bk187 wrote:I agree with IAFG that self-selection definitely hurts GULC. See:
bk187 wrote:bk187 wrote:I'll agree that GULC gets hurt by its large class size but I feel that TLS exaggerates the difference between it and the rest of the T14 (consider that GULCers are more likely to want govt work and are more likely to target DC, one of the hardest markets, rather than NYC, one of the easiest markets). I could be wrong but I feel that it is a lot of conjecture on either side of the argument. I understand that this is a simplistic analysis but looking at NLJ250 data (which of course doesn't account for clerkships and a myriad other things): GULC was
within 0.5% of UMich in 2011, within 0.5% of Duke in 2010, over 1% ahead of Cornell in 2009, roughly 5% behind UMich (50vs55) in 2008, roughly 5% behind Berkeley (48vs53) in 2007,
almost 5% ahead of Berkeley (53vs49) in 2006, and tied with Berkeley in 2005. Yes GULC is the laggard at the tail end of the T14 because it has a lot of students, but I would not say that the difference is substantial enough to dismiss it outright when compared to another lower T14 at similar cost.
Not to mention on the unemployment/underemployment front GULC does about as poorly as other lower T14's (
http://www.top-law-schools.com/forums/v ... 1&t=181723). Which gives credence to the idea that self-selection hurts GULC's biglaw placement and not its job placement ability.
I think there's a lot of things that hurt GULC's placement: gunning for DC and striking out, self-selecting out of biglaw, etc. I agree that there is some risk in GULC because it's hard to know how much self-selection really is at work. Considering that, I would agree with a call like IAFG's of taking another lower T14 even at a 10k/year higher cost than GULC. Though, in the end, I think if you are okay with other T14s at sticker I think you should be okay with GULC at sticker.
I also think LST's score is off and I'm not entirely sure why (maybe because gov jobs count as JD advantage?). Adding up firms of 100+, fed clerks, gov, and PI gets you 55% of GULC's class of 2011. That seems to me to be a reasonable percentage and I don't think it makes it a worse call than other schools (e.g. UMich at 60%).
Government jobs do not count as JD Advantage unless they are JD Advantage. JDA and Gov't are two answers to two different questions. Jobs can be JDA + Govt and they can be BPR + Govt.
With that said, it is worth looking back at the OP to see why the question was asked. OP wondered why the school had so many people saying that it wasn't worth a full ride when compared to HLS at sticker. While the analysis in the OP's quote is too simplistic for my taste, the gut of it is that people are starting to question the placement ability of some of the most prestigious schools in the country, and whether the juice is worth the squeeze (anybody know the reference?!).
The T14 designation has been stupid from the beginning. It's always been a shorthand for worth, and how it cuts has evolved over the years. During my application year (2007-08), the shorthand was that all schools in the T14 are worth sticker period. I argued against that then, and things have only worsened in that time because jobs are down, salaries at those jobs are down, and costs are way up.
One common trend is to look at Georgetown as a little more non-traditional. Whether people claim that it is a big fed feeder, or a public interest school, or a place where people go to use their JD in non-legal capacities, it's always something. The data, in my opinion, don't support any of these claims. Look at the trends:
The data for 2007 and 2008 data are sparse, but here is a loose estimation:
2007: 90% in BPR, 1% in JDA, and 2% in Professional
5.6% in federal clerkships, 68.3% in firms, 4.4% in public interest, 7.1% in gov't, 4.5% in business.
2008: 86.3% in BPR jobs, 2.9% in JDA, 4.9% in professional jobs.
7% in federal clerkships, 72% in firms, 5% in public interest, 6% in gov't, 4% in business.
2009: 78.3% in BPR jobs. 2.1% in JD Advantage. 4.7% in other Professional jobs.
4.9% in fed clerkships, 61.8% in firms, 10% in public interest, 1.8% in business, and 8.3% in gov't. We don't have data on firm size, though we know that GULC put 42.8% in the NLJ 250.
2010: 68.3% in BPR jobs. 19.3% in JDA jobs. 6.5% in professional. BUT, 11.3% were in jobs funded by the law school.
4.5% in fed clerkships, 49% in firms, 13.3% in public interest, 5.3% in business, and 15.9% in gov't. 41.9% in firms over 100 attorneys (full-time only).
2011: 63.8% in BPR jobs. 22.5% in JDA jobs. 2.8% in professional. 13% were in jobs funded by the law school.
3.9% in fed clerkships, 42.9% in firms, 15.2% in public interest, 9.8% in business, and 13.5% in govt. 33.9% in firms over 100 attorneys (full-time only)
Unless somebody has a good reason to think that Georgetown admitted different kinds of people than they did from 2003 through 2008, it appears that people take a lot of jobs from Georgetown that prior classes once selected away from.