Chance me at T8: 175+, 3.3x
Posted: Sun Nov 17, 2019 4:33 pm
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https://www.top-law-schools.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=9&t=303608
I'd also encourage OP to be sure they actually want to practice law. Their entire resume screams b-school - the finance major, the asset management internship, the consulting club, the financial modeling club, the stock pitch competition, the business prof LOR, all leading up to the i-banking analyst gig, which - presumably - was leading up to b-school and a promotion to i-banking/MBB associate. Even in law school applications, OP seems to have simply substituted the "M8" business schools for the "T8" law schools. I don't mean to attack OP at all - they may very well have thought this through. I just want to double-check to make sure OP isn't making a hasty mistake that could have long-lasting implications for the rest of their career.cavalier1138 wrote:HYS (and some of the more grade-sensitive T13s like Chicago) are almost certainly not happening.
And if "T8" indicates that you didn't apply to schools ranked below 8 in this year's rankings, fix that. There's absolutely no reason to cut off those options, especially for a splitter.
Right, but you don't have a 3.4/180. You have a 3.23/178, from a generic undergrad, in a subject that HYS admissions officers do not see as particularly rigorous.Chinston Wurchill wrote:Hmm, never heard of M8. Never been interested in business school either. I've been wanting to go to law school since high school. I wanted to major in something new, hence finance. And T8 was an arbitrary cut-off since Michigan an above are my dream schools. Of course I'd be content with T9-14, too.
Aside, I was looking more of an assessment of my soft factors that might push me over the edge and wanted someone to judge whether they were good or not. I find it curious my chances are slim to none at Harvard when MyLsn says they're probably 20-30% if you cue in 3.1-3.4 range GPA and 178-180. Also consider, 4 people were waitlisted at Harvard. Also, not applying this cycle. I am applying at the crack of dawn on the next one in September with everything ready to go.
You classified this cutoff as arbitrary, but you're also calling this group your "dream schools." So which is it? Why isn't UVA as good an option as Michigan for you? Or Northwestern?Chinston Wurchill wrote:And T8 was an arbitrary cut-off since Michigan an above are my dream schools.
And your preferences just happen to line up with the top 8 schools based on this year's rankings?Chinston Wurchill wrote:@cavalier, just preferences and location. I guess duke would be 9 for me.
Where’d you end up if you don’t my my asking? And was your cycle about what you expected?dyemond wrote:we had very similar numbers (your lsat is slightly better, my gpa was slightly better) and roughly equivalent WE and UG experience. blanket the T14, you'll end up somewhere.
decimalsanddollars wrote:Your numbers split is about as wide as it could possibly be, so your application is not a "sure thing" at any T8 school. I won't harp on whether that distinction is arbitrary, but you seem to have identified a range of schools that don't have much data on super-wide splitters. I was a splitter back in the day, and I know it's going to depend greatly on what each particular school's admissions needs are, so I recommend applying to the whole T13 and, really, T19 regardless of where you want to land. That may not be the advice you're asking for, but...If you came here to have people who've seen the admissions process happen several times tell you that you're a lock at Harvard, you've come to the wrong place.
I feel for you, but we would all be guessing blind here. Your softs are pretty good, and any school that would actually consider you would look at the whole package (as they generally do for splitters), but nobody really knows how much of a difference softs will make---except that you generally need exceptional softs as well as ideal numbers for Y/S and that Northwestern generally cares more than other top schools about experienceChinston Wurchill wrote:decimalsanddollars wrote:Your numbers split is about as wide as it could possibly be, so your application is not a "sure thing" at any T8 school. I won't harp on whether that distinction is arbitrary, but you seem to have identified a range of schools that don't have much data on super-wide splitters. I was a splitter back in the day, and I know it's going to depend greatly on what each particular school's admissions needs are, so I recommend applying to the whole T13 and, really, T19 regardless of where you want to land. That may not be the advice you're asking for, but...If you came here to have people who've seen the admissions process happen several times tell you that you're a lock at Harvard, you've come to the wrong place.
