NayBoer wrote:Okay, looked at some numbers. On LSN the ED acceptances in '05, '07 and '08 came on December 14th, 11th and 18th. So there's anywhere from a week to three weeks until the ED acceptances are out.
LSN has no ED acceptances for '03, '04, and '06, and only two acceptances for each of the other three years. So not a great sample size. But in all three years the two ED acceptances each year both found out the same day.
In 2008-2009 it went: ED accepts in mid-Dec, then ED rejects in late Dec, then RD accepts in Jan. In 2007-2008 it went: ED accepts in early Dec, then ED rejects and RD accepts concurrently in mid-Dec.
It's freaking me out a little that I'll know the answer in a couple weeks.
- If somebody has an ED accept and I don't, I'm probably out.
- If somebody has an RD accept and I'm not in, I'm probably about to hear that I'm out.
- If Christmas comes and I'm not accepted, I'm probably out.
Of course, other than out I could also be deferred to RD or WL. And they could always change up their pattern in a million different ways. But going by the last two years, by Christmas I'll either know that I'm in or know that I'm not. Kind of ruins the holiday if it's not good news. Or totally energizes the holiday if it is good news.
Looking at LSN, it doesn't appear that many splitters apply ED. I can't even find one. NU seems to waitlist all RD splitters then take them as needed to game their numbers. I wonder if someone with our numbers(I'm 2.8 176) will be scooped up via ED to assume we go there, or will they wait list us like everyone else?