Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

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jselson
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby jselson » Sun Mar 31, 2013 8:07 pm

hdivine wrote:There's a lot of Facebook speculation going on. It could be the fact that some people don't have Facebooks, don't use them, or simply don't feel like being part of a Yale group on Facebook. Sorry to burst the bubble. I almost didn't join it. The only reason I did is because I had a question I wanted to ask that was more appropriate than here.


But these concerns would've applied in the past as well, and probably more forcefully (more folks are on FB now). So the year to year/date to date comparison should still be pretty valid, maybe even slightly conservative. And YLS's last day of submission was very late, so it makes sense that they'd be behind approx a week or two.

az21833
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby az21833 » Sun Mar 31, 2013 8:10 pm

jselson wrote:
hdivine wrote:There's a lot of Facebook speculation going on. It could be the fact that some people don't have Facebooks, don't use them, or simply don't feel like being part of a Yale group on Facebook. Sorry to burst the bubble. I almost didn't join it. The only reason I did is because I had a question I wanted to ask that was more appropriate than here.


But these concerns would've applied in the past as well, and probably more forcefully (more folks are on FB now). So the year to year/date to date comparison should still be pretty valid, maybe even slightly conservative. And YLS's last day of submission was very late, so it makes sense that they'd be behind approx a week or two.


+1

hdivine
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby hdivine » Sun Mar 31, 2013 9:29 pm

jselson wrote:
hdivine wrote:There's a lot of Facebook speculation going on. It could be the fact that some people don't have Facebooks, don't use them, or simply don't feel like being part of a Yale group on Facebook. Sorry to burst the bubble. I almost didn't join it. The only reason I did is because I had a question I wanted to ask that was more appropriate than here.


But these concerns would've applied in the past as well, and probably more forcefully (more folks are on FB now). So the year to year/date to date comparison should still be pretty valid, maybe even slightly conservative. And YLS's last day of submission was very late, so it makes sense that they'd be behind approx a week or two.


I'm skeptical. Facebook is growing, but it is doing so largely in demographics that did not have Facebook a few years ago. As a general trend, the people getting Facebook are not college-aged people, they are teenagers, middle-aged people, and the elderly. College-aged people were the first adopters, and that demographic was saturated with Facebook users years ago.

In addition, 200 is such a low statistical sample that it can hardly be relied upon. It's not unlikely that this year's Yale-admits happen to like Facebook at a lower rate than in years past, and with newer social media emerging into the market (I'm thinking about Google+) and with the novelty of Facebook having worn off for those who have had it a few years, I don't think this is an unrealistic idea. To be short, I don't think anybody here has enough to make a go on anything with Facebook numbers. There are far too many variables and far too little data to make accurate predictions.

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wert3813
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby wert3813 » Sun Mar 31, 2013 10:27 pm

hdivine wrote:
jselson wrote:
hdivine wrote:There's a lot of Facebook speculation going on. It could be the fact that some people don't have Facebooks, don't use them, or simply don't feel like being part of a Yale group on Facebook. Sorry to burst the bubble. I almost didn't join it. The only reason I did is because I had a question I wanted to ask that was more appropriate than here.


But these concerns would've applied in the past as well, and probably more forcefully (more folks are on FB now). So the year to year/date to date comparison should still be pretty valid, maybe even slightly conservative. And YLS's last day of submission was very late, so it makes sense that they'd be behind approx a week or two.


I'm skeptical. Facebook is growing, but it is doing so largely in demographics that did not have Facebook a few years ago. As a general trend, the people getting Facebook are not college-aged people, they are teenagers, middle-aged people, and the elderly. College-aged people were the first adopters, and that demographic was saturated with Facebook users years ago.

In addition, 200 is such a low statistical sample that it can hardly be relied upon. It's not unlikely that this year's Yale-admits happen to like Facebook at a lower rate than in years past, and with newer social media emerging into the market (I'm thinking about Google+) and with the novelty of Facebook having worn off for those who have had it a few years, I don't think this is an unrealistic idea. To be short, I don't think anybody here has enough to make a go on anything with Facebook numbers. There are far too many variables and far too little data to make accurate predictions.


