Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

What will the October 2010 curve be?

-7
3
3%
-8
0
No votes
-9
6
6%
-10
21
21%
-11
37
37%
-12
22
22%
-13
5
5%
-14
2
2%
-15
4
4%
 
Total votes: 100

User avatar
Fresh
Posts: 681
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:30 pm

Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby Fresh » Sun Oct 10, 2010 3:36 am

So everyone seems to have a guess for what this October's curve will be. Why not harness the predictive power of TLSers to guess the curve? I'll be surprised if the poll doesn't bring us within 1 point of the actual curve.

I'm going to guess -11 (for 170). A lot of people think that this test had a easy/avg. RC and LR section, but it doesn't really matter. The number one determinant of curves is the difficulty of the logic games section. That said, this test did not have an easy games section. While there was no truly difficult game, each game had its own challenges, which definitely made finishing on time difficult for a lot of people... including me :( Note to Dec. takers: Logic Games are no longer as easy as they were in the early-mid 50 PTs. Speed seems to be a much bigger factor recently.

Also, I'm pretty sure October tends to have the strongest scores (a lot of re-takers, a lot of testers). Does anyone disagree with this?

User avatar
northwood
Posts: 4872
Joined: Fri May 14, 2010 7:29 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby northwood » Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:03 am

im not sure... id say to prep RC, because the questions seemed harder than normal, but i may be in the minority on that one... also, be aware of timing... i was prepping with 5 minutes to spare,and i just finished each section with about a minute left..... not horrendous, but something to think about in the future

while there wasnt a horrible lg game, all of them had wide open formats which made for a lot of plug and chug......

Hedwig
Posts: 835
Joined: Sun Jun 27, 2010 1:56 am

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby Hedwig » Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:13 am

I chose -14 because when I played my music this morning, I made sure to keep it on volume level 14 and the CD I played had 14 songs on it (The Glass Passenger - Jack's Mannequin).

Obviously the power of my magical thinking will sway the LSAC gods into a -14 curve. YOU BETTER BELIEVE IT.

User avatar
northwood
Posts: 4872
Joined: Fri May 14, 2010 7:29 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby northwood » Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:16 am

-22.. only because I am positive the lsat is crying for its mommy right now!!!!

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Lasers
Posts: 1576
Joined: Sat Jul 10, 2010 6:46 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby Lasers » Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:29 am

games took me too long; i knew how to do all of them, but i couldn't finish the last game and had to guess on the last 4.

no clue how i did on both RC or LR.

my guess is -11 as well. won't be surprised to see a -10 or -12. -14 would be nice. :o

User avatar
WonkyPanda
Posts: 346
Joined: Mon Dec 07, 2009 9:35 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby WonkyPanda » Sun Oct 10, 2010 5:52 am

I like eit's creepy 14 reasoning but my gut is thinking -11.

User avatar
Fresh
Posts: 681
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:30 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby Fresh » Sun Oct 10, 2010 9:38 am

eit - easy with all the scientific reasoning, geez.

User avatar
WonkyPanda
Posts: 346
Joined: Mon Dec 07, 2009 9:35 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby WonkyPanda » Sun Oct 10, 2010 12:08 pm

Fresh wrote:eit - easy with all the scientific reasoning, geez.


Seriously, we're trying to be law people and not one of those 'astromanauts.'

User avatar
incompetentia
Posts: 2307
Joined: Thu Sep 30, 2010 2:57 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby incompetentia » Sun Oct 10, 2010 3:05 pm

WonkyPanda wrote:
Fresh wrote:eit - easy with all the scientific reasoning, geez.


Seriously, we're trying to be law people and not one of those 'astromanauts.'

This guy lived 2 doors down from me for a year.
*Edited version, original was about 11 minutes of this

But seriously, -10 plus or minus one. It was not an exceptionally difficult test, so I doubt -12+, but we are seeing a LOT of cancellations...so probably not -8ish?

kpuc
Posts: 251
Joined: Fri Jan 22, 2010 12:28 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby kpuc » Sun Oct 10, 2010 3:07 pm

It'll be -11. Very similar to last year's October test.

User avatar
kwais
Posts: 1683
Joined: Tue May 11, 2010 12:28 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby kwais » Sun Oct 10, 2010 3:26 pm

correct me if I am wrong. June was -12 and considered one of the hardest tests? If that is true than this test can't be more than -10. I feel that every game was reasonable

User avatar
Fresh
Posts: 681
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:30 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby Fresh » Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:27 pm

kwais wrote:correct me if I am wrong. June was -12 and considered one of the hardest tests? If that is true than this test can't be more than -10. I feel that every game was reasonable


Dec. 09 was one of the hardest recent tests. The curve was -14. The LG for June's test was reasonable, but it was time consuming. I imagine that some people thought the games from Oct. 10 was time consuming as well, so I wouldn't be surprised for -11. Of course, we're all just guessing!

User avatar
incompetentia
Posts: 2307
Joined: Thu Sep 30, 2010 2:57 pm

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!

Postby incompetentia » Sun Oct 10, 2010 5:18 pm

Perfect avatar-comment synergy right there.

I mean, perfect.




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