finalaspects wrote: JCougar wrote:
So what does this mean? A bunch of URM acceptances that are below both medians means that they must have had a bunch of people above both medians accept and free up these spots. WUSTL games the medians always, but it also means that all they need is 50% of their class to be above their targets. They can do this with splitter pairs that cancel each other out (LSAT splitter, reverse splitter), or they can do this by giving huge scholarships to those who are above both medians. The more people above both medians are accepted, the more URMs can be accepted without hurting the medians. If all of a sudden more spots for URMs opened up, that's a signal that people above both medians had a slightly higher yield rate than they expected.
But this means they need less splitters.
Also, maybe I'm thinking too much.
all schools accept URM's without regard to numbers so i don't think it means much...
Right...and they can do this and not effect the medians. For every matriculant that has numbers above both medians, this frees up a spot in the entering class for someone below both medians to be admitted without negatively effecting the medians. For example, to keep its medians of 3.7/167, WUSTL can have 25% of its class above both medians (with close to full scholarships), 25% LSAT splitters (167+), 25% reverse splitters (with GPAs above 3.7). That frees up 25% of the spots in class and allows them to admit applicants with any numbers at all without effecting the median. This is how they admit URMs, people with outstanding softs, military, legacy admits, etc., while keeping the medians intact. It's how WUSTL plays the numbers game.
The fact that they now all of a sudden have room for more URMs means that a handful more of the people above both medians ended up sending in their seat deposit. Instead of 25% above both medians, perhaps they now have 30% above both medians, which means they can add more URMs (30%). This leaves, in my hypothetical situation, only 20% of the class for each kind of splitter. They key to splitters getting in is having the people above both medians withdraw, but this is not happening if they decided to admit a group of URMs. It's a sign that these people are matriculating.
Anyway, it's probably not as big of a deal as I am making it. I don't mean to bring the drama. But I am anxious because I haven't heard anything from any of my targets yet. It's my own doing, though, for having had to use the February retake to get my target score. But the strategy above is how WUSTL operates, and unless for some reason they had a ton of URMs withdraw, they must have had a bunch of full schollies matriculate.