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Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:00 pm
by glucose101
Ideas on the curve for getting a 170?

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:03 pm
by DaRascal
I'd say -13. It just felt like it with that BS on LG.

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:04 pm
by moonman157
Good luck to the person who thought that the curve is going to be -14

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:04 pm
by oaken
redundant

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:05 pm
by msquaredb
How do I decide what the curve will be? What is the method used?

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:06 pm
by glucose101
You just predict what you think the curve will be based on how difficult you thght the exam was/compared to past exams. There isn't a formula, just a prediction.

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:07 pm
by grahamkellis
msquaredb wrote:How do I decide what the curve will be? What is the method used?
Same question for me.. Am I essentially answering how many I thought I missed?

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:08 pm
by glucose101
To get a 170. Maybe I've been on TLS too long and assumed everyone knew.

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:39 pm
by msquaredb
glucose101 wrote:To get a 170. Maybe I've been on TLS too long and assumed everyone knew.
What would you say an average curve it? 11?

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:40 pm
by msquaredb
Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:41 pm
by msquaredb
Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?

Post removed.

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:43 pm
by VasaVasori
Post removed.

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:51 pm
by msquaredb
VasaVasori wrote:
msquaredb wrote:Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?
There isn't a huge track record, but IIRC for every October and December test it has been under-predicted and for the only June test for which there's a record it was over-predicted. I think all the past polls recorded predictions of -12.
I looked up June 2012. If that exam was a -11 this one will certainly be a -12 or -13. I can't see -14 though.

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:57 pm
by Alorain
msquaredb wrote:
VasaVasori wrote:
msquaredb wrote:Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?
There isn't a huge track record, but IIRC for every October and December test it has been under-predicted and for the only June test for which there's a record it was over-predicted. I think all the past polls recorded predictions of -12.
I looked up June 2012. If that exam was a -11 this one will certainly be a -12 or -13. I can't see -14 though.
June was a -10.

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 5:00 pm
by Eberry
oaken wrote:redundant
+1
I'm a bit offended.

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Posted: Sat Oct 06, 2012 6:13 pm
by glucose101
Mods can delete this thread. Didn't see the waiting thread.