Assumptions:
Ivy League LSAT SD = Overall SD (probably not true)
Median=Mean
Change in applicants from 2010-11 cycle to 2011-12 cycle mirrors the change in 170+ applicants (probably about true)
Data, with links to sources:
SD: 10.26
# of Applicants &
LSAT Means
Total applicants with LSAT > 170: 4052
Change in applicants from 2010-11 to 2011-2012 cycle: 155050 -> 129958
Based on these assumptions and the data above, one would expect that the Ivy League produces about 539 people who score more than 170 each year.
In the 2010-2011 cycle, there were 4052 170+ applicants, but this data is from the 2011-12 cycle, in which there was a substantial decrease in applicants. After adjusting based upon the decrease in applicants, we can say there were about 3396 170+ scorers in the 2011-2012 cycle.
So, if these assumptions hold true, about 16% of 170+ applicants come from Ivy League institutions. That means 84% come from non-Ivy's.
If the most unlikely assumption - that the Ivy League SD = the overall SD - proves false, which I expect it would, I don't think it would have a substantial effect on the results. If there is a difference, I'm almost sure the SD would be smaller (because there's less room to move around at the higher means), which would mean that there are less 170+ applicants than I have predicted.
So, if my math skills aren't as bad as I think they are...
TL;DR: We can somewhat safely conclude that at most 16% of 170+ applicants come from Ivy's.
Excel #'s for anyone who cares/wants to check my work:
Code: Select all
SD 10.26
Applicants LSAT Mean % above 170 apps above 170
brown 177 164 0.279342675 49.44365352
columbia 190 164 0.279342675 53.07510829
cornell 314 162 0.217775763 68.38158967
dartmouth 171 164 0.279342675 47.76759746
harvard 251 167 0.384991298 96.63281586
princeton 172 165 0.313012446 53.83814068
penn 324 163 0.247536899 80.20195513
yale 234 167 0.384991298 90.08796379
TOTAL 539.4288244
Under the same assumptions, AT MOST 39% of 175+ applicants are from Ivy's.