applemaroon wrote:Hi everyone,
So do we know if Chicago really is interviewing EVERY RD applicant? Based on the spreadsheet it seems like most of the interviewed ppl were borderline candidates. Any thoughts? Thanks!
I promised myself I wouldn't do this, but... Terrible maths incoming:
The most recent year for which I can find data is for the c/o 2010 for which Chicago received 5579 applications. In recent years apps have been down, and according to Chicago's site they receive 4000-5000 apps a year; I would guess the actual number for last year's cycle was closer to 4000.
About 600 people reported applying to Chicago on LSN last year which would be 15% of the total applicant pool if we take that number to be 4000.
Now here's the difficult part - what percent of applicants read TLS and of those what percent used the interview spreadsheet? I'm sure the figure is lower than the LSN proportion but by how much?
Currently 66 people have reported interview invites on the spreadsheet. Making sense of this is even harder, as that doesn't represent the total applicant pool (after sending the Jan. 2 round Chicago reported they were still reading from October) and includes EDers (who may or may not be interviewed at a higher rate than RDers).
So what do we take from this? If we say 10% (random guess really) of people who have been invited to interview used the spreadsheet, we would estimate 660 invites so far. Obviously this is wildly inaacurate due to aforementioned reasons and probably even more so with the more variables we consider (e.g. TLS/LSN users generally having a higher success rate than the applicant pool at large).
Ultimately imo Chicago really is making an effort to interview as many applicants as possible, and getting invited probably shouldn't imply anything other than being beyond a basic lowish numerical barrier. I imagine pretty much everybody above auto-ding numbers (and perhaps below auto-accept) who completed in September has received a request.
Incidentally, do we know of any EDers who were not accepted after interviewing? I am only aware of kappycaft1 and Papi who were both accepted.