jimmierock wrote:Prep test #16, Section 2, Question 16, I doubt anyone will remember this one so I will type it up
Seems your thread got side-tracked by copyright issues!
Here's the explanation that my colleague
wrote:
The researchers conclude that the shark population around South Australia must be around what it was back in 1973, because the "catch per unit effort" has remained the same since then. In other words, because people are catching sharks at around the same rate, there must be the same number of sharks available.
If you're not seeing the gap in that logic, consider this example:
"In 2009, Gilad got 100 hits as a member of the Yankees. In 2010, he also got 100 hits. So he must have had the same number of at-bats in both seasons."
Well, wait a minute -- what about my batting average? What if I got a lot worse between 2009 and 2010? Then it would stand to reason that it took me many more at-bats to get to 100 hits than it did in the previous season.
The shark argument makes the same mistake. Just because people are catching the same number of sharks per attempt doesn't mean the shark population hasn't changed. Maybe it has changed, but the fishermen have gotten better or worse at catching them!
That's why (E) weakens the argument -- it challenges the assumption that the ability to catch the sharks is unchanged. If sharkfishing boats have been using sophisticated shark-finding technology that increases their accuracy, but they're still catching the same number of sharks, then the shark population must actually have decreased; otherwise, we'd expect them to be catching more sharks!
(A) is irrelevant because the argument explicitly limits itself to the waters around South Australia.
(B) is out of scope as soon as it mentions the "most profitable" sharks. Who cares?
(C) is tempting, but this doesn't help us figure out whether the shark population has changed since 1973. Was "incident mortality" a threat back then, too? We don't know.
(D) is out of scope, first in its mention of quotas and, second, because the argument defines CPUE specifically in terms of the number of sharks caught. So that's what we care about.