I get it. I just feel very uncomfortable not even knowing where I might end up given extreme splitter. Probably foolish of me to solicit opionions in attempt to hold me over for the next 1.5 years while I wait to find out where I’m going :/
Splitters' cycles are unpredictable, unfortunately. If you blanket the T13, you can rest easy that you will get in somewhere (almost certainly multiple somewheres). But we can't tell you you're a lock for any particular school. You probably have lower chances at YSH due to your GPA (though everyone has low chances at Y/S anyway), as well as the few non-YSH T13s that are idiosyncratically GPA-selective (Berkeley and Cornell come to mind), but anyway you should just blanket the T13. There really is no reason to draw the line at 8 - there is no sharp line in prestige or placement power between Virginia and Michigan. And location can't explain it either, unless somehow you'd be fine with Palo Alto but refuse to live in Berkeley, or are willing to accept living in Virginia but not North Carolina, or are willing to live in Chicago but not downtown Chicago.Chinston Wurchill wrote:decimalsanddollars wrote:Your numbers split is about as wide as it could possibly be, so your application is not a "sure thing" at any T8 school. I won't harp on whether that distinction is arbitrary, but you seem to have identified a range of schools that don't have much data on super-wide splitters. I was a splitter back in the day, and I know it's going to depend greatly on what each particular school's admissions needs are, so I recommend applying to the whole T13 and, really, T19 regardless of where you want to land. That may not be the advice you're asking for, but...If you came here to have people who've seen the admissions process happen several times tell you that you're a lock at Harvard, you've come to the wrong place.
I get it. I just feel very uncomfortable not even knowing where I might end up given extreme splitter. Probably foolish of me to solicit opionions in attempt to hold me over for the next 1.5 years while I wait to find out where I’m going :/
Frankly, I find it hard to believe you were "never" interested in business. It's not just the finance major standing alone, but also the asset management internship, the consulting club, the financial modeling club, the stock pitch competition, the business prof LOR, and ultimately the i-banking analyst gig. It seems more likely that someone who was "never" interested in business - but was, rather, strongly interested in law all along - would have found some way of squeezing in at least one law-related internship during college, and would maybe have sought out a law/policy-related gig after college instead of going into i-banking.Chinston Wurchill wrote:Hmm, never heard of M8. Never been interested in business school either. I've been wanting to go to law school since high school. I wanted to major in something new, hence finance. And T8 was an arbitrary cut-off since Michigan an above are my dream schools. Of course I'd be content with T9-14, too.
Let's look at the whole dataset because a sample size of 4 is like, totally irrelevant, as you point out: If you run through MyLSN to 2012 with those numbers (reasonable IMO--law school apps are up since Trump came in, especially HLS's), you're not over 50% at *any* T14 except Georgetown, I think? Run it back to 2003 (again, I think the older data might tell you something, given the spike in law school apps), you get a bigger sample and a similar story.Chinston Wurchill wrote:LBJ, except the numbers don’t really support your argument. When you do a 177-179 and 3.1-3.2 on MyLSN, Harvard becomes 50-50 (granted with a sample of 4, that’s why I included a larger range initially). Point is, numbers should say at at least a 20% chance at Harvard as is. But understood on your point about my business background. In how I weight it though, those sorts are only half of my total. I think I got a good life story about hardship, growing up with opioids and ultimately losing a parent right before college because of it. Plus part time volunteer experience with americorps I forgot to put on there, which was service related to helping people with opioid problems.
@cavalier, just preferences and location. I guess duke would be 9 for me.
I know it was mentioned again, but you seem to keep glossing over this point: Your individual "ranking" of T13 schools makes no sense, especially because you're focusing on the schools that are less splitter-friendly and less likely to give you money.Chinston Wurchill wrote:why so fixed on the T8 xD let’s just say I meant to say 14 then. I generally like the T8 - NYU + Duke, that’s why I said it. Also, I am just less curious about my results from T9 -T14
CLS. I had no idea what to expect on my cycle tbh. I got dinged at hysc, waitlisted at nyu, accepted at MV, ding at penn, accept at NU, waitlist at duke, ding at gulc, ucla, usc, ut. got money from a bunch of the t25.Chinston Wurchill wrote:Where’d you end up if you don’t my my asking? And was your cycle about what you expected?dyemond wrote:we had very similar numbers (your lsat is slightly better, my gpa was slightly better) and roughly equivalent WE and UG experience. blanket the T14, you'll end up somewhere.
Congrats on landing at CLS!dyemond wrote:CLS. I had no idea what to expect on my cycle tbh. I got dinged at hysc, waitlisted at nyu, accepted at MV, ding at penn, accept at NU, waitlist at duke, ding at gulc, ucla, usc, ut. got money from a bunch of the t25.
