NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012 Forum
- JamesDean1955
- Posts: 744
- Joined: Sun Jul 29, 2012 4:06 pm
Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
I really think people are over analyzing this whole thing. Yes, the tiers are useless. Yes, it will be impossible to know exactly how and exactly why ones chances improve/worsen from one school to the next (outside of HYS).
But the bottom line is (correct me if I'm wrong), the % students getting A3 clerkships + biglaw is ROUGHLY greater than or equal to your % chances of doing the same. That is to say that placement stats /=/ placement ability, but in fact they understate placement ability. How could they overstate placement ability? Students just "getting lucky"? I don't think so. If you go to Penn, at least 60% of your class is getting biglaw. If you go to Michigan, x% or more of your class is getting biglaw.
If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students. Are these below median students being selected by grades? Interview skills? Ties? Who cares!
If I'm going to take out a shitload of loans to finance my legal education, I want to go to the one that, on paper, has the best placement stats for the job outcomes I need to pay off my loans. Statistically speaking this is the best chance I have, these are the only measurements available, and postulating "what if" scenarios is just a waste of time.
But the bottom line is (correct me if I'm wrong), the % students getting A3 clerkships + biglaw is ROUGHLY greater than or equal to your % chances of doing the same. That is to say that placement stats /=/ placement ability, but in fact they understate placement ability. How could they overstate placement ability? Students just "getting lucky"? I don't think so. If you go to Penn, at least 60% of your class is getting biglaw. If you go to Michigan, x% or more of your class is getting biglaw.
If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students. Are these below median students being selected by grades? Interview skills? Ties? Who cares!
If I'm going to take out a shitload of loans to finance my legal education, I want to go to the one that, on paper, has the best placement stats for the job outcomes I need to pay off my loans. Statistically speaking this is the best chance I have, these are the only measurements available, and postulating "what if" scenarios is just a waste of time.
- Rahviveh
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- Joined: Mon Aug 06, 2012 12:02 pm
Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
Although I agree with this sentiment, as you know the choice people will usually be faced with is whether to take P over M or V with larger scholarships. At that point you have to decide whether you're willing to spend tens of thousands of dollars based on your faith in these stats.JamesDean1955 wrote:I really think people are over analyzing this whole thing. Yes, the tiers are useless. Yes, it will be impossible to know exactly how and exactly why ones chances improve/worsen from one school to the next (outside of HYS).
But the bottom line is (correct me if I'm wrong), the % students getting A3 clerkships + biglaw is ROUGHLY greater than or equal to your % chances of doing the same. That is to say that placement stats /=/ placement ability, but in fact they understate placement ability. How could they overstate placement ability? Students just "getting lucky"? I don't think so.
If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students. Are these below median students being selected by grades? Interview skills? Ties? Who cares!
If I'm going to take out a shitload of loans to finance my legal education, I want to go to the one that, on paper, has the best placement stats for the job outcomes I need to pay off my loans. Statistically speaking this is the best chance I have, these are the only measurements available, and postulating "what if" scenarios is just a waste of time.
- JamesDean1955
- Posts: 744
- Joined: Sun Jul 29, 2012 4:06 pm
Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
Agreed. Of course you need to assume scholarships are equal for this to work, which is seldom the case, but nevertheless I think this approach has value and you simply need to determine how much that (approximate) extra placement boost is, and how much that's worth to you.ChampagnePapi wrote:Although I agree with this sentiment, as you know the choice people will usually be faced with is whether to take P over M or V with larger scholarships. At that point you have to decide whether you're willing to spend tens of thousands of dollars based on your faith in these stats.JamesDean1955 wrote:I really think people are over analyzing this whole thing. Yes, the tiers are useless. Yes, it will be impossible to know exactly how and exactly why ones chances improve/worsen from one school to the next (outside of HYS).
But the bottom line is (correct me if I'm wrong), the % students getting A3 clerkships + biglaw is ROUGHLY greater than or equal to your % chances of doing the same. That is to say that placement stats /=/ placement ability, but in fact they understate placement ability. How could they overstate placement ability? Students just "getting lucky"? I don't think so.
If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students. Are these below median students being selected by grades? Interview skills? Ties? Who cares!
