February 2015 Bar Results Waiting Room Forum

JoanSloan · Post by **JoanSloan** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 2:02 pm

Well, so far it doesn't look like a horror story.

You're right, smaller samples exhibit higher volatility. If MBE scores were affecting the February test-taking pool, we'd see some notable blips on the radar.

The fact that scores are (so far) consistent with past February scores (2% drop on average seems insignificant) would suggest that...they did a really good job normalizing after the addition of civ pro and crazy prop/k questions.

So... we should expect the same ol' pass rates: 40% for cali and 60% for NY.

Of course, these states also have a significantly smaller number of foreign test takers, and non-first time test takers, so I'm assuming these groups wouldn't be hit disproportionately harder in NY and CA (thus tanking the pass rates in those two states, but not in states like Wisconsin).

Sigh.

If only we could figure out the answer before ever getting that stupid letter....

s1m4 · Post by **s1m4** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 7:34 pm

Cali we get results May 15. Last state to get it?

minnbills · Post by **minnbills** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 7:45 pm

I found an online calculator that gives you odds on whether you passed. Apparently I'm at 98%. If only...

Jimothy · Post by **Jimothy** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 8:26 pm

I really can't help it...link?

DELG · Post by **DELG** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 8:29 pm

minnbills wrote:I found an online calculator that gives you odds on whether you passed. Apparently I'm at 98%. If only...

i also want a link because whatever it is, i bet it will think that i should have failed IL

because i should have failed IL

minnbills · Post by **minnbills** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 8:41 pm

http://witnesseth.typepad.com/blog/2013 ... e-bar.html

minnbills · Post by **minnbills** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 8:42 pm

DELG wrote:
minnbills wrote:I found an online calculator that gives you odds on whether you passed. Apparently I'm at 98%. If only...
i also want a link because whatever it is, i bet it will think that i should have failed IL

because i should have failed IL

congrats though

DELG · Post by **DELG** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 8:51 pm

minnbills wrote:
DELG wrote:
minnbills wrote:I found an online calculator that gives you odds on whether you passed. Apparently I'm at 98%. If only...
i also want a link because whatever it is, i bet it will think that i should have failed IL

because i should have failed IL
congrats though

thanks

this thing makes some seriously unwarranted assumptions about what my LSAT and grades indicate

minnbills · Post by **minnbills** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 9:04 pm

DELG wrote: this thing makes some seriously unwarranted assumptions about what my LSAT and grades indicate

Yeah, it's not exactly scientific, but it makes me feel better.

DELG · Post by **DELG** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 9:05 pm

did you fail one?

minnbills · Post by **minnbills** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 9:14 pm

DELG wrote:did you fail one?

No, first timer

DELG · Post by **DELG** » Tue Apr 07, 2015 9:16 pm

sorry just asking because February

GL I am sure the calculator is nailing it

barmaggedditon · Post by **barmaggedditon** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 7:11 am

Still waiting for results in Guam. Only 10 people took the Feb 2015 exam.

minnbills · Post by **minnbills** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 9:06 am

DELG wrote:sorry just asking because February

GL I am sure the calculator is nailing it

No worries, appreciate it.

I find out on the 20th. Can't wait til this is over.

reasonable troll · Post by **reasonable troll** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 1:42 pm

goes both ways. should have passed in July w/probability of 97%. yasssss, statisticalanomalyspecialsnowflake

FoxCrane · Post by **FoxCrane** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 2:35 pm

Kentucky Bar Results release Friday....getting more nervous the closer it gets.

I feel like it could go anyway. I felt like the MEE was fair, but the MBE was brutal.

comet_halley · Post by **comet_halley** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 2:41 pm

They should be able to grade them in one morning.

barmaggedditon wrote:Still waiting for results in Guam. Only 10 people took the Feb 2015 exam.

psteele99 · Post by **psteele99** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 2:55 pm

The MBE was not the exam I studied for. It was a total slaughter for me. Results coming Friday.... less than 48 hours.

outsidethescope · Post by **outsidethescope** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 3:10 pm

psteele99 wrote:The MBE was not the exam I studied for. It was a total slaughter for me. Results coming Friday.... less than 48 hours.

I made the mistake of reading through the thread about the exam questions and realizing I got most of those wrong, plus missed an area of the law on the essays. I am so nervous for Friday that I could throw up. I've been having nightmares for weeks. This is horrible. :

: to you.

1234567888 · Post by **1234567888** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 4:26 pm

http://0.media.collegehumor.cvcdn.com/7 ... 48fa0c.gif

Me right now...

psteele99 · Post by **psteele99** » Wed Apr 08, 2015 6:32 pm

outsidethescope wrote:
psteele99 wrote:The MBE was not the exam I studied for. It was a total slaughter for me. Results coming Friday.... less than 48 hours.
I made the mistake of reading through the thread about the exam questions and realizing I got most of those wrong, plus missed an area of the law on the essays. I am so nervous for Friday that I could throw up. I've been having nightmares for weeks. This is horrible. :: to you.

I avoid those threads. No one knows what the right answers were for sure. Why torture yourself? I could very well have failed, but as a practice, I don't hang around and discuss any exams. Just adds to irrational paranoia. The bar exam provides enough of that all by its lonesome!

outsidethescope · Post by **outsidethescope** » Thu Apr 09, 2015 3:47 pm

12 hours to go!

numbertwo88 · Post by **numbertwo88** » Thu Apr 09, 2015 7:34 pm

outsidethescope wrote:12 hours to go!

Hope you're relaxing as you wait since you're finally in the final stretch of this torture

FoxCrane · Post by **FoxCrane** » Thu Apr 09, 2015 7:58 pm

Less than 16 hours to go. The struggle is real folks.

DELG · Post by **DELG** » Thu Apr 09, 2015 8:12 pm

Which jurisdictions?

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