You had me till you told me people were joining Google+

edamame
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby edamame » Sun Mar 31, 2013 10:29 pm

wert3813 wrote:
hdivine wrote:
jselson wrote:
hdivine wrote:There's a lot of Facebook speculation going on. It could be the fact that some people don't have Facebooks, don't use them, or simply don't feel like being part of a Yale group on Facebook. Sorry to burst the bubble. I almost didn't join it. The only reason I did is because I had a question I wanted to ask that was more appropriate than here.


But these concerns would've applied in the past as well, and probably more forcefully (more folks are on FB now). So the year to year/date to date comparison should still be pretty valid, maybe even slightly conservative. And YLS's last day of submission was very late, so it makes sense that they'd be behind approx a week or two.


I'm skeptical. Facebook is growing, but it is doing so largely in demographics that did not have Facebook a few years ago. As a general trend, the people getting Facebook are not college-aged people, they are teenagers, middle-aged people, and the elderly. College-aged people were the first adopters, and that demographic was saturated with Facebook users years ago.

In addition, 200 is such a low statistical sample that it can hardly be relied upon. It's not unlikely that this year's Yale-admits happen to like Facebook at a lower rate than in years past, and with newer social media emerging into the market (I'm thinking about Google+) and with the novelty of Facebook having worn off for those who have had it a few years, I don't think this is an unrealistic idea. To be short, I don't think anybody here has enough to make a go on anything with Facebook numbers. There are far too many variables and far too little data to make accurate predictions.


You had me till you told me people were joining Google+


Also, just because new college-aged members aren't joining doesn't necessarily mean that college-aged members are leaving... en masse.

Ti Malice
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby Ti Malice » Sun Mar 31, 2013 11:54 pm

wert3813 wrote:Still 60 or so people to be admitted...


Remember that YLS admits around 240 to 250 people each cycle.

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wert3813
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby wert3813 » Mon Apr 01, 2013 12:09 am

Ti Malice wrote:
wert3813 wrote:Still 60 or so people to be admitted...


Remember that YLS admits around 240 to 250 people each cycle.


Right. So I heavily factored in lotsa people not being in the Facebook group to be safe. As best I can tell not a single person who applied in February or March has been admitted. Still a few FRs to go.

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jselson
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby jselson » Mon Apr 01, 2013 12:17 am

wert3813 wrote:
Ti Malice wrote:
wert3813 wrote:Still 60 or so people to be admitted...


Remember that YLS admits around 240 to 250 people each cycle.


Right. So I heavily factored in lotsa people not being in the Facebook group to be safe. As best I can tell not a single person who applied in February or March has been admitted. Still a few FRs to go.


This is what makes sad: I know that there's still quite a few acceptances left, but that almost all of the Jan completes have probably come out of FR by now. I just hope I got a really slow group of profs, or am in the 11 pile. But since I'm likely passed over at Stanford, I doubt it :(

glat
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby glat » Mon Apr 01, 2013 9:39 am

I applied in March, went complete 3/15, and got in on Saturday.

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Eli
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby Eli » Mon Apr 01, 2013 9:58 am

glat wrote:I applied in March, went complete 3/15, and got in on Saturday.


Stats?

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Jcastro1
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby Jcastro1 » Mon Apr 01, 2013 10:00 am

Must've been an auto-admit.

edamame
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby edamame » Mon Apr 01, 2013 12:34 pm

Eli wrote:
glat wrote:I applied in March, went complete 3/15, and got in on Saturday.


Stats?


Classic. Posts acceptance, but no stats or information whatsoever. TLS isn't your bragging board. If you're going to benefit from people's anxiety over decisions by posting your own decision, you might as well help us out.

Great. Just great.

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Bowie_Nietzsche
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby Bowie_Nietzsche » Mon Apr 01, 2013 12:38 pm

edamame wrote:
Eli wrote:
glat wrote:I applied in March, went complete 3/15, and got in on Saturday.


Stats?


Classic. Posts acceptance, but no stats or information whatsoever. TLS isn't your bragging board. If you're going to benefit from people's anxiety over decisions by posting your own decision, you might as well help us out.

Great. Just great.


