December Test Takers Increased Forum

ilikebaseball · Post by **ilikebaseball** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 1:51 pm

surprising. It seems as if schools will struggle to maintain medians though, because the difference surely doesnt make up for the previous LSATs, along with the perceived "difficulty" of the test when compared with the curve of June, Sep, and Dec

MikeJD · Post by **MikeJD** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 2:23 pm

just barely.. How many retakes vs first timers??

MikeJD · Post by **MikeJD** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 2:28 pm

http://www.lsac.org/lsacresources/data/ ... ear-volume

they just updated applicants/applications vs this time last year. Down slightly or about even vs last update.

lawschoolstud23 · Post by **lawschoolstud23** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 3:42 pm

Not surprising. The decrease for the December test last year took a hit because of the storm during that weekend. People postponed the test which is why the February test saw a slight increase(1.1%). Without the storm I estimate around 29,000 takers for December last year. This shows that without the storm it is another possible decrease. Regardless the decreases are slowing.

Rigo · Post by **Rigo** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 3:52 pm

It's interesting. The real tells will be June and September for next cycle though.

foles · Post by **foles** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:02 pm

Mack.Hambleton · Post by **Mack.Hambleton** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:05 pm

MikeJD wrote:http://www.lsac.org/lsacresources/data/ ... ear-volume

they just updated applicants/applications vs this time last year. Down slightly or about even vs last update.

it says down 9% but that doesnt look like it in the graph..

kingpin101 · Post by **kingpin101** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:09 pm

It always amazes me that even in Jan not even half of the all the applicants have applied already.

Rigo · Post by **Rigo** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:12 pm

foles wrote:
Dirigo wrote:It's interesting. The real tells will be June and September for next cycle though.
I'm pretty sure they said that last year about this June and September

June and September really set the tone for the cycle, so they're more indicative than December and February, which both have a huge retaker contingent.

Since I'm c/o 2019, I'm really hoping for another drop next cycle. I also have a weird fascination for things on the decline. *googles Detroit ruin porn*

jw316 · Post by **jw316** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:39 pm

Dirigo wrote:
foles wrote:
Dirigo wrote:It's interesting. The real tells will be June and September for next cycle though.
I'm pretty sure they said that last year about this June and September
June and September really set the tone for the cycle, so they're more indicative than December and February, which both have a huge retaker contingent.

Since I'm c/o 2019, I'm really hoping for another drop next cycle. I also have a weird fascination for things on the decline. *googles Detroit ruin porn*

Damn it Rigo!

pylon · Post by **pylon** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:53 pm

kingpin101 wrote:It always amazes me that even in Jan not even half of the all the applicants have applied already.

Same here! It's easy to get lost in the TLS hive-mind.

Moneytrees · Post by **Moneytrees** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:53 pm

So applications are down 11% so far this year? That's a pretty big drop.

AOT · Post by **AOT** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:55 pm

pylon wrote:
kingpin101 wrote:It always amazes me that even in Jan not even half of the all the applicants have applied already.
Same here! It's easy to get lost in the TLS hive-mind.

ilikebaseball · Post by **ilikebaseball** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:58 pm

Ya, most people are applying around this time or next month, it seems. People from TLS apply super early, but there's no harm in that

bl1nds1ght · Post by **bl1nds1ght** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 5:48 pm

Curious to see what Feb will bring now. Wondering whether retakers just chose Dec over Feb or whether we'll see more retakers again in Feb.

As long as the # of applicants/matriculants continues to fall, that's fine with me.

foles · Post by **foles** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 5:49 pm

indo · Post by **indo** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 7:39 pm

MikeJD wrote:http://www.lsac.org/lsacresources/data/ ... ear-volume

they just updated applicants/applications vs this time last year. Down slightly or about even vs last update.

I am sure LSAC made a mistake on the graphs.

If the applicant and application are down 9.0 % and 11.1 % respectively, there should be a gap between 2014 and 2015 on the graphs.

pylon · Post by **pylon** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 10:37 pm

foles wrote:Re-updated the projections for the end of cycle numbers (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =851595791)

This is a great resource, foles!

If I'm reading it correctly, all of the T14 need approx. ~1500 170+ scorers?

AReasonableMan · Post by **AReasonableMan** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 10:54 pm

pylon wrote:
foles wrote:Re-updated the projections for the end of cycle numbers (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =851595791)
This is a great resource, foles!

If I'm reading it correctly, all of the T14 need approx. ~1500 170+ scorers?

Any one school only needs as many as its peer schools. I'm sure the deans talk to each other, and when the medians go down it's only a surprise to us commoners.

lawschool1741 · Post by **lawschool1741** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 11:01 pm

Tagged.

foles · Post by **foles** » Wed Jan 07, 2015 11:16 pm

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