'll piece a partial list from the screenshots on my phone and searches (strictly from Twitter)

Query used in advanced search on Twitter: "Texas Bar" (date ranges between 27 April — 05 May [the year in question])

2011 (Feb Bar) (earliest indicator found) (actual release 05 May)
@robdnl [posting Tx score release] 12:39pm 05 May 2011 (Thursday)
(No Willett warning tweet found)

2012 (Feb Bar) (earliest indicator found) (actual release 03 May)

@LizKozlow [posting released scores tweet] 11:53am 03 May 2012
(No Willett warning tweet found)

2013 (Feb Bar) (earliest indicator found)

@Victoria_Brink [revealing her sister passed] 12:25
11:52am 02 May 2013 @JusticeWillett (Lot's O'nail biting law grads today) Results were released shortly +/— 20 minutes later
July Bar
Halloween 2013 posted at 12:36pm (Saturday) of results being released soon, results posted hours later

2014 (Feb Bar) (earliest indicator found) (actual release date 29 April)

@donmexlar [posting results are in] 11:36am 29 April 2014
Additionally @JusticeWillett posted the top 3 scorers at 8:08am on 02 May 2014

2015 entire year
05 November 2015, he gave a 10 minute warning at 11ish am
29 April 2015 (retweeted same picture of skeleton at keyboard waiting for results as he did recently(week or so ago)) Results came out 45 minutes later
05 November 2015, tweeted at 5:02am that this was the release day. It was.

In conclusion, Willett is but a canary who receives early warnings about an hour or 10 minutes before, not the savior we have made him to be
However
I may find it hard to admit my own fault from my previous post, but thus far I have not seen him be incorrect on the date of release... fuck :(
... Take from this what you will

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by barzamlimbo » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:20 pm

txbarexamineme wrote:I'm at work now and the advanced searches and compilation took place on my mac at home.
That said, I'll piece a partial list from the screenshots on my phone and searches (strictly from Twitter)

Query used in advanced search on Twitter: "Texas Bar" (date ranges between 27 April — 05 May [the year in question])

2011 (Feb Bar) (earliest indicator found) (actual release 05 May)
@robdnl [posting Tx score release] 12:39pm 05 May 2011 (Thursday)
(No Willett warning tweet found)

2012 (Feb Bar) (earliest indicator found) (actual release 03 May)

@LizKozlow [posting released scores tweet] 11:53am 03 May 2012
(No Willett warning tweet found)

2013 (Feb Bar) (earliest indicator found)

@Victoria_Brink [revealing her sister passed] 12:25
11:52am 02 May 2013 @JusticeWillett (Lot's O'nail biting law grads today) Results were released shortly +/— 20 minutes later
July Bar
Halloween 2013 posted at 12:36pm (Saturday) of results being released soon, results posted hours later

2014 (Feb Bar) (earliest indicator found) (actual release date 29 April)

@donmexlar [posting results are in] 11:36am 29 April 2014
Additionally @JusticeWillett posted the top 3 scorers at 8:08am on 02 May 2014

2015 entire year
05 November 2015, he gave a 10 minute warning at 11ish am
29 April 2015 (retweeted same picture of skeleton at keyboard waiting for results as he did recently(week or so ago)) Results came out 45 minutes later
05 November 2015, tweeted at 5:02am that this was the release day. It was.

In conclusion, Willett is but a canary who receives early warnings about an hour or 10 minutes before, not the savior we have made him to be
However
I may find it hard to admit my own fault from my previous post, but thus far I have not seen him be incorrect on the date of release... fuck :(
... Take from this what you will
tell lionel hutz i'm bringing his probability percentage down to .2

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by left shark » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:27 pm

I swear I am going to either vomit or cry or both at any second. There is no way in hell I'll meet my billing requirement for the day. This is just insane.

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by barzamlimbo » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:30 pm

left shark wrote:I swear I am going to either vomit or cry or both at any second. There is no way in hell I'll meet my billing requirement for the day. This is just insane.
same. i've given up on even trying.

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Re: Texas Saloon- Feb. 2016 Texas Bar

Post by DueProcessDoWheelies » Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:30 pm

Sigh

I dont think they are coming out today. I think we would've heard something by now.

Surprised to see they came out on a Saturday in 2013

Seriously? What are you waiting for?

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