NY GOES TO 180k! IT HAPPENED!!!! (CovingTTTon does a 180! Holder wept.) Forum

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WilmerHale
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23
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114
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No one! YAY!
25
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Total votes: 241

Anonymous User
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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Anonymous User » Thu Aug 20, 2015 9:13 pm

This is silly.

All that said, keep in mind that places like Paul Weiss and Cleary and maybe Cravath are less likely to lead the charge than other peer firms. Most notably for the above, they have higher leverage and thus any across-the-board increase will reduce their PPP more than other firms (and big decreases look really bad). Not saying they won't, but the calculus for them will be whether the prestige bump from raising salaries will count for more than the greater PPP drop than their peers. (Case in point: PW has tremendous PPP. However, that's largely a function of their leverage of 7 associates per partner as compared against peer firms' leverage of ~4. PW is doing this (a) so their partners are rich, (b) because the type of work they do allows it and (c) because it means that they look like badasses compared against firms with lower leverage (and thus lower PPP). If they raise associate costs, that'll hurt them much more than it'll hurt a similarly-profitable-but-on-the-back-of-"associate productivity"-instead-of-leverage firm like S&C. And that's not good for PW.)

All that said, the impressions among people at my firm are that there's an even chance that salaries go up. Everyone is really busy, practice groups are bleeding associates, and the pay nowadays, compared against the size of debt balances and housing costs in NYC looks really unfavorable.

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swampman

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by swampman » Thu Aug 20, 2015 9:17 pm

Anonymous User wrote:This is silly.

All that said, keep in mind that places like Paul Weiss and Cleary and maybe Cravath are less likely to lead the charge than other peer firms. Most notably for the above, they have higher leverage and thus any across-the-board increase will reduce their PPP more than other firms (and big decreases look really bad). Not saying they won't, but the calculus for them will be whether the prestige bump from raising salaries will count for more than the greater PPP drop than their peers. (Case in point: PW has tremendous PPP. However, that's largely a function of their leverage of 7 associates per partner as compared against peer firms' leverage of ~4. PW is doing this (a) so their partners are rich, (b) because the type of work they do allows it and (c) because it means that they look like badasses compared against firms with lower leverage (and thus lower PPP). If they raise associate costs, that'll hurt them much more than it'll hurt a similarly-profitable-but-on-the-back-of-"associate productivity"-instead-of-leverage firm like S&C. And that's not good for PW.)

All that said, the impressions among people at my firm are that there's an even chance that salaries go up. Everyone is really busy, practice groups are bleeding associates, and the pay nowadays, compared against the size of debt balances and housing costs in NYC looks really unfavorable.
S&C to 190 confirmed.

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TLSModBot

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by TLSModBot » Thu Aug 20, 2015 9:17 pm

Holy shit guys. I was going through the Ashley Madison email dump and look what I found:

Image

PourMeTea

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by PourMeTea » Thu Aug 20, 2015 9:19 pm

right next to wahrheit this is SUS

GreenEggs

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by GreenEggs » Thu Aug 20, 2015 9:21 pm

Anonymous User wrote:Holy shit guys. I was going through the Ashley Madison email dump and look what I found:

Image
:lol:
Last edited by GreenEggs on Fri Jan 26, 2018 10:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Robb

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Robb » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:57 pm

Anonymous User wrote:This is silly.

All that said, keep in mind that places like Paul Weiss and Cleary and maybe Cravath are less likely to lead the charge than other peer firms. Most notably for the above, they have higher leverage and thus any across-the-board increase will reduce their PPP more than other firms (and big decreases look really bad). Not saying they won't, but the calculus for them will be whether the prestige bump from raising salaries will count for more than the greater PPP drop than their peers. (Case in point: PW has tremendous PPP. However, that's largely a function of their leverage of 7 associates per partner as compared against peer firms' leverage of ~4. PW is doing this (a) so their partners are rich, (b) because the type of work they do allows it and (c) because it means that they look like badasses compared against firms with lower leverage (and thus lower PPP). If they raise associate costs, that'll hurt them much more than it'll hurt a similarly-profitable-but-on-the-back-of-"associate productivity"-instead-of-leverage firm like S&C. And that's not good for PW.)

All that said, the impressions among people at my firm are that there's an even chance that salaries go up. Everyone is really busy, practice groups are bleeding associates, and the pay nowadays, compared against the size of debt balances and housing costs in NYC looks really unfavorable.
Where are you getting your info from? None of those firms seem to have significantly different leverage ratios than S&C. Here are their ratios, as well as those of some other firms, based on the attorney profiles on their websites:

S&C: 2.7:1
Simpson Thacher: 2.9:1
Paul Weiss: 3.2:1
Cravath: 3.2:1
Davis Polk: 3.2:1
Cleary: 4.1:1

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Anonymous User » Thu Aug 20, 2015 11:26 pm

Why 190k and not just a nice round 200k?

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Tiago Splitter

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Tiago Splitter » Thu Aug 20, 2015 11:28 pm

Anonymous User wrote:Why 190k and not just a nice round 200k?
Why not a golden toilet seat instead of just a good solid ceramic? I mean JFC

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Anonymous User » Thu Aug 20, 2015 11:31 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:
Anonymous User wrote:Why 190k and not just a nice round 200k?
Why not a golden toilet seat and not just a good solid ceramic? I mean JFC
190k just seems so arbitrary.

