Good post.Anonymous User wrote: ↑Wed Sep 30, 2020 4:19 pmI feel there is significant evidence that firms which are not giving bonuses are not doing so hot financially, despite the arguments to the contrary (probably by worried associates at the firms themselves, although I understand that people may still be working hard.)
I can only think of two firms that have made no changes to their structure, are starting their associates on time in the fall, and gave full fall bonuses. These two firms are Debevoise and Freshfields. I believe it is these two firms that deserve the most credit, as they have fully met their obligations. The rest of the firms seem to be somehow robbing Peter to pay Paul in this instance, by either screwing incoming associates, or screwing low performing partners, in order to pay bonuses to others.
Looking at the others firms which have, so far, given this fall bonus, we see that firms like Sullivan and Cromwell, Simpson Thacher, and Shearman are both starting some or all of their incoming associates in January (https://www.reddit.com/r/LawSchool/comm ... rst_years/). This late start date for associates means that these firms will have extra money on hand in the fall to distribute with these bonuses. In a sense, then, they are not fulfilling their normal obligations to their incoming class (to start them on time), and are allowing current associates to profit off their failure to do right by their incoming associates.
In the case of Davis Polk, I feel that the decision to give this special bonus cannot be separated from their decision a few days before the bonus announcement to abandon the lockstep model (https://abovethelaw.com/2020/09/davis-p ... step-firm/). Abandoning lockstep likely means that Davis Polk cut certain partner draws (these being the partners that did not have much work). In a time like this, abandoning pure lockstep for modified lockstep likely would lead to a significant financial windfall for a firm, which could then distribute that windfall in bonuses.
It is clear that some firms simply cannot afford these bonuses. A firm like Cravath, for instance, has to worry about making payroll in the fall with its incoming class, and this likely drives its inability to give bonuses. All this means that it is clear that most firms in the market, at present, are not able to fully meet their normal obligations of giving market bonuses, starting all staff on time, and maintaining their structures. At least, that seems to be what the evidence so far is pointing to.
Now seems like a good time to point out several of the firms that have not paid bonuses are also deferring their incoming class. At least firms in the position of S&C, even if essentially just re-allocating a shortfall such that current associates profit off incoming associates, are making sure money is directed to associates in some manner.