amidea wrote:JollyGreenGiant wrote:I'm thinking only the best applicants (or maybe the most unusual? or a mix of both?) get in on the first go around of JR1s and it goes by UR order (I'm guessing we're up to 11/23 judging by evidence in this thread)
After that, he goes back and looks and the applications again and then sends out some more JR1s out of all the ones who didn't get it the first go around. Like on the admissions blog he calls at "a bite at the apple"
So, if you don't have a JR1 by now and you're before the 11/23 UR.. it's not that bad. It's definitely not good, but it's not the end of the world (or your Harvard cycle)
These are just my guesses.
I do hope you're right...
It seems like it follows the usual pattern: auto admits first, then a big crowd of maybes goes off to faculty/admissions committee review. This would explain why it seems to come in waves and why the waves overlap (exceptional applicants hear back before "maybe" applicants who applied earlier). If you look on LSN, some people who applied in early November got good news in January (TS1/TS2). If you want to throw yet another wrench in the works, I had a friend last year with stellar numbers (both above 75th) and great softs who waited much longer than others.
Take it for what you will...