Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

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twinkletoes16
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby twinkletoes16 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:07 pm

helix23 wrote:
sinfiery wrote:
850/1200 = .708333


considering holds have gone out, wouldn't this indicate that they are approaching their JS1 cap? Can they really have done 1000+ interviews already?



I thought holds were like..."I like you but I'm playing the field, let me do some js1s and then come back to you and take you out, baby"
Last edited by twinkletoes16 on Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Anonymous4444
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby Anonymous4444 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:07 pm

i dont think its 850/1200 the odds of getting in bec that implies that every js1 has the same chance of aceptance from that point. but that cant be true? right? i mean the 180/4 has an interview but its a formality. Its impossible to know what ur odds are from merely getting a js1. yes 850/1200 get in but that doesnt mean that getting a js1 means u have 70% shot of admission imo. i may be looking at this in the wrong way though

jlh1128
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby jlh1128 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:11 pm

Anonymous4444 wrote:i dont think its 850/1200 the odds of getting in bec that implies that every js1 has the same chance of aceptance from that point. but that cant be true? right? i mean the 180/4 has an interview but its a formality. Its impossible to know what ur odds are from merely getting a js1. yes 850/1200 get in but that doesnt mean that getting a js1 means u have 70% shot of admission imo. i may be looking at this in the wrong way though


Yeah I see what you are saying. Thanks everyone for the answers...I was just wondering.

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helix23
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby helix23 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:11 pm

twinkletoes16 wrote:
helix23 wrote:
sinfiery wrote:
850/1200 = .708333


considering holds have gone out, wouldn't this indicate that they are approaching their JS1 cap? Can they really have done 1000+ interviews already?



I thought holds were like..."I like you but I'm playing the field, let me do some js1s and then come back to you and take you out, baby"


At least in past years, the general results of a hold were pretty bleak. It doesn't look like a huge amount of JS1s came from the hold pool, but this is all based on the TLS threads.

vzapana
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby vzapana » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:19 pm

helix23 wrote:
sinfiery wrote:
850/1200 = .708333


considering holds have gone out, wouldn't this indicate that they are approaching their JS1 cap? Can they really have done 1000+ interviews already?


Not likely. There are about 180 ppl on the hls 2016 Facebook group at the moment. The last bunch joined a week ago. Let's say that because they admitted early, they had a superior application. These 180 ppl probably had a higher chance of getting in than the average JS1 applicant. So for them the admit rate is more like 80-90 than 70 percent. That would mean only about 200 to 225 JS1s have been given out, as of a week ago. There are many hundreds, up to 1k, more JS1s to go.

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wert3813
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby wert3813 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:20 pm

Don't know how many JS1s have happened (blind guess would be 700) but there need not be a correlation between holds going out and the quantity of JS1s. In fact I can't see any reason why there would be.

Edit: SCOOPED. Also I like the above person's guess way more than mine.
Last edited by wert3813 on Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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sinfiery
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby sinfiery » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:20 pm

helix23 wrote:considering holds have gone out, wouldn't this indicate that they are approaching their JS1 cap? Can they really have done 1000+ interviews already?

Not even close, still many JS1s to be had, presumably.

LSATSCORES2012 wrote:Sent date vs JS1 Date:

--ImageRemoved--




Anonymous4444 wrote:i dont think its 850/1200 the odds of getting in bec that implies that every js1 has the same chance of aceptance from that point. but that cant be true? right? i mean the 180/4 has an interview but its a formality. Its impossible to know what ur odds are from merely getting a js1. yes 850/1200 get in but that doesnt mean that getting a js1 means u have 70% shot of admission imo. i may be looking at this in the wrong way though


If we can assume it is just another portion of your application and not the final stage, then you can change the 70% up or down based on if you think you are in the upper or lower 50% of applicants to get a JS1, true.

Hard to do though so I just stick with 70%

Anonymous4444
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby Anonymous4444 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:21 pm

eh i dont know. this may be too optimistic. probably like 400 have gone out. the fb page alone is not enough

vzapana
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby vzapana » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:23 pm

Anonymous4444 wrote:eh i dont know. this may be too optimistic. probably like 400 have gone out. the fb page alone is not enough


True- fb isn't the best dataset, but it's the best we got. Nonetheless, I wouldn't be surprised if the number is more like 400, if you take into consideration the people who already have JS1s and aren't accepted until April
Last edited by vzapana on Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Anonymous4444
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby Anonymous4444 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:23 pm

yeah its hard to do and 70% is a fair estimate. js1= pretty awesome either way

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helix23
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby helix23 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:35 pm

wert3813 wrote:Don't know how many JS1s have happened (blind guess would be 700) but there need not be a correlation between holds going out and the quantity of JS1s. In fact I can't see any reason why there would be.

Edit: SCOOPED. Also I like the above person's guess way more than mine.


The reason I suggested it is:
1) the applicant pool must be close to complete (given that is mid-January) and holds have gone out.
2) It would appear that very few JS1s come from holds.

