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At about the top 10% cutoff after first semester at a lower T14. Could probably get good LORs. Not exactly sure how transferring odds work, but what might be my chances at HYS?

I mean, probs a good chance. But I wouldn't move. I'd much rather be top 10% at NW, Mich or Duke than be median at H. Do you currently have a scholarship? If yes, I'd certainly stay put. If no, I'd consider it but most likely wouldn't aside from potentially using an acceptance to get scholarship monies.