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Can I bank on HS? I know that Y is a shot in the dark for anyone, but do I have a shot? What about $$$ from CCNMVP? What types of scholarship can I expect?

Probably can't "bank" on S (<200 person class is really small), although you can come close to banking on H. All of CCNMVP will offer you money if you're not yield protected (MVP will do this if you don't write optional essays).

Nobody can bank on YS but HLS should be a lock for you barring any unusual circumstances...money below at CCNMVP, depending on softs anything from Hamilton, Butler etc.