I doubt they get 800-1000 new auto-admit applicants before the deadline. Therefore you have a bunch of JS1s to send out and a bunch of people on hold. It doesn't really match up based on previous years (very few JS1s from the hold pool). Maybe this year because of the dip in applicants they are going to pull way more from the hold pool?

Let me know if you think my reasoning is whack.

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sinfiery
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby sinfiery » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:37 pm

helix23 wrote:
The reason I suggested it is:
1) the applicant pool must be close to complete (given that is mid-January) and holds have gone out.
2) It would appear that very few JS1s come from holds.

I doubt they get 800-1000 new auto-admit applicants before the deadline. Therefore you have a bunch of JS1s to send out and a bunch of people on hold. It doesn't really match up based on previous years (very few JS1s from the hold pool). Maybe this year because of the dip in applicants they are going to pull way more from the hold pool?

Let me know if you think my reasoning is whack.


Last year holds went out on 01/10 and half the JS1s on LSN came after that day. Of those, ~2/3rd submitted well before the new year.

This cycle seems to be going even slower than last years too.

anela00
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby anela00 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:38 pm

JS2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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sinfiery
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby sinfiery » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:39 pm

anela00 wrote:JS2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Gratz!

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wert3813
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby wert3813 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:44 pm

sinfiery wrote:
helix23 wrote:
The reason I suggested it is:
1) the applicant pool must be close to complete (given that is mid-January) and holds have gone out.
2) It would appear that very few JS1s come from holds.

I doubt they get 800-1000 new auto-admit applicants before the deadline. Therefore you have a bunch of JS1s to send out and a bunch of people on hold. It doesn't really match up based on previous years (very few JS1s from the hold pool). Maybe this year because of the dip in applicants they are going to pull way more from the hold pool?

Let me know if you think my reasoning is whack.


Last year holds went out on 01/10 and half the JS1s on LSN came after that day. Of those, ~2/3rd submitted well before the new year.

This cycle seems to be going even slower than last years too.


Whack, no but just a little off for the reasons above...silence is over lets see what today brings.

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I, Lawyer
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby I, Lawyer » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:48 pm

anela00 wrote:JS2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


When was your JS1?

And congrats!!!

anela00
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby anela00 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:51 pm

I, Lawyer wrote:
anela00 wrote:JS2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


When was your JS1?

And congrats!!!


Friday 1/4. OMGOMGOMG

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ph5354a
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby ph5354a » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:52 pm

anela00 wrote:
I, Lawyer wrote:
anela00 wrote:JS2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


When was your JS1?

And congrats!!!


Friday 1/4. OMGOMGOMG

Congratulations!! Go breathe into a paper bag and then celebrate!

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wert3813
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby wert3813 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 4:55 pm

anela00 wrote:
I, Lawyer wrote:
anela00 wrote:JS2!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


When was your JS1?

And congrats!!!


Friday 1/4. OMGOMGOMG


Hmm 3.9 173 urm is about as auto admit as it gets. May not be much movement today.

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txwalt
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby txwalt » Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:02 pm

I missed a call from a Massachusetts number about an hour ago and now I'm freaking out!!

Anyone with a JS2, did it come from (617) XXX-XXXX?? I got a new phone last month and hadn't set up the voicemail yet, so they couldn't leave a message.
Last edited by txwalt on Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.

anela00
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby anela00 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:03 pm

txwalt wrote:I missed a call from a Massachusetts number about an hour ago and now I'm freaking out!!

Anyone with a JS2, did it come from (617) XXX-XXXX?? I got a new phone last month and hadn't set up the voicemail yet, so they couldn't leave a message.


Area code is the same, but the actual number isn't.

Islander
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby Islander » Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:04 pm

txwalt wrote:I missed a call from a Massachusetts number about an hour ago and now I'm freaking out!!

Anyone with a JS2, did it come from (617) XXX-XXXX?? I got a new phone last month and hadn't set up the voicemail yet, so they couldn't leave a message.


I got mine from that number.

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txwalt
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby txwalt » Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:04 pm

Islander wrote:
txwalt wrote:I missed a call from a Massachusetts number about an hour ago and now I'm freaking out!!

Anyone with a JS2, did it come from (617) XXX-XXXX?? I got a new phone last month and hadn't set up the voicemail yet, so they couldn't leave a message.


I got mine from that number.


Should I call back?

Anonymous4444
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby Anonymous4444 » Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:05 pm

i would... they will if u dont though so either way ur good..
Last edited by Anonymous4444 on Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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I, Lawyer
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Re: Harvard c/o 2016 Applicants (2012-2013)

Postby I, Lawyer » Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:06 pm

txwalt wrote:I missed a call from a Massachusetts number about an hour ago and now I'm freaking out!!

Anyone with a JS2, did it come from (617) ?? I got a new phone last month and hadn't set up the voicemail yet, so they couldn't leave a message.


When was your JS1?
Last edited by I, Lawyer on Mon Jan 14, 2013 5:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.




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