I’m a bit puzzled and surprised that a topic such as this one, which so comports with common sense, would cause such controversy, and even excite anger in some. It didn’t when I first introduced it in the Free Advise forum here that I referenced early in this thread. Yes, there was there a bit of back-and-forth about harder evidence, but that quickly resolved itself on both sides. Maybe it’s just that some find it difficult to come to grips with a reality that does not favor their circumstances. If so, I regret being the bearer of bad news, and I try to be the bearer more of what to do with the bad news. For some, that doesn’t solve the problem.
In any event, I feel I do owe those of you who are serious about this topic some additional information, if only to clear up the original, now muddied, points.
First, let’s not lose sight of the fact that most, and I mean most, of what’s going on with this broad issue is a product solely of applicants from more elite colleges having gotten high SATs to get them there, and so probably having high LSAT scores too, and thus – solely because of that -- having an easier time getting into the top law schools. In other words, for most of this, correlation is not causation – but not for all of it, which was my only point.
Next, take a look at the lists most law schools publish identifying the schools of students they have in attendance. Go to this site,
http://hls.harvard.edu/dept/jdadmission ... -colleges/ , for example, where Harvard lists the 172 schools its students attended (it’s interesting that they no longer list the number from each; since law schools are loathe to appear elitist, what does that tell you?). You know they didn’t fill the class of 650 or so with 3 or 4 students from each school, and since this is a zero-sum game, and they probably enroll, say, 100 from Harvard and 100 more from Yale and Princeton, that doesn’t leave a lot of spots to spread evenly over the other 169 schools. Do the math. I’ll bet most of those schools are singletons. (Here’s a thought: ask a friend who is currently a law student to send you a copy of whatever biographical info they were given on their classmates. It surely lists the college attended for each.)
So this should be just common sense, but for those who don’t like to rely on that, EnderWiggen, in response to my earlier post, drew our attention to a list from Yale that was reproduced here at this site.
http://top-law-schools.com/forums/viewt ... 7#p8963557 . It has numbers for each school and supports my suspicions about Harvard. In addition to all the singletons, note that more than one third of the students went to just 5 schools. Also, I just had reason to look at Vanderbilt’s class of 2018 list. Check it out here:
https://issuu.com/vanderbiltlawschool/d ... 5348430%20 . It has a few surprises, and some that could even rise to the level of “counterexamples” like those EnderWiggen cited, but what in life doesn’t? (Although unless your “non-prestigious public state university” is Michigan, Berkeley or Virginia, EnderWiggen, I find your 7 number at HLS hard to believe. Sorry.) In any event, it has many singletons, and Vanderbilt does not have many Harvard, Princeton and Yale students left to admit at its spot in the rankings (and for Vanderbilt, some of those less prestigious state schools aren’t so “less prestigious”).
So I stand by my original analysis. As for Cavalier1138’s latest contribution to our discussion, I will let it speak for itself, except in that I must correct one distortion that he made. I suggested that if you have a classmate that you know is applying to some of the same schools you are, and is admitted to one, and has decided to attend it, you might ask him if he would withdraw from the others and sort of get out of your way. That’s not a big thing to ask, but you might get a push back as he has paid an application fee, and you would now have him, essentially, walk away from it. That is not an unreasonable concern for him to have, and so I suggested you offer to “reimburse” (my exact word) him. In law that’s called damages, or “making him whole,” and such application fees are quite small. Cavalier1138 chose to replace that concept with the vaguely stated and in consequence more nefarious concept of “paying someone to withdraw,” as if to suggest a bribe or at least a great deal of money, so as to allow him to characterize the whole matter as “desperate.” It’s nothing of the kind, and I’m sure thoughtful readers see the difference.