ntzsch wrote:NatSec wrote:How about we try new logic?
William and Mary states that approximately 50% of those attending now are on some form of scholarship.
Through LSN and TLS acceptances appear to either be receiving $$$ or be URM with good numbers.
Most decisions are rendered in March.
Unless 50% of their acceptances are URM this means that somewhere between a third and half of all acceptances will be coming in March. Effectively all people not $$$ or URM. And considering there are going to be people that turn down their $$$ for other schools, some of the acceptances in March would have to have $$$.
Always remember the selection bias inherent in LSN and even TLS. W&M state that they get thousands of applications, I don't see thousands or even many hundreds of applicants on LSN. Our sample is biased and therefore does not represent the population of those applying or those being accepted.
just a thought.
i'll i'm saying is that what W&M says does not have to contradict the observed LSN trend. DP since Nov. is not a good place to be, in my estimation.
that statement is flawed though. it's relative. if you're saying waiting for a decision is not as good as being accepted with $$$, then you would be correct. but if you're saying that waiting for a decision is equivalant to a rejection, then it's very false. statistically, there are going to be acceptances in march. your chances are down if you are in the March crowd vs. earlier, but they by no means are at 0%.