Guessing on the LSAT

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Guessing on the LSAT

Postby zanzbar » Wed Feb 02, 2011 9:18 pm

I know its been said that there is no favored LSAT answer choice, but I was wondering if anyone has ever taken the time to try to test this philosophy. Currently We have 67 released tests(62 numbered+June 2007+ Feb97+Super prep A,B,C) with roughly 100 questions each (some 101) so we have 6700 total questions which should be a decent sample size to test with.

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Re: Guessing on the LSAT

Postby northwood » Wed Feb 02, 2011 9:24 pm

Pick any letter and use that same letter on all questions you guess.
You can experiment with guessing letters on practice tests, but just go with one on game day ( preferably not E)

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Re: Guessing on the LSAT

Postby 2011Law » Wed Feb 02, 2011 9:29 pm

I remember that the bibles had a thing where it showed which answer choices were the most popular overall and then in the last 5 or 10 or something. Didn't bother to memorize it.

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Re: Guessing on the LSAT

Postby Kurst » Wed Feb 02, 2011 9:30 pm

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Re: Guessing on the LSAT

Postby Beast15 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 7:11 am

Kurst wrote:


Steve's data is supported by my work.

I did something similar for my own benefit and came up with nearly identical results. I ran various tests using Bayesian methods though.

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Re: Guessing on the LSAT

Postby clarsen » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:08 pm

I think what is most important is to pick a letter and stick with it throughout the test. In my prep class, our instructor discussed a test from years ago where they tried to stick it to an article that was released shortly before the test. Apparently someone thought they had actual results indicating that selecting a specific letter (sorry, I forget which one) on the LSAT would yield more correct answers when guessing. The LSAT caught wind of this and made sure to disprove this theory on the next test. There were far less of this answer, causing anyone who followed the theory to struggle (assuming they had to guess on a question).

Although there is no reasoning, another thing my prep class instructor suggested was choosing either B or D. His reasoning was simple, and humerous:

A: You're too optimistic
C: Everyone knows C is the go to answer, so pick something else
E: You're too pessimistic

Like I said, no basis for this, but I chose D for my guess answer.

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Re: Guessing on the LSAT

Postby DarkPhantom » Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:19 pm

I have done many times straight Cs on previous exams, and have learned, it is either B or D, with the Cs, you MIGHT get 1/10 overall guessing, w/ the B or D strat, I have gotten maybe 2/10 and sometimes 3/10

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Re: Guessing on the LSAT

Postby zanzbar » Fri Feb 04, 2011 5:07 pm

Thanks everyone for the data, and the advice I am probably going to go D if I ever have to guess, but I am hoping with 4 more months of prep that it won't be necessary come test day.

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