If I'm going to take out a shitload of loans to finance my legal education, I want to go to the one that, on paper, has the best placement stats for the job outcomes I need to pay off my loans. Statistically speaking this is the best chance I have, these are the only measurements available, and postulating "what if" scenarios is just a waste of time.
There are two major concerns when taking out the level of debt that only biglaw can pay off. The first is getting the job in the first place. The second is sticking with it (or not getting pushed out) long enough to service your debt.
It's up to you to balance these concerns, but for me personally, I'm going to worry far more about the first concern rather than the latter.
- bizzybone1313
- Posts: 1001
- Joined: Wed Jul 11, 2012 4:31 pm
Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
It seems that M and V are underperforming relative to P due to having less lay prestige. Since a lot of Big Law work has to do with performing deals for business clients, Penn garners more respect among the Wharton/executive types.
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- stillwater
- Posts: 3804
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
if there were even an argument for this, it would presumably be because clients are laypersonsslack_academic wrote:Why would law firms care about lay prestige?bizzybone1313 wrote:It seems that M and V are underperforming relative to P due to having less lay prestige. Since a lot of Big Law work has to do with performing deals for business clients, Penn garners more respect among the Wharton/executive types.
- JamesDean1955
- Posts: 744
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
"You can't eat prestige" - LST
Idk if it's prestige, maybe a little, probably not a lot, but Penn out-places M and V in biglaw, that's a fact.
Idk if it's prestige, maybe a little, probably not a lot, but Penn out-places M and V in biglaw, that's a fact.
- bizzybone1313
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
I had never heard of the University of Virginia until a few years back when I started doing research on law schools. Some of the people that want legal services are lay people. Basically, Penn in the northeast is probably a whole lot more respected than Virginia and Michigan. The numbers seem to show this. To be honest, I didn't know Penn was an Ivy until I looked them up. I have always known Harvard, Yale, Columbia and Cornell are Ivies.slack_academic wrote:Why would law firms care about lay prestige?bizzybone1313 wrote:It seems that M and V are underperforming relative to P due to having less lay prestige. Since a lot of Big Law work has to do with performing deals for business clients, Penn garners more respect among the Wharton/executive types.
- mephistopheles
- Posts: 1936
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
bizzybone1313 wrote:I had never heard of the University of Virginia until a few years back when I started doing research on law schools. Some of the people that want legal services are lay people. Basically, Penn in the northeast is probably a whole lot more respected than Virginia and Michigan. The numbers seem to show this. To be honest, I didn't know Penn was an Ivy until I looked them up. I have always known Harvard, Yale, Columbia and Cornell are Ivies.slack_academic wrote:Why would law firms care about lay prestige?bizzybone1313 wrote:It seems that M and V are underperforming relative to P due to having less lay prestige. Since a lot of Big Law work has to do with performing deals for business clients, Penn garners more respect among the Wharton/executive types.
is michigan even that respected anywhere? (well, aside from michigan and the rest of the midwesttt?
- bizzybone1313
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
Exactly. If the clients aren't lawyers themselves, then by definition they are laypersons, even if they have MBA's from Harvard and the like.stillwater wrote:if there were even an argument for this, it would presumably be because clients are laypersonsslack_academic wrote:Why would law firms care about lay prestige?bizzybone1313 wrote:It seems that M and V are underperforming relative to P due to having less lay prestige. Since a lot of Big Law work has to do with performing deals for business clients, Penn garners more respect among the Wharton/executive types.
- Nelson
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
This is preposterous. You must be trolling.bizzybone1313 wrote:It seems that M and V are underperforming relative to P due to having less lay prestige. Since a lot of Big Law work has to do with performing deals for business clients, Penn garners more respect among the Wharton/executive types.
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
What the fuck? Did nobody else see this?Aberzombie1892 wrote:HYS, CCP, N/N/V/B/C/D/M, G
But this is nothing new if you have been looking at NLJ and Art. 3 placement over the last few years (since 2005).
EDIT: I do worry that it will eventually be M/G will be together at the end of the T14. I am actually serious.
Why are you so adamant about CCP? Columbia placed 53.26% and NYU placed 52.93% into the NLJ 250, that's a difference of less than 0.33%. Even granting that only a trivial number of NYU's grads self-select into preftigious PI, how does that justify CCP with NYU an entire tier below?