Let's not forget that it's April Fool's day. I mean, it could be true, but I doubt it haha.

edamame
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby edamame » Mon Apr 01, 2013 12:41 pm

Bowie_Nietzsche wrote:
edamame wrote:
Eli wrote:
glat wrote:I applied in March, went complete 3/15, and got in on Saturday.


Stats?


Classic. Posts acceptance, but no stats or information whatsoever. TLS isn't your bragging board. If you're going to benefit from people's anxiety over decisions by posting your own decision, you might as well help us out.

Great. Just great.


Let's not forget that it's April Fool's day. I mean, it could be true, but I doubt it haha.


Fair point. There have been people accepted in one month, though. And they haven't been fakes. Wondering if it really does take 15 days to get through as a presumptive.

04102014
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby 04102014 » Mon Apr 01, 2013 12:42 pm

April Fools Day is the worst. In general.

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Bowie_Nietzsche
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby Bowie_Nietzsche » Mon Apr 01, 2013 12:53 pm

Stats?[/quote]

Classic. Posts acceptance, but no stats or information whatsoever. TLS isn't your bragging board. If you're going to benefit from people's anxiety over decisions by posting your own decision, you might as well help us out.

Great. Just great.[/quote]

Let's not forget that it's April Fool's day. I mean, it could be true, but I doubt it haha.[/quote]

Fair point. There have been people accepted in one month, though. And they haven't been fakes. Wondering if it really does take 15 days to get through as a presumptive.[/quote]

Well, I don't mean that I doubt it because of the length of time given, I doubt it because 1) it's April Fool's Day and 2) the person joined TLS this morning.

I could see how it could be slightly humorous (in a "it's not funny until someone gets hurt" kind of way) to take advantage of all of our late-in-the-cycle angst and fool a few people...but, it could all just be coincidental I suppose.

edamame
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby edamame » Mon Apr 01, 2013 1:17 pm

Bowie_Nietzsche wrote:
Well, I don't mean that I doubt it because of the length of time given, I doubt it because 1) it's April Fool's Day and 2) the person joined TLS this morning.

I could see how it could be slightly humorous (in a "it's not funny until someone gets hurt" kind of way) to take advantage of all of our late-in-the-cycle angst and fool a few people...but, it could all just be coincidental I suppose.


+1. To your credit, I didn't see that the profile was created this morning... I just saw one post under his / her name.

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bernaldiaz
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby bernaldiaz » Mon Apr 01, 2013 3:36 pm

Prediction on when our dings are coming?

edamame
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby edamame » Mon Apr 01, 2013 3:44 pm

bernaldiaz wrote:Prediction on when our dings are coming?


Not sure. Hopefully, they won't keep us waiting too long.

You and I are acceptances twins, though. Harvard and Stanford, but not Yale. :-(

06162014123
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.

Postby 06162014123 » Mon Apr 01, 2013 3:50 pm

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Last edited by 06162014123 on Mon Jun 09, 2014 11:42 am, edited 1 time in total.

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bernaldiaz
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby bernaldiaz » Mon Apr 01, 2013 3:53 pm

RedShift wrote:
bernaldiaz wrote:Prediction on when our dings are coming?

Today is too optimistic?

My real guess is that they keep us waiting for another week.


Dang if it's not this week that would be harsh

elorica8
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby elorica8 » Mon Apr 01, 2013 3:57 pm

Anyone here a post-Jan complete that has heard back?

az21833
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby az21833 » Mon Apr 01, 2013 4:44 pm

edamame wrote:
bernaldiaz wrote:Prediction on when our dings are coming?


Not sure. Hopefully, they won't keep us waiting too long.

You and I are acceptances twins, though. Harvard and Stanford, but not Yale. :-(


ditto, which way are you guys leaning and why?

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dnptan
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby dnptan » Mon Apr 01, 2013 4:49 pm

Wormfather wrote:Ding.

AA URM 3.93/170
Submitted Mid-Jan


That was unexpected. I was rooting for the YHS sweep. How'd you find out, e-mail or snail mail?

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bernaldiaz
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Re: Yale c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013 cycle)

Postby bernaldiaz » Mon Apr 01, 2013 4:49 pm

Wormfather wrote:Ding.

AA URM 3.93/170
Submitted Mid-Jan


Holy shit. It begins. Sorry Worm.




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