juicebox wrote:From what I can tell, it seems like they are moving in a fairly linear fashion with the exception of URMs. Dings in particular have seemed to be moving by completion date.
But take this with a grain of salt - just basing this off of my (somewhat sporadic) following of this thread.
This definitely isn't the whole picture. There are a fair number of us who were "skipped" over, and the same has been true in previous years. I think thwaves got it right: there are probably some of us being held for further review. Personally, I was complete in early Nov and have heard nothing, and I know there are people who applied before I who are in the same boat.
You can see a scatterplot here:
It's generally linear, I guess, but there are plenty of exceptions (the shape is even more noticeable if you look at 2011-2012).