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166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 3:58 am
by tmatsushita
Hi guys, I checked out all the online sources (law school predictor, LSN, and Hourumd) but I just want TLS's input on my chances on these schools. I'm applying for 2012-2013, but I already took the LSAT and I'm planning on applying on the first day they accept applications:

Cornell (EA)
Georgetown (PT) (ED?)
Vanderbilt
Texas (EA)
UCLA
USC
GWU
Notre Dame
Wash U
BC (EA)
Illinois
BU
Emory
W&M
Washington
Fordham (EA)
UC Davis
UC Hastings

Thanks!

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 4:03 am
by tmatsushita
I'm also not considering retaking the LSAT. I think that was the best I could do...

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 5:41 am
by im_blue
No chance:
Cornell (EA)
Georgetown (PT) (ED?)
Vanderbilt
Texas (EA)
UCLA
USC
GWU
Wash U

Slim chance:
Illinois
Notre Dame

Good chance:
BC (EA)
BU
Emory
W&M
Fordham (EA)

Safety:
Washington
UC Davis
UC Hastings

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 8:28 pm
by calihopeful
agree with above but i think its worth an app at USC, ILL, Wash U

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 8:32 pm
by stratocophic
calihopeful wrote:agree with above but i think its worth an app at USC, ILL, Wash U
Below both medians; no chance. Not sure about USC, but the other two are very numbers-driven. Close =/= having a shot

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 8:42 pm
by whymeohgodno
USC 3.64 / 167

Out fo sho

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 9:19 pm
by czelede
I feel like sometimes TLS can be too pessimistic. My cousin's cycle last year was with exactly identical numbers - in off the WL at GTown, in at WUSTL, Notre Dame, in with $$ at Illinois, WL at Fordham. I'd apply to all on your list minus maybe Cornell if I were you.

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 9:24 pm
by whymeohgodno
czelede wrote:I feel like sometimes TLS can be too pessimistic. My cousin's cycle last year was with exactly identical numbers - in off the WL at GTown, in at WUSTL, Notre Dame, in with $$ at Illinois, WL at Fordham. I'd apply to all on your list minus maybe Cornell if I were you.
Your cousin got into Gtown off WL witha 166/3.6? Did he have great softs?

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 9:28 pm
by thecilent
czelede wrote:I feel like sometimes TLS can be too pessimistic. My cousin's cycle last year was with exactly identical numbers - in off the WL at GTown, in at WUSTL, Notre Dame, in with $$ at Illinois, WL at Fordham. I'd apply to all on your list minus maybe Cornell if I were you.
urm?

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2010 11:22 pm
by HeavenWood
im_blue wrote:No chance:
Cornell (EA)
Georgetown (PT) (ED?)
Vanderbilt
Texas (EA)
UCLA
USC
GWU
Wash U

Slim chance:
Illinois
Notre Dame

Good chance:
BC (EA)
BU
Emory
W&M
Fordham (EA)

Safety:
Washington
UC Davis
UC Hastings
You're a being a bit pessimistic for GWU and Wash U. GWU is a likely waitlist, but not an autoreject. Wash U is on the cusp between WL and in. Both are worth the application fees.

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 12:07 am
by im_blue
HeavenWood wrote:
im_blue wrote:No chance:
Cornell (EA)
Georgetown (PT) (ED?)
Vanderbilt
Texas (EA)
UCLA
USC
GWU
Wash U

Slim chance:
Illinois
Notre Dame

Good chance:
BC (EA)
BU
Emory
W&M
Fordham (EA)

Safety:
Washington
UC Davis
UC Hastings
You're a being a bit pessimistic for GWU and Wash U. GWU is a likely waitlist, but not an autoreject. Wash U is on the cusp between WL and in. Both are worth the application fees.
GW didn't take a single sub-3.8/166 on LSN last year: http://gw.lawschoolnumbers.com/applican ... ,8&type=jd

Similarly, WUSTL didn't take a single sub-3.68/166 last year (the single "accepted" profile fudged her numbers): http://washu.lawschoolnumbers.com/appli ... ,8&type=jd

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 12:09 am
by FuManChusco
im_blue wrote:
HeavenWood wrote:
im_blue wrote:No chance:
Cornell (EA)
Georgetown (PT) (ED?)
Vanderbilt
Texas (EA)
UCLA
USC
GWU
Wash U

Slim chance:
Illinois
Notre Dame

Good chance:
BC (EA)
BU
Emory
W&M
Fordham (EA)

Safety:
Washington
UC Davis
UC Hastings
You're a being a bit pessimistic for GWU and Wash U. GWU is a likely waitlist, but not an autoreject. Wash U is on the cusp between WL and in. Both are worth the application fees.
GW didn't take a single sub-3.8/166 on LSN last year: http://gw.lawschoolnumbers.com/applican ... ,8&type=jd

Similarly, WUSTL didn't take a single sub-3.68/166 last year (the single "accepted" profile fudged her numbers): http://washu.lawschoolnumbers.com/appli ... ,8&type=jd
'

yeah, both of those schools are LSAT whores and a 166 just doesn't cut it. 167 on the other hand....

