dreaming wrote:That makes me feel better. Thanks! Yeah, I keep dreaming of being able to get an admit and shock everyone haha. They must semi be considering someone to place them on hold or reserve, right? Do you think there's a chance they could decide they like someone so much once they see their LOCI and accept a hold or reserve person early?
This is what I've deduced. Any school could admit 24.99% of their class below both 25th percentiles without harming the percentiles at all. There's an opportunity cost to doing this, though. Namely, when discussing T6 schools, for every 1 person below both quartiles admitted, there's a high probability that someone above at least one quartile or median will be denied. As such, this one person will move to another school (say, NYU). This lends aid to NYU's medians/quartiles, and will help NYU overtake Columbia in the long run. Therefore, it does not benefit Columbia to ignore the fact that their own numbers will remain unharmed - they must also focus on the competition.
As such, Columbia may admit students with lower numbers, but only if they contribute something very tangible to the school. For example, URMs are often admitted to add to diversity. I have a feeling that I'm on hold because my professional experience is a 99.99% guarantee of entry to a very high paying job (sounds self inflating, but there are less than 50 people out there with my professional experience and a JD, and they're all in super high demand). In this economy, employment statistics are killing schools rankings (see: GWU). That's the only real reason I could see myself being admitted - a guaranteed boost to a different stat pool despite what my class rank ends up being.
LOCIs and such are nice, but they're meaningless as far as I can tell. Imagine in a curved class, a professor offers extra credit. Obviously, everyone's going to do the extra credit, and thus the curve will remain unchanged. The few that don't do the extra credit are actually going to have their grades drop on the curve. This is analogous to LOCI - everyone does it, so why would it aid anyone? It just hurts those who don't submit them.
edit: I forgot the main point, which is don't hold your breath. It's really, really, really unlikely, so make other plans and let CLS be an unbelievable surprise if it happens, rather than something you are pushing any hope on.
edit2: main point not fully furnished by first edit. They're weighing what we can contribute to the school in a tangible way right now. If not LSAT or GPA, why us? If there's a good reason, would it help them more than letting a 175 or 4.0 go to NYU, or would NYU gain more on them? I think these are the questions going through their minds right now. Either that, or Avacodo is right and we're being softly rejected