This is great. I choose to believe everything you sayTripTrip wrote:You're not out yet, twink. Harvard needs at least 280 people with an LSAT of 173 or higher. This cycle I think the estimate on the number of applicants matching that criteria is well under 1,000. After Yale, Stanford, Hamiltons, and Rubys take some of those, Harvard is going to have to admit a sizeable number of splitters to maintain its medians. They're putting off the splitters until March to see who they have to choose from; little do they know, they'll have to admit most of y'all in the end.
Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013) Forum
- trojandave
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
- wert3813
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
This is basically spot on...except for the fact that we don't actually know if Harvard's current median is a 172 or 173. Also here's to betting that they won't be able to keep a 173 this year.TripTrip wrote:You're not out yet, twink. Harvard needs at least 280 people with an LSAT of 173 or higher. This cycle I think the estimate on the number of applicants matching that criteria is well under 1,000. After Yale, Stanford, Hamiltons, and Rubys take some of those, Harvard is going to have to admit a sizeable number of splitters to maintain its medians. They're putting off the splitters until March to see who they have to choose from; little do they know, they'll have to admit most of y'all in the end.
I would go so far as to predict that of the T14 schools that don't drop class size 75% will drop median. Maybe more.
Again none of these facts in any way should rain on a splitter's parade.
- TripTrip
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
That's true. However, if Harvard can't/didn't maintain a 173, that's even better for splitters. The number of 172s who could help maintain the new median wouldn't really offset the obvious decline in 172+ scorers.wert3813 wrote:This is basically spot on...except for the fact that we don't actually know if Harvard's current median is a 172 or 173. Also here's to betting that they won't be able to keep a 173 this year.TripTrip wrote:You're not out yet, twink. Harvard needs at least 280 people with an LSAT of 173 or higher. This cycle I think the estimate on the number of applicants matching that criteria is well under 1,000. After Yale, Stanford, Hamiltons, and Rubys take some of those, Harvard is going to have to admit a sizeable number of splitters to maintain its medians. They're putting off the splitters until March to see who they have to choose from; little do they know, they'll have to admit most of y'all in the end.
I would go so far as to predict that of the T14 schools that don't drop class size 75% will drop median. Maybe more.
Again none of these facts in any way should rain on a splitter's parade.
The number of potentials at that LSAT level goes down non-negligibly when you factor in super-duper splitters (think 2.0/173), C&F auto-denials, LSAT prep folks, and people who really just don't know how the law school application process works and attend a crap school with a sweet LSAT.
- ph5354a
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
If this means I have a chance in hell with my 174/3.6, then you are beautiful to me.TripTrip wrote:That's true. However, if Harvard can't/didn't maintain a 173, that's even better for splitters. The number of 172s who could help maintain the new median wouldn't really offset the obvious decline in 172+ scorers.wert3813 wrote:This is basically spot on...except for the fact that we don't actually know if Harvard's current median is a 172 or 173. Also here's to betting that they won't be able to keep a 173 this year.TripTrip wrote:You're not out yet, twink. Harvard needs at least 280 people with an LSAT of 173 or higher. This cycle I think the estimate on the number of applicants matching that criteria is well under 1,000. After Yale, Stanford, Hamiltons, and Rubys take some of those, Harvard is going to have to admit a sizeable number of splitters to maintain its medians. They're putting off the splitters until March to see who they have to choose from; little do they know, they'll have to admit most of y'all in the end.
I would go so far as to predict that of the T14 schools that don't drop class size 75% will drop median. Maybe more.
Again none of these facts in any way should rain on a splitter's parade.
The number of potentials at that LSAT level goes down non-negligibly when you factor in super-duper splitters (think 2.0/173), C&F auto-denials, LSAT prep folks, and people who really just don't know how the law school application process works and attend a crap school with a sweet LSAT.
- bellagio
- Posts: 42
- Joined: Fri Dec 21, 2012 11:08 am
Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Same numbers, same thoughts.ph5354a wrote:If this means I have a chance in hell with my 174/3.6, then you are beautiful to me.TripTrip wrote:That's true. However, if Harvard can't/didn't maintain a 173, that's even better for splitters. The number of 172s who could help maintain the new median wouldn't really offset the obvious decline in 172+ scorers.wert3813 wrote:This is basically spot on...except for the fact that we don't actually know if Harvard's current median is a 172 or 173. Also here's to betting that they won't be able to keep a 173 this year.TripTrip wrote:You're not out yet, twink. Harvard needs at least 280 people with an LSAT of 173 or higher. This cycle I think the estimate on the number of applicants matching that criteria is well under 1,000. After Yale, Stanford, Hamiltons, and Rubys take some of those, Harvard is going to have to admit a sizeable number of splitters to maintain its medians. They're putting off the splitters until March to see who they have to choose from; little do they know, they'll have to admit most of y'all in the end.