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 12:15 am
by HeavenWood
.

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 12:21 am
by HeavenWood
FuManChusco wrote: yeah, both of those schools are LSAT whores and a 166 just doesn't cut it. 167 on the other hand....
Provided you have a high GPA, a 166 can easily cut it. Wash U isn't like Emory or USC, where you see complete walls of yellow and red just left of the median.

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 12:40 am
by im_blue
HeavenWood wrote:
im_blue wrote:
HeavenWood wrote:You're a being a bit pessimistic for GWU and Wash U. GWU is a likely waitlist, but not an autoreject. Wash U is on the cusp between WL and in. Both are worth the application fees.
GW didn't take a single sub-3.8/166 on LSN last year: http://gw.lawschoolnumbers.com/applican ... ,8&type=jd

Similarly, WUSTL didn't take a single sub-3.68/166 last year (the single "accepted" profile fudged her numbers): http://washu.lawschoolnumbers.com/appli ... ,8&type=jd
According to LSN, a 3.69 and a 3.70 with a 166 were accepted to Wash U. Is a 3.68 that much worse? It's not like LSN paints a perfect picture.
That's not surprising since WUSTL's median GPA is 3.70. A 3.6/166 is numerically close to 3.70 but for WUSTL it might as well be a 3.0. Nothing wrong with applying to a bunch of reaches, as long as one is realistic about the chances.

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 12:44 am
by HeavenWood
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Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 12:54 am
by tmatsushita
Thanks everyone for your opinions! I guess law school predictor is getting pretty optimistic these days.
I'm pretty set for BU or BC. I've heard that BC is tougher to get into than BU even though their medians (for GPAs at least) are lower. Can anyone tell me why?

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 12:59 am
by im_blue
tmatsushita wrote:Thanks everyone for your opinions! I guess law school predictor is getting pretty optimistic these days.
I'm pretty set for BU or BC. I've heard that BC is tougher to get into than BU even though their medians (for GPAs at least) are lower. Can anyone tell me why?
Dunno if BU or BC is harder with your numbers, but one explanation could be that BC has an 18% yield (percentage of admits who enroll) and 20% acceptance rate, compared to BU's 15% yield and 24% acceptance rate. Basically BC can afford to take fewer applicants to fill their class (with a similar class size), because a higher percentage of them will attend.

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 1:02 am
by HeavenWood
im_blue wrote:
tmatsushita wrote:Thanks everyone for your opinions! I guess law school predictor is getting pretty optimistic these days.
I'm pretty set for BU or BC. I've heard that BC is tougher to get into than BU even though their medians (for GPAs at least) are lower. Can anyone tell me why?
Dunno if BU or BC is harder with your numbers, but one explanation could be that BC has an 18% yield (percentage of admits who enroll) and 20% acceptance rate, compared to BU's 15% yield and 24% acceptance rate. Basically BC can afford to take fewer applicants to fill their class (with a similar class size), because a higher percentage of them will attend.
BC tends to yield protect, but provided you took the application seriously (IE, did the optional essay), that should not apply to you. I would assume most yellow blips above the semi-rigid 3.6/166 cut-offs were YP WL'd.

Re: 166 / 3.6

Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2010 1:04 am
by whymeohgodno
HeavenWood wrote:
im_blue wrote:
tmatsushita wrote:Thanks everyone for your opinions! I guess law school predictor is getting pretty optimistic these days.
I'm pretty set for BU or BC. I've heard that BC is tougher to get into than BU even though their medians (for GPAs at least) are lower. Can anyone tell me why?
Dunno if BU or BC is harder with your numbers, but one explanation could be that BC has an 18% yield (percentage of admits who enroll) and 20% acceptance rate, compared to BU's 15% yield and 24% acceptance rate. Basically BC can afford to take fewer applicants to fill their class (with a similar class size), because a higher percentage of them will attend.
BC tends to yield protect, but provided you took the application seriously (IE, did the optional essay), that should not apply to you. I would assume most yellow blips above the semi-rigid 3.6/166 cut-offs were YP WL'd.
I heard BC YP's also.