Post Exam Predictions Forum

[CactusPuppy]

I'm starting to feel convinced that I'll get Bs or Cs in everything - I'm going to hate myself so much in a couple of weeks. It's going to suck.

I'm stressing too.

[Dale]

No, 50% of people voting would not necessarily have to fall below median, and it doesn't matter if 46% of us think they will be in the top 1/3, because we aren't in the same class.

is this what he was asking?

A part of what I was asking, if the curve is based on having 50 musical chairs for 100 students, then yes I agree, 50% will be left standing in the land of below median. Since I do not grasp all the intricacies of the grading curve perhaps “musical chairs” is not an accurate hypothetical.

Maybe someone more knowledgeable could explain how the curve system works, If there are 100 students, will the median cutoff always be the 50th student?

Perhaps after the grades are released we can move from predictions to results.

[D'Angelo]

No, 50% of people voting would not necessarily have to fall below median, and it doesn't matter if 46% of us think they will be in the top 1/3, because we aren't in the same class.

is this what he was asking?

A part of what I was asking, if the curve is based on having 50 musical chairs for 100 students, then yes I agree, 50% will be left standing in the land of below median. Since I do not grasp all the intricacies of the grading curve perhaps “musical chairs” is not an accurate hypothetical.

Maybe someone more knowledgeable could explain how the curve system works, If there are 100 students, will the median cutoff always be the 50th student?

Perhaps after the grades are released we can move from predictions to results.

by definition the median is between #50 and #51 in that case! median specifically means 50% above and 50% below.

[cinephile]

I heard a rumor our grades come out on Jan. 6th. I'm both excited and terrified.

[Kendi]

by definition the median is between #50 and #51 in that case! median specifically means 50% above and 50% below.

We will all place in one of the two 50% columns, the good or the deficient. After that it is all about how high up the rung you placed or how to handle the depth of disparity.

[Bubbles 4 Life]

.

[nymario]

3 students, curved to 3.0 -
1. A A A A 4.0
2. B B C C 2.5
3. C C B B 2.5

Median = 2.5
Students above median = 33%
Students at or above median = 100%
Students at median = 67%
Students at or below median = 67%
Students below median = 0%

Note that the overall median is not necessarily the same as the curved mean (which is likely the median in any given class).

[thesteelers]

These threads are kind of reassuring, because my section mates are keeping up the confident posturing, the "look at my big dick swing as I swagger" thing. Even when you can guess that it's posturing, even when you're also keeping up a confident facade, all of that still makes you wonder if you're the only one who is freaking out this much and this certain of failure.

[D'Angelo]

3 students, curved to 3.0 -
1. A A A A 4.0
2. B B C C 2.5
3. C C B B 2.5

Median = 2.5
Students above median = 33%
Students at or above median = 100%
Students at median = 67%
Students at or below median = 67%
Students below median = 0%

Note that the overall median is not necessarily the same as the curved mean (which is likely the median in any given class).

because you have a sample size of 3! most of this cannot happen with a sample size of 200 or more...although depending on the curve median and mean can still be fairly far apart

[D'Angelo]

These threads are kind of reassuring, because my section mates are keeping up the confident posturing, the "look at my big dick swing as I swagger" thing. Even when you can guess that it's posturing, even when you're also keeping up a confident facade, all of that still makes you wonder if you're the only one who is freaking out this much and this certain of failure.

vicious cycle! ours just goes in the opposite direction

[Dale]

Lots of ways to slice n’ dice the estimates of 110 exam takers.

• 24% believe they will be in the top 20%.
• 46% think they will be in the third.
• 69% feel that they will be at median or better.
• 27% below median.

Thanks for participating.

[Arbiter213]

For the record, my prediction was correct.