I really wasn't fully-plugged into the lawschool application machine so my LORs were probably mediocre, my personal statement wasn't inspiring although it was honest so maybe that helped. My resume also screamed b-school although my personal statement probably mitigated that. People here get wound up on softs, LORs and personal statements and my takeaway from the process was that they looked at my lsat, gpa and WE and made the decision based on that.
I just don’t agree with your assessment of the data. 2003-2011 was Great Recession, higher demand for law school, and Harvard was less splitter friendly (a simple look and you can see HLS didn’t take anyone below 3.75 from 2003 on until 2013 when they slowly start taking people with lower GPAs. After 2012 it’s 40% chance and even 2 people got waitlisted. Only 1 got rejected. Before then, it’s still 20% chance. No matter how you choose to look at it, you the data doesn’t support a conclusion that Harvard is “definitely out.” Unlikely? Sure. But with decent softs, a good life story, and applying early as can be next cycle, I just don’t see the zero chance argument.LBJ's Hair wrote:Let's look at the whole dataset because a sample size of 4 is like, totally irrelevant, as you point out: If you run through MyLSN to 2012 with those numbers (reasonable IMO--law school apps are up since Trump came in, especially HLS's), you're not over 50% at *any* T14 except Georgetown, I think? Run it back to 2003 (again, I think the older data might tell you something, given the spike in law school apps), you get a bigger sample and a similar story.Chinston Wurchill wrote:LBJ, except the numbers don’t really support your argument. When you do a 177-179 and 3.1-3.2 on MyLSN, Harvard becomes 50-50 (granted with a sample of 4, that’s why I included a larger range initially). Point is, numbers should say at at least a 20% chance at Harvard as is. But understood on your point about my business background. In how I weight it though, those sorts are only half of my total. I think I got a good life story about hardship, growing up with opioids and ultimately losing a parent right before college because of it. Plus part time volunteer experience with americorps I forgot to put on there, which was service related to helping people with opioid problems.
@cavalier, just preferences and location. I guess duke would be 9 for me.
Not trying to burst your bubble, and this is all just prognostication, just think your attitude should be more like "I'm writing 'Why XYZ school' apps for every single T14," not "With my 178 I've got a shot at Harvard."
I'm looking at 3.1-3.3, 177-179 in MyLSN. 2012-2020 for Harvard, we have data for 11 students. If you think that's a decent sample size, OK, but I don't.Chinston Wurchill wrote:I just don’t agree with your assessment of the data. 2003-2011 was Great Recession, higher demand for law school, and Harvard was less splitter friendly (a simple look and you can see HLS didn’t take anyone below 3.75 from 2003 on until 2013 when they slowly start taking people with lower GPAs. After 2012 it’s 40% chance and even 2 people got waitlisted. Only 1 got rejected. Before then, it’s still 20% chance. No matter how you choose to look at it, you the data doesn’t support a conclusion that Harvard is “definitely out.” Unlikely? Sure. But with decent softs, a good life story, and applying early as can be next cycle, I just don’t see the zero chance argument.LBJ's Hair wrote:Let's look at the whole dataset because a sample size of 4 is like, totally irrelevant, as you point out: If you run through MyLSN to 2012 with those numbers (reasonable IMO--law school apps are up since Trump came in, especially HLS's), you're not over 50% at *any* T14 except Georgetown, I think? Run it back to 2003 (again, I think the older data might tell you something, given the spike in law school apps), you get a bigger sample and a similar story.Chinston Wurchill wrote:LBJ, except the numbers don’t really support your argument. When you do a 177-179 and 3.1-3.2 on MyLSN, Harvard becomes 50-50 (granted with a sample of 4, that’s why I included a larger range initially). Point is, numbers should say at at least a 20% chance at Harvard as is. But understood on your point about my business background. In how I weight it though, those sorts are only half of my total. I think I got a good life story about hardship, growing up with opioids and ultimately losing a parent right before college because of it. Plus part time volunteer experience with americorps I forgot to put on there, which was service related to helping people with opioid problems.
@cavalier, just preferences and location. I guess duke would be 9 for me.
Not trying to burst your bubble, and this is all just prognostication, just think your attitude should be more like "I'm writing 'Why XYZ school' apps for every single T14," not "With my 178 I've got a shot at Harvard."