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Anonymous User » Thu Aug 20, 2015 11:37 pm

Robb wrote:Where are you getting your info from? None of those firms seem to have significantly different leverage ratios than S&C. Here are their ratios, as well as those of some other firms, based on the attorney profiles on their websites:

S&C: 2.7:1
Simpson Thacher: 2.9:1
Paul Weiss: 3.2:1
Cravath: 3.2:1
Davis Polk: 3.2:1
Cleary: 4.1:1
Poster above here. Numbers come from Amlaw 100 that was released in April. Firm,Lawyers,Equity Partners,Leverage ((Lawyers - Equity Partners)/Equity Partners):

Skadden,1654,383,3.32
S&C,805,170,3.74
Cleary,1178,185,5.37
STB,929,187,3.97
DPW,871,153,4.69
Paul Weiss,943,135,5.98
Cravath,442,91,3.85

Not sure why this differs from your numbers (retired partners? inclusion/exclusion of counsel?). Presumably Amlaw scrubbed their numbers to account for similarly situated lawyers the same way, but who knows. Apologies for exaggerating PW's leverage as 7; I must have confused it with Cadwalader (!).

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by jbagelboy » Fri Aug 21, 2015 1:28 am

Anonymous User wrote:
Robb wrote:Where are you getting your info from? None of those firms seem to have significantly different leverage ratios than S&C. Here are their ratios, as well as those of some other firms, based on the attorney profiles on their websites:

S&C: 2.7:1
Simpson Thacher: 2.9:1
Paul Weiss: 3.2:1
Cravath: 3.2:1
Davis Polk: 3.2:1
Cleary: 4.1:1
Poster above here. Numbers come from Amlaw 100 that was released in April. Firm,Lawyers,Equity Partners,Leverage ((Lawyers - Equity Partners)/Equity Partners):

Skadden,1654,383,3.32
S&C,805,170,3.74
Cleary,1178,185,5.37
STB,929,187,3.97
DPW,871,153,4.69
Paul Weiss,943,135,5.98
Cravath,442,91,3.85

Not sure why this differs from your numbers (retired partners? inclusion/exclusion of counsel?). Presumably Amlaw scrubbed their numbers to account for similarly situated lawyers the same way, but who knows. Apologies for exaggerating PW's leverage as 7; I must have confused it with Cadwalader (!).
Those AMLaw figures certainly are not accurate for CSM and DPW

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DFTHREAD

Post by Desert Fox » Fri Aug 21, 2015 1:32 am

Image
Last edited by Desert Fox on Sat Jan 27, 2018 4:04 am, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by dixiecupdrinking » Fri Aug 21, 2015 1:54 am

Anonymous User wrote:Holy shit guys. I was going through the Ashley Madison email dump and look what I found:

Image
I'm not sure anyone else has realized just how much effort you put into this, and I'm not sure whether to be impressed or sad.

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WhyYaCryin

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by WhyYaCryin » Fri Aug 21, 2015 2:34 am

^
Lol at "Leela wants to feelya"

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John_Luther1989

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by John_Luther1989 » Fri Aug 21, 2015 9:22 am

NY to $190k CONFIRMED!
Last edited by John_Luther1989 on Mon Oct 19, 2015 8:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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checkers

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by checkers » Fri Aug 21, 2015 9:56 am

dixiecupdrinking wrote:
Anonymous User wrote:Holy shit guys. I was going through the Ashley Madison email dump and look what I found:

Image
I'm not sure anyone else has realized just how much effort you put into this, and I'm not sure whether to be impressed or sad.
'DesertFoxWife@gmail.com' hahaha

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Traynor Brah » Fri Aug 21, 2015 10:04 am

:lol: :lol: :lol:

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Cobretti

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Cobretti » Fri Aug 21, 2015 10:13 am

checkers wrote:
dixiecupdrinking wrote:
Anonymous User wrote:Holy shit guys. I was going through the Ashley Madison email dump and look what I found:

Image
I'm not sure anyone else has realized just how much effort you put into this, and I'm not sure whether to be impressed or sad.
'DesertFoxWife@gmail.com' hahaha
This is amazing. Someone is doing excellent work ITT.

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by cookiejar1 » Fri Aug 21, 2015 10:29 am

Literally the height of legal scholarship right here.

lawschool90

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by lawschool90 » Sat Aug 22, 2015 4:59 pm

This thread needs more rumors

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Cobretti » Sat Aug 22, 2015 5:56 pm

lawschool90 wrote:This thread needs more rumors
But how can you have rumors about a confirmed fact?

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Anonymous User » Sat Aug 22, 2015 6:16 pm

It's ridiculous how much unconfirmed trolling is going on in this thread. NYC is not going to be 190K anytime soon.

Wake up people

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by smaug » Sat Aug 22, 2015 6:26 pm

Anonymous User wrote:It's ridiculous how much trolling about this being unconfirmed is going on in this thread. NYC is not going to be 190K anytime soon—It's already there.

Wake up sheeple
ftfy

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El Pollito

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by El Pollito » Sat Aug 22, 2015 6:27 pm

he's right, palo alto to lead the way

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Re: NY to 190k??(possibly led by Paul Weiss)

Post by Anonymous User » Thu Aug 27, 2015 12:10 am

Heard something out of NY today to the effect that they're going up, wasn't told an amount

Seriously? What are you waiting for?

Now there's a charge.
Just kidding ... it's still FREE!


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