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Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 3:36 am
by Fresh
So everyone seems to have a guess for what this October's curve will be. Why not harness the predictive power of TLSers to guess the curve? I'll be surprised if the poll doesn't bring us within 1 point of the actual curve.
I'm going to guess -11 (for 170). A lot of people think that this test had a easy/avg. RC and LR section, but it doesn't really matter. The number one determinant of curves is the difficulty of the logic games section. That said, this test did not have an
easy games section. While there was no truly difficult game, each game had its own challenges, which definitely made finishing on time difficult for a lot of people... including me

Note to Dec. takers: Logic Games are no longer as easy as they were in the early-mid 50 PTs. Speed seems to be a much bigger factor recently.
Also, I'm pretty sure October tends to have the strongest scores (a lot of re-takers, a lot of testers). Does anyone disagree with this?
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:03 am
by northwood
im not sure... id say to prep RC, because the questions seemed harder than normal, but i may be in the minority on that one... also, be aware of timing... i was prepping with 5 minutes to spare,and i just finished each section with about a minute left..... not horrendous, but something to think about in the future
while there wasnt a horrible lg game, all of them had wide open formats which made for a lot of plug and chug......
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:13 am
by Hedwig
I chose -14 because when I played my music this morning, I made sure to keep it on volume level 14 and the CD I played had 14 songs on it (The Glass Passenger - Jack's Mannequin).
Obviously the power of my magical thinking will sway the LSAC gods into a -14 curve. YOU BETTER BELIEVE IT.
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:16 am
by northwood
-22.. only because I am positive the lsat is crying for its mommy right now!!!!
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:29 am
by Lasers
games took me too long; i knew how to do all of them, but i couldn't finish the last game and had to guess on the last 4.
no clue how i did on both RC or LR.
my guess is -11 as well. won't be surprised to see a -10 or -12. -14 would be nice.

Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 5:52 am
by WonkyPanda
I like eit's creepy 14 reasoning but my gut is thinking -11.
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 9:38 am
by Fresh
eit - easy with all the scientific reasoning, geez.
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 12:08 pm
by WonkyPanda
Fresh wrote:eit - easy with all the scientific reasoning, geez.
Seriously, we're trying to be law people and not one of those 'astromanauts.'
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 3:05 pm
by incompetentia
WonkyPanda wrote:Fresh wrote:eit - easy with all the scientific reasoning, geez.
Seriously, we're trying to be law people and not one of those 'astromanauts.'
This guy lived 2 doors down from me for a year.
*Edited version, original was about 11 minutes of this
But seriously, -10 plus or minus one. It was not an exceptionally difficult test, so I doubt -12+, but we are seeing a LOT of cancellations...so probably not -8ish?
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 3:07 pm
by kpuc
It'll be -11. Very similar to last year's October test.
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 3:26 pm
by kwais
correct me if I am wrong. June was -12 and considered one of the hardest tests? If that is true than this test can't be more than -10. I feel that every game was reasonable
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 4:27 pm
by Fresh
kwais wrote:correct me if I am wrong. June was -12 and considered one of the hardest tests? If that is true than this test can't be more than -10. I feel that every game was reasonable
Dec. 09 was one of the hardest recent tests. The curve was -14. The LG for June's test was reasonable, but it was time consuming. I imagine that some people thought the games from Oct. 10 was time consuming as well, so I wouldn't be surprised for -11. Of course, we're all just guessing!
Re: Oct. '10 Predict-A-Curve Poll!
Posted: Sun Oct 10, 2010 5:18 pm
by incompetentia
Perfect avatar-comment synergy right there.
I mean, perfect.