Disclaimer: Not a future NYU student, just trying to understand your logic.
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- Crowing
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
This is not actually true. I mean I'm sure firms DO take below median students, but that figure doesn't necessarily imply that.JamesDean1955 wrote: If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students.
- Crowing
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
He has been seriously Penn trolling for a long time now and nobody understands why because he doesn't even go to Penn.Suralin wrote:What the fuck? Did nobody else see this?Aberzombie1892 wrote:HYS, CCP, N/N/V/B/C/D/M, G
But this is nothing new if you have been looking at NLJ and Art. 3 placement over the last few years (since 2005).
EDIT: I do worry that it will eventually be M/G will be together at the end of the T14. I am actually serious.
Why are you so adamant about CCP? Columbia placed 53.26% and NYU placed 52.93% into the NLJ 250, that's a difference of less than 0.33%. Even granting that only a trivial number of NYU's grads self-select into preftigious PI, how does that justify CCP with NYU an entire tier below?
Disclaimer: Not a future NYU student, just trying to understand your logic.
- JamesDean1955
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
Can you explain why?Crowing wrote:This is not actually true. I mean I'm sure firms DO take below median students, but that figure doesn't necessarily imply that.JamesDean1955 wrote: If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students.
- mephistopheles
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
practically, i think it does.Crowing wrote:This is not actually true. I mean I'm sure firms DO take below median students, but that figure doesn't necessarily imply that.JamesDean1955 wrote: If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students.
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- Crowing
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
My understanding is that due to the way law schools grade, there are typically a lot more than 50% people at or above median, but I'm sure this varies by school.JamesDean1955 wrote:Can you explain why?Crowing wrote:This is not actually true. I mean I'm sure firms DO take below median students, but that figure doesn't necessarily imply that.JamesDean1955 wrote: If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students.
- Rahviveh
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
Right, a lot of people are clustered at median, so "below median" might only be 30-40% of the class.Crowing wrote:My understanding is that due to the way law schools grade, there are typically a lot more than 50% people at or above median, but I'm sure this varies by school.JamesDean1955 wrote:Can you explain why?Crowing wrote:This is not actually true. I mean I'm sure firms DO take below median students, but that figure doesn't necessarily imply that.JamesDean1955 wrote: If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students.
So from our standpoint we are really thinking of probabilities and below median is not necessarily a helpful concept
Last edited by Rahviveh on Sat Feb 23, 2013 10:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- stillwater
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
yea, wut????, how does that mean they don't dip below median?mephistopheles wrote:practically, i think it does.Crowing wrote:This is not actually true. I mean I'm sure firms DO take below median students, but that figure doesn't necessarily imply that.JamesDean1955 wrote: If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students.
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
I've been trying to clarify the median thing for quite a while. People don't listen. 5 out of 3 americans don't understand statistics and all that.Crowing wrote:My understanding is that due to the way law schools grade, there are typically a lot more than 50% people at or above median, but I'm sure this varies by school.JamesDean1955 wrote:Can you explain why?Crowing wrote:This is not actually true. I mean I'm sure firms DO take below median students, but that figure doesn't necessarily imply that.JamesDean1955 wrote: If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students.
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- mephistopheles
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
the idea is that it's a positively skewed normal distribution. see champagnepapi, supra. but, 70% may be a bit high to not dip below.stillwater wrote:yea, wut????, how does that mean they don't dip below median?mephistopheles wrote:practically, i think it does.Crowing wrote:This is not actually true. I mean I'm sure firms DO take below median students, but that figure doesn't necessarily imply that.JamesDean1955 wrote: If a school places 70% in biglaw, then clearly firms are taking below median students.
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
In-house GCs who go to outside counsel are lawyers and as such don't care about lay prestige.
- stillwater
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
yea a 20% bulge seems extrememephistopheles wrote:
the idea is that it's a positively skewed normal distribution so the median, while the center grade, is not the mean. see champagnepapi, supra. but, 70% may be a bit high.
- JamesDean1955
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Re: NLJ 250 Placement for C/O 2012
Ah, I'm always thinking in terms of a symmetric distribution, what y'all said makes sense.
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