hanosi wrote:thepsychedelic wrote:throwaway1919 wrote:WashedUpProdigy wrote:Here is a little question I have that calls for speculation but that is probably unknowable: Let's say 5 people reported receiving acceptances into X school today (and let's say it's Columbia, since this is the Columbia thread)-- how many people do you think actually got accepted today, in the real world? In other words, what do you think the relationship is between people who post their acceptance here and people who do not post their acceptance here (and maybe aren't even on here; maybe they're on other similar forums somewhere else, or don't have internet access, or -- whatever). Just thinking, brooding, wondering, ruminating...

I arbitrarily say 6x the number. So 30.

bored at work so i did some basic calculations. looks like 257 acceptances reported on LSN last cycle and 1,224 total offers. so around 5-6x as many seems accurate

First time posting. Found this recently somewhere. It says that 21% of admits are from LSN. So 4 more for every one on here. Give it a look

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =630438512Original Article:

==error==/law-school-numbers/

So, as the bored 0L who put together the spreadsheet and wrote the article you've linked, I'm glad someone's using that for reference. I admit my hand count of acceptances could easily be off by 2, and thepsychedlic's 257 could be correct (I'm not bored enough to recount tonight), but I got the 1213 from Columbia's 509 report. I'm curious where the 1224 comes from.

However, one thing that's perfectly clear from my data set is that LSN is not a representative sample. It skews successful. It's not safe to conclude that the percentage of Hamiltons/Butlers on LSN is the same as the percentage of admits. Any wave at a top school comprised of only scholarship students is likely to be overrepresented on LSN, at least after the cycle. We also have no idea how many folks are hiding their cycles there but will reveal them later, but we know applicants do this. So, the results could vary wildly for live reporting.