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What are the chances of transferring within CCN or MVPD brackets with slightly above median? (FWIW, have strong geographical reason)

It happens so infrequent that no one here is likely to have any anecdotes.

Nebby wrote:It happens so infrequent that no one here is likely to have any anecdotes.

This is true. The best anecdote that you can draw from is the yearly Cornell exodus, where it seems certain schools are willing to take transfers at a bit above median, and others aren't.

OP's question is limited though by giving school bands. If you do enough searching, you will find old anecdotes on these forums about specific "lateral transfers" within the t-14 that may be of guidance (I remember finding them last year).

PM if you want to give some specifics I may be able to help.