Vegas_Rebel wrote: ruleser wrote:
rondemarino wrote:Interesting. Wonder if it really is a holistic review, or if 169 is the new target median.
I would think the latter - the former as well.
There's no way, is there?
167 is 95%. If 100k people took the LSAT for this cycle, that'd mean 5000 people got a 167+. That wouldn't even fill out the class of the top 10, would it? Plus, that'd include 167/2.2's, who would probably get passed for 166/3.5's.
I just don't see the numbers working that way.
Ha. I have done this math in my head too. Problems with your estimate though:
1) THIS cycle, about 150,000 LSATs were administered. So eschewing retakes, this means that roughly 7,500 people scored a 167 or higher. 2) You eliminate people with 167+ and low GPAs, but what about the many, many, many, many people with "low" LSATs and high GPA? These "reverse" splitters are oftentimes very competitive candidates.
Main take away point: This cycle, the Adcoms are seeing A LOT of a 167+s. A LOT. I think something to watch out for this year is not only the inevitable median increases, but also the 25th percentile "floor". That "floor" is going to go up every where in the T14. Berkeley's 25th percentile will NOT remain at 164 this year, mark my words.