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Bildungsroman wrote:Don't rely on LSP. Just go to LSN and examine the graphs and number twins, and determine safeties, targets, and reaches. I'd recommend applying to at least a couple safety schools, but it's a waste of money to apply to a safety that you wouldn't attend even if it was the only school you got into so be sure to pick schools you'd like to attend.

Hannibal wrote:I've been WLed/Rejected at 4 schools where I was marked "Admit".

lebesby wrote:First of all, we all know that LSP isn't very accurate for splitters. This is what the guy who runs LSP says:

"Splitters are harder to predict since there is a point where being below a school’s 25% GPA is going to basically be the same to them when it comes to calculating the admission cycle’s 25% GPA (and its effect on rankings). That said, it’s worth noting that all schools weight the LSAT more than GPA (usually between 3.5x to 4.8x more than GPA), and there is a point where a poor GPA does hurt your chances, perhaps irreversibly at some schools. With the release of Version 2.6 on October 04, 2009, a revamped splitter algorithm was implemented that should make most splitter predictions only slightly more pessmistic (roughly 2% to 5% more pessimistic) than actual admission results would suggest."

SO, bearing that in mind, is it unwise of me, as a splitter, to only apply to one school that LSP has me at 'ADMIT'?

For next cycle, this is what my school choices look like in LSP:

2 "DENY"
3 "WEAK CONSIDER"
6 "CONSIDER"
5 "STRONG CONSIDER"
1 "ADMIT"

lebesby wrote:

RockyIII wrote:17 schools?

Well, if/when I decide to ED somewhere, I will probably nix off a couple of the other reaches that i pretty much stand no chance of without ED. so, in the end it will be more like 14/15. is that too many?

lebesby wrote:

RockyIII wrote:17 schools?

Well, if/when I decide to ED somewhere, I will probably nix off a couple of the other reaches that i pretty much stand no chance of without ED. so, in the end it will be more like 14/15. is that too many?

JKill01 wrote:I say cast the widest net possible, especially if you're only intending to go through one cycle. I would argue maybe the best way on to decide where to apply would be to find the LSAT and GPA medians at the schools you're interested in, and then go from there. That was probably the best predictor in my cycle in terms of where I got in, where I got waitlisted, and where I got rejected. I would also say that you should apply to several "admit" schools, ones where you are above the medians, because when you actually have to make the decision you're going to factor in merit scholarships and such, which is unpredictable and varies wildly.

aspire2more wrote:

JKill01 wrote:I say cast the widest net possible, especially if you're only intending to go through one cycle. I would argue maybe the best way on to decide where to apply would be to find the LSAT and GPA medians at the schools you're interested in, and then go from there. That was probably the best predictor in my cycle in terms of where I got in, where I got waitlisted, and where I got rejected. I would also say that you should apply to several "admit" schools, ones where you are above the medians, because when you actually have to make the decision you're going to factor in merit scholarships and such, which is unpredictable and varies wildly.

I agree with this. I also think you should consider where you got fee waivers when making your decisions. They are not really predictors of where you might get in, but they will help you from paying full price for applications (which especially sucks when you're applying to safeties.)