I would go so far as to predict that of the T14 schools that don't drop class size 75% will drop median. Maybe more.
Again none of these facts in any way should rain on a splitter's parade.
The number of potentials at that LSAT level goes down non-negligibly when you factor in super-duper splitters (think 2.0/173), C&F auto-denials, LSAT prep folks, and people who really just don't know how the law school application process works and attend a crap school with a sweet LSAT.
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- NoodleyOne
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
How do I go about updating my transcript? Through LSAC or directly to the law schools? Also, should I e-mail the law schools still holding on a decision and alert them to my increase from 3.5 to 3.55?
- NoodleyOne
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Alright I'll do that today.
- TripTrip
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Splitters (other than Noodley... your goddamn 179 throws off my bell curve): http://myLSN.info/16wcm0
Your chances are better than that because applications are down more this cycle (and down most among qualified HLS LSAT median increasers like yourselves).
For the sake of argument, let's say that those chances increase to 60% this cycle. I think ~70% of JS1ers are admitted. That number includes auto-admits, so it's probably safe to say it's closer to 60% for splitters. That means they need to give almost all of you a JS1 to fret about before the cycle is over.
Your chances are better than that because applications are down more this cycle (and down most among qualified HLS LSAT median increasers like yourselves).
For the sake of argument, let's say that those chances increase to 60% this cycle. I think ~70% of JS1ers are admitted. That number includes auto-admits, so it's probably safe to say it's closer to 60% for splitters. That means they need to give almost all of you a JS1 to fret about before the cycle is over.
- twinkletoes16
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
TripTrip wrote:Splitters (other than Noodley... your goddamn 179 throws off my bell curve): http://myLSN.info/16wcm0
Your chances are better than that because applications are down more this cycle (and down most among qualified HLS LSAT median increasers like yourselves).
For the sake of argument, let's say that those chances increase to 60% this cycle. I think ~70% of JS1ers are admitted. That number includes auto-admits, so it's probably safe to say it's closer to 60% for splitters. That means they need to give almost all of you a JS1 to fret about before the cycle is over.
I like your crystal ball the best so far. Hah!
ETA: from what I remember though the FB group is filling up pretty fast. I don't think there's that many spots left.
Anyone think no JS1s til next week? Lavitz? Bueller?
- Cicero76
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
So maybe JS1s today and a bloodbath of rejections and holds tomorrow? Baseless speculation for fun.
- twinkletoes16
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Cicero76 wrote:So maybe JS1s today and a bloodbath of rejections and holds tomorrow? Baseless speculation for fun.
Did JS2s go out this week already?
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Well count me among the 40%, then. Or the 30% of unsuccessful JS1 folks. Both, actually.TripTrip wrote:Splitters (other than Noodley... your goddamn 179 throws off my bell curve): http://myLSN.info/16wcm0
Your chances are better than that because applications are down more this cycle (and down most among qualified HLS LSAT median increasers like yourselves).
For the sake of argument, let's say that those chances increase to 60% this cycle. I think ~70% of JS1ers are admitted. That number includes auto-admits, so it's probably safe to say it's closer to 60% for splitters. That means they need to give almost all of you a JS1 to fret about before the cycle is over.
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Yeah they had a few Monday, but I think (I hope) they will have more JS2s tomorrow.twinkletoes16 wrote:Cicero76 wrote:So maybe JS1s today and a bloodbath of rejections and holds tomorrow? Baseless speculation for fun.
Did JS2s go out this week already?
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- NoodleyOne
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
This is the thread to be neurotic in, right?
I just requested my updated transcript from my university, but I expect it to take a few days to get to LSAC, and then to Harvard (and Columbia and Chicago, I suppose). Would it be wise to send an e-mail to Harvard telling them my LSDAS GPA increased as a result of my last semester and an updated transcript is on the way, to maybe forestall a WL/Ding?
I just requested my updated transcript from my university, but I expect it to take a few days to get to LSAC, and then to Harvard (and Columbia and Chicago, I suppose). Would it be wise to send an e-mail to Harvard telling them my LSDAS GPA increased as a result of my last semester and an updated transcript is on the way, to maybe forestall a WL/Ding?
- TripTrip
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
The facebook group is at 200 of a class of 550+. Don't fret yet.twinkletoes16 wrote:TripTrip wrote:Splitters (other than Noodley... your goddamn 179 throws off my bell curve): http://myLSN.info/16wcm0
Your chances are better than that because applications are down more this cycle (and down most among qualified HLS LSAT median increasers like yourselves).
