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The LSN graph lists me at about 90% for Harvard, but LSAC puts me at 50-60%. Anyone know why the discrepancy and which is more accurate?

giuseppes12 wrote:The LSN graph lists me at about 90% for Harvard, but LSAC puts me at 50-60%. Anyone know why the discrepancy and which is more accurate?

LSAC has access to more data, I'd predict.

LSAC's predictor is totally screwed. Use LSN. You are in at Harvard, some money CCN, and a lot more money lower T-14. As to Y/S, a lot depends on softs. Probably coin toss on Y/S.

alwayssunnyinfl wrote:

giuseppes12 wrote:The LSN graph lists me at about 90% for Harvard, but LSAC puts me at 50-60%. Anyone know why the discrepancy and which is more accurate?

LSAC has access to more data, I'd predict.

I feel like more data wouldn't move it from 90% to 50%, though. Unless the LSN data is unrepresentative somehow... dissonance why do you think the LSAC predictor is inaccurate?

Why does it matter why LSAC's calculator is off. You know your numbers and you know what schools they will probably land you.

giuseppes12 wrote:

alwayssunnyinfl wrote:

giuseppes12 wrote:The LSN graph lists me at about 90% for Harvard, but LSAC puts me at 50-60%. Anyone know why the discrepancy and which is more accurate?

LSAC has access to more data, I'd predict.

I feel like more data wouldn't move it from 90% to 50%, though. Unless the LSN data is unrepresentative somehow... dissonance why do you think the LSAC predictor is inaccurate?

Doesn't the LSAC predictor make it's predictions based on score bands? Since the median is encompassed within the score band, maybe that's why. Regardless, like Miller said, who cares? LSN is a record of actual people. And why do you need exact percentages? Your chances are very high, so apply and hope for the best.

Samara wrote:

giuseppes12 wrote:

alwayssunnyinfl wrote:

giuseppes12 wrote:The LSN graph lists me at about 90% for Harvard, but LSAC puts me at 50-60%. Anyone know why the discrepancy and which is more accurate?

LSAC has access to more data, I'd predict.

I feel like more data wouldn't move it from 90% to 50%, though. Unless the LSN data is unrepresentative somehow... dissonance why do you think the LSAC predictor is inaccurate?

Doesn't the LSAC predictor make it's predictions based on score bands? Since the median is encompassed within the score band, maybe that's why. Regardless, like Miller said, who cares? LSN is a record of actual people. And why do you need exact percentages? Your chances are very high, so apply and hope for the best.

Well hopefully people actually have a solid reason for thinking the LSAC predictor is off, not just hearsay lol. And 50% vs. 90% makes a difference for how I structure the application; e.g. my app to Yale is gonna be substantially different than my app to NYU

giuseppes12 wrote: And 50% vs. 90% makes a difference for how I structure the application

What?

Bumi wrote:

giuseppes12 wrote: And 50% vs. 90% makes a difference for how I structure the application

What?

if it's 50% he can write a personal statement about succeeding against unlikely odds