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Does anyone know how accurate LSP really is. For instance I have a few schools marked consider. They are T20. Anyone know if they worth applying to?? Assuming the consider on LSP

There is an accuracy page on LSP that breaks it down. Basically, consider = 50% chance at acceptance.

AreJay711 wrote:There is an accuracy page on LSP that breaks it down. Basically, consider = 50% chance at acceptance.

naw I think its a little less than 50% isnt it?

HowdyYall wrote:

AreJay711 wrote:There is an accuracy page on LSP that breaks it down. Basically, consider = 50% chance at acceptance.

naw I think its a little less than 50% isnt it?

Fine, since I googled t check I'll just post it here. It is different for everyone of course depending on application essays, work experience, and all that jazz.

Based on the 33,500+ LSN decisions from the 2008-09 admission cycle:

When LSP said Admit, 8402 instances: 87.0%, +0.0%

When LSP said Strong Consider, 4842 instances: 78.0%, +9.0%

When LSP said Consider, 10066 instances: 50.6%, +0.6%

When LSP said Weak Consider, 3646 instances: 22.8%, -8.2%

When LSP said Deny, 6754 instances: 10.0%, -3.0%

C'mon now guys...

I don't know how close this 50% is. Is it still accurate even if you are a reverse splitter? And I know what the site says I'm looking for peoples opinions and experiences with LSP

HTH

peter844 wrote:I don't know how close this 50% is. Is it still accurate even if you are a reverse splitter? And I know what the site says I'm looking for peoples opinions and experiences with LSP

Individual anecdotes are not better than thousands of ( even skewed) observations. Anyway, I applied ED to a school that had me at "Admit" and I was admitted after not a very long wait. Seemed accurate to me.

peter844 wrote:Does anyone know how accurate LSP really is. For instance I have a few schools marked consider. They are T20. Anyone know if they worth applying to?? Assuming the consider on LSP

You can compare LSP with Hourmd, Admissions Dean, and the LSAC predictor and get 3 more opinions.

On LSP, the column called %at/below can give you an idea of how big a reach that 'consider' really is. 36%...probably not. 55%...decent chance.

Anecdotally, I was only a 'consider' at Northwestern and I just got in.

There can be some very large disparities between LSP (which uses self reported numbers from LSN) and LSAC's official guide, which takes all of the data from schools directly.

For example - LSP puts me at 16% Deny for UGA. LSAC puts me in the 55-75% range, with 15 out of 17 applicants with my GPA/LSAT range being admitted last year.