For the sake of argument, let's say that those chances increase to 60% this cycle. I think ~70% of JS1ers are admitted. That number includes auto-admits, so it's probably safe to say it's closer to 60% for splitters. That means they need to give almost all of you a JS1 to fret about before the cycle is over.
I like your crystal ball the best so far. Hah!
ETA: from what I remember though the FB group is filling up pretty fast. I don't think there's that many spots left.
Anyone think no JS1s til next week? Lavitz? Bueller?
- sinfiery
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
TripTrip wrote: The facebook group is at 200 of a class of 550+. Don't fret yet.
I'm sure some also joined the class that may or may not be whisked away by the calls of YS.
- carboncopyx
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Both of those observations made me feel less anxious.sinfiery wrote:TripTrip wrote: The facebook group is at 200 of a class of 550+. Don't fret yet.
I'm sure some also joined the class that may or may not be whisked away by the calls of YS.
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- Jcastro1
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Checking in. Submitted today 01/17
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
What about us with a decent LSAT and super high GPA (such as myself with a 169/4.14). How do you think this will fare?TripTrip wrote:You're not out yet, twink. Harvard needs at least 280 people with an LSAT of 173 or higher. This cycle I think the estimate on the number of applicants matching that criteria is well under 1,000. After Yale, Stanford, Hamiltons, and Rubys take some of those, Harvard is going to have to admit a sizeable number of splitters to maintain its medians. They're putting off the splitters until March to see who they have to choose from; little do they know, they'll have to admit most of y'all in the end.
Maybe they will except people with really high LSATs above their median but with GPAs below their usual cut-off and then try and balance it out with people like me? Here's to hoping...
- twinkletoes16
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
kfischm1 wrote:What about us with a decent LSAT and super high GPA (such as myself with a 169/4.14). How do you think this will fare?TripTrip wrote:You're not out yet, twink. Harvard needs at least 280 people with an LSAT of 173 or higher. This cycle I think the estimate on the number of applicants matching that criteria is well under 1,000. After Yale, Stanford, Hamiltons, and Rubys take some of those, Harvard is going to have to admit a sizeable number of splitters to maintain its medians. They're putting off the splitters until March to see who they have to choose from; little do they know, they'll have to admit most of y'all in the end.
Maybe they will except people with really high LSATs above their median but with GPAs below their usual cut-off and then try and balance it out with people like me? Here's to hoping...
Not to dash your dreams or anything, but I remember reading on TLS somewhere that there is a finite number of high LSATs but an almost infinite number if high GPAs. Retake if you can, don't waste that GPA
- NoodleyOne
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Sent them an appropriately brown nosing e-mail about my GPA increase. I feel like I'm up against trips with a flush draw and waiting for the river. Except waiting for that card to turn is taking months and not seconds.
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Already have retaken twice and improved my score by 10 points from the first two tests. :-/ I guess I'll just have to hope they are dazzled by my softs. Or a miracle. Either way works for me.twinkletoes16 wrote:kfischm1 wrote:What about us with a decent LSAT and super high GPA (such as myself with a 169/4.14). How do you think this will fare?TripTrip wrote:You're not out yet, twink. Harvard needs at least 280 people with an LSAT of 173 or higher. This cycle I think the estimate on the number of applicants matching that criteria is well under 1,000. After Yale, Stanford, Hamiltons, and Rubys take some of those, Harvard is going to have to admit a sizeable number of splitters to maintain its medians. They're putting off the splitters until March to see who they have to choose from; little do they know, they'll have to admit most of y'all in the end.
Maybe they will except people with really high LSATs above their median but with GPAs below their usual cut-off and then try and balance it out with people like me? Here's to hoping...
Not to dash your dreams or anything, but I remember reading on TLS somewhere that there is a finite number of high LSATs but an almost infinite number if high GPAs. Retake if you can, don't waste that GPA
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
With the card that makes your flush.Wormfather wrote:And then the board pairs...NoodleyOne wrote:Sent them an appropriately brown nosing e-mail about my GPA increase. I feel like I'm up against trips with a flush draw and waiting for the river. Except waiting for that card to turn is taking months and not seconds.
- wert3813
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
Assuming HLS isn't going to lower class sizes everyone is in a good situation this year. BUT it is somewhat hopeful to think that HLS is going to need people who are below there LSAT 25th simply on GPA. Remember that as far as every reported analysis is concerned a 4.00 169 and a 4.00 130 are the same candidate. People with 172 and 171s and high GPAs (above the 75th) and in a better position because they contribute something in the shape of an LSAT and might be in a really helpful position depending on where median ends up.
- kuddlykoala
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)
skype interview offer with hls admin staff. Good or bad sign? i thought js1